Realized P&L
+$2.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.03K
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
676
Trades
4,548
lifetime
Volume
$1.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$228
Open exposure
$44.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
50% 73% +$7,158
Politics
42% 77% -$2,256
Sports
4% 72% +$560
Crypto
2% 46% -$1,947
Tech
2% 75% -$471
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$115
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +7,170 $5,858 99¢ $7.1K +$1,226 10-23 16:10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +3,391 $2,450 82¢ $2.8K +$314 09-26 11:08
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +2,563 $2,421 99¢ $2.5K +$121 10-29 13:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,689 $2,111 94¢ $2.5K +$403 10-28 15:56
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +2,531 $2,061 99¢ $2.5K +$445 10-17 22:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +2,862 $2,456 86¢ $2.4K -$9 10-29 17:35
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +2,392 $2,328 98¢ $2.3K +$20 10-29 13:42
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +2,366 $2,257 99¢ $2.3K +$83 10-29 15:18
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1,990 $1,361 100¢ $2.0K +$624 10-25 10:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,099 $1,727 93¢ $2.0K +$225 10-29 13:42
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,942 $725 82¢ $1.6K +$857 10-28 12:45
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +1,223 $1,109 99¢ $1.2K +$101 10-07 22:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,401 $1,140 86¢ $1.2K +$58 09-28 11:01
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +1,097 $827 97¢ $1.1K +$241 09-09 16:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,400 $999 75¢ $1.1K +$51 10-11 22:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,044 $881 92¢ $961 +$79 06-25 22:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,220 $1,119 40¢ $880 -$239 10-29 00:03
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +954 $820 90¢ $854 +$34 10-29 13:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +843 $265 99¢ $837 +$573 10-29 15:17
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +843 $832 98¢ $830 -$2 10-28 16:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,300 $894 62¢ $812 -$82 10-24 22:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,912 $1,164 40¢ $756 -$408 10-01 14:19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -739 -$696 98¢ $-722 -$26 05-22 17:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +832 $574 83¢ $690 +$117 10-22 15:00
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +521 $449 98¢ $509 +$60 10-29 00:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes — +524 $500 88¢ $459 -$41 10-29 14:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +449 $396 92¢ $411 +$15 10-26 11:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +400 $368 94¢ $376 +$8 10-27 01:01
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $364 91¢ $364 +$0 10-28 13:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -227 -$405 98¢ $-223 +$183 09-17 21:13