Realized P&L
-$468
Unrealized P&L
+$376
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
11
Trades
2,418
lifetime
Volume
$513.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$212
Open exposure
$19.4K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 14:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
48% 60% $-291
Politics
42% 83% $-177
Crypto
4%
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +9,514 $8,967 100¢ $9.5K +$532 06-30 19:48
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,049 $2,946 100¢ $3.0K +$99 06-29 14:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,454 $2,310 100¢ $2.4K +$136 06-26 18:12
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,634 $1,600 64¢ $1.7K +$86 06-22 01:22
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,044 $881 86¢ $903 +$22 06-25 22:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -842 $-758 90¢ $-762 $-4 06-15 18:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +345 $300 88¢ $302 +$2 06-30 20:51
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,197 $-230 25¢ $-299 $-69 05-31 12:28
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -211 $-197 93¢ $-197 $-0 06-29 22:34
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +192 $100 58¢ $112 +$12 06-23 10:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -175 $331 62¢ $-108 $-439 06-20 22:49