Realized P&L
-$468
Unrealized P&L
-$434
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,688
lifetime
Volume
$613.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$228
Open exposure
$12.6K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 10:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
50% 60% $-291
Politics
42% 83% $-177
Sports
4%
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,945 $5,316 92¢ $5.4K +$124 07-02 15:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,004 $2,744 89¢ $2.7K $-81 07-20 22:50
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,044 $881 86¢ $903 +$22 06-25 22:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,170 $1,000 74¢ $872 $-128 07-13 12:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -842 $-758 90¢ $-754 +$4 06-15 18:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,158 $683 64¢ $735 +$52 07-11 01:31
New pandemic in 2026? No +600 $552 94¢ $561 +$9 07-06 23:19
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -211 $-197 94¢ $-199 $-3 06-29 22:34
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,197 $-230 14¢ $-168 +$63 05-31 12:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -175 $331 67¢ $-118 $-448 06-20 22:49
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +269 $135 33¢ $89 $-46 07-19 19:05
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -58 $-51 91¢ $-53 $-1 07-19 04:57