Queasy-Polarization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-22 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% +$1

Other

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		-8	-$8	96¢	$-8	$0	10-22 02:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 82k on january 10	1	$98	98	+98	Yes	+$0	01-09 05:12
ethereum above 2400 on january 5	1	$97	98	+98	Yes	+$0	01-03 18:30
ethereum above 2600 on january 7	1	$97	97	+97	Yes	+$0	01-05 20:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$95	96	+96	No	+$0	05-19 10:27
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	05-08 15:25
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 27	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-26 16:22
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 17	1	$94	94	+94	No	+$0	03-16 13:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	1	$93	94	+94	No	+$0	05-15 05:17
ethereum above 2200 on july 23 2026	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	07-22 04:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	06-03 05:51
bitcoin above 78k on april 1	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	03-31 01:47
bitcoin above 74k on february 27	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	02-27 08:17
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 23	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	03-22 11:45
ethereum above 2500 on march 21	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	03-20 11:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 11	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	02-10 01:21
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 3	1	$91	92	+92	No	+$0	04-03 03:46
bitcoin above 76k on february 26	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	02-24 05:12
bitcoin above 82k on february 9	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	02-08 03:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 8	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	03-07 21:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on february 3	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-02 01:05
ethereum above 2400 on march 1	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-28 02:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 30	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-29 01:23
bitcoin above 78k on february 21	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-19 17:23
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 6	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-05 08:54
bitcoin above 84k on february 7	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	02-06 01:15
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 4	1	$89	90	+90	No	+$0	03-03 05:34
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 25	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-24 18:11
bitcoin above 76k on february 17	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	02-16 23:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-18 11:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 13	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	02-12 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:51:17	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x85fc40…
07-22 04:51:48	ethereum above 2200 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x28e48f…
06-21 17:29:05	bitcoin above 72k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xfc8861…
06-18 15:59:20	bitcoin above 72k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x275b6e…
06-14 19:50:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xae438c…
06-13 09:30:51	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa4caa9…
06-13 09:29:09	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbe5177…
06-13 09:27:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9495b0…
06-03 05:51:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x22d969…
05-19 10:27:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0xccec7f…
05-15 05:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0xd7dbe3…
05-08 15:25:39	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x73ac4a…
04-30 10:23:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x28fae2…
04-21 14:24:20	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 22	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x1214ee…
04-19 15:12:16	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9f942a…
04-19 11:30:58	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x936ab6…
04-16 11:03:52	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on april 17	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xde6d4e…
04-13 14:37:43	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xbd359a…
04-11 10:14:33	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on april 12	No	BUY	88	100¢	$87	0x117559…
04-05 23:26:51	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x99e62a…
04-05 23:17:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x35025c…
04-05 08:54:15	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 6	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x60dd16…
04-03 03:46:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 3	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x120f28…
03-31 01:47:35	bitcoin above 78k on april 1	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8e906e…
03-29 01:23:42	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 30	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x45ba46…
03-26 16:22:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 27	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xcb9026…
03-24 18:11:33	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 25	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xa66aad…
03-22 11:45:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 23	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x15af04…
03-20 11:09:57	ethereum above 2500 on march 21	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x839a59…
03-18 11:18:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xc03b5b…
03-16 13:29:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 17	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x0333cc…
03-12 11:42:43	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x38958f…
03-07 21:25:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 8	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xf636e8…
03-03 05:34:01	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 4	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x4336f2…
02-28 02:44:19	ethereum above 2400 on march 1	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x852de8…
02-27 08:17:01	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd22c63…
02-24 05:12:36	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xb009f3…
02-22 04:21:10	bitcoin above 76k on february 23	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4e13d8…
02-19 17:23:18	bitcoin above 78k on february 21	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x98045e…
02-16 23:46:39	bitcoin above 76k on february 17	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x96e249…
02-14 01:23:09	ethereum above 2500 on february 15	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8acd00…
02-12 08:03:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 13	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4b1fe1…
02-10 01:21:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 11	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe4575a…
02-08 03:51:51	bitcoin above 82k on february 9	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xebf4cc…
02-06 01:15:37	bitcoin above 84k on february 7	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9a3fda…
02-02 01:05:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on february 3	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc64fb5…
01-31 11:45:08	bitcoin above 92k on february 1	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x6fdd71…
01-29 10:07:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 30	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x56806a…
01-27 08:43:43	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 28	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x726d31…
01-23 06:50:32	bitcoin above 104k on january 25	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb7c955…
01-20 19:16:44	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3800 on january 22	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xb5a4f9…
01-18 04:25:30	bitcoin above 84k on january 20	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x26e3a0…
01-15 00:47:12	ethereum above 2600 on january 17	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$84	0x80654b…
01-13 04:40:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 14	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7a6b78…
01-11 18:28:10	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7f9466…
01-11 18:26:18	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x11cfd1…
01-11 18:23:24	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1264da…
01-09 05:12:08	bitcoin above 82k on january 10	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x05099b…
01-05 20:55:29	ethereum above 2600 on january 7	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x469ae3…
01-03 18:30:47	ethereum above 2400 on january 5	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x0fd7f7…