Wicked-Implication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$468

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,925

lifetime

Volume

$682.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$233

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 60% $-291

Politics

42% 83% $-177

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	27	$20.5K	10,563	10,563	+0	open	—	07-05 19:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	29	$18.4K	18,562	22	+18,540	open	—	06-03 21:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	17	$17.6K	9,003	9,003	+0	open	—	04-29 21:36
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	34	$14.8K	11,709	4,311	+7,398	open	—	07-31 21:51
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	24	$14.6K	10,965	4,338	+6,627	open	—	07-15 15:37
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$13.8K	13,838	0	+13,838	open	—	07-01 14:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	22	$11.1K	10,232	10,407	-175	open	—	06-20 22:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$9.7K	5,945	4,737	+1,208	open	—	08-08 06:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	29	$9.1K	6,733	6,854	-120	open	—	05-23 20:50
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	14	$8.7K	5,305	3,983	+1,323	open	—	07-31 09:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	43	$8.6K	5,170	3,684	+1,486	open	—	03-31 17:46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	28	$7.9K	7,673	1,100	+6,573	open	—	06-29 22:26
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	32	$7.7K	6,447	1,841	+4,606	open	—	04-18 13:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	33	$6.9K	5,005	4,924	+82	open	—	06-01 00:00
israel closes its airspace by august 15	14	$6.5K	6,974	0	+6,974	open	—	08-05 16:00
israel closes its airspace by june 8	10	$6.5K	6,559	0	+6,559	open	—	06-08 22:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$6.5K	4,761	4,761	+0	open	—	07-03 18:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	20	$6.4K	3,547	3,547	+0	open	—	05-02 18:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	18	$6.0K	6,747	500	+6,247	open	—	05-12 19:13
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	11	$6.0K	3,079	3,079	+0	open	—	07-26 22:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	12	$5.8K	2,977	2,977	+0	open	—	06-26 09:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	16	$5.7K	5,953	0	+5,953	open	—	05-22 20:43
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	9	$5.5K	3,545	3,545	+0	open	—	07-12 19:47
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	16	$5.4K	2,842	2,842	+0	open	—	04-29 23:07
israel closes its airspace by june 9	15	$5.4K	5,517	0	+5,517	open	—	06-09 20:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	23	$5.3K	4,023	1,751	+2,273	open	—	08-12 01:08
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	21	$5.2K	2,951	2,587	+364	open	—	05-24 12:10
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	30	$5.2K	5,648	0	+5,648	open	—	04-29 23:07
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	6	$5.1K	5,139	0	+5,139	open	—	07-01 22:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	26	$5.0K	5,627	0	+5,627	open	—	05-29 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 02:19:45	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	600	94¢	$564	0x4a3cbf…
08-13 02:10:36	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xd01e12…
08-13 02:10:21	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x226e76…
08-13 02:09:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x1a3a71…
08-13 02:09:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x1775d0…
08-13 02:01:03	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x99946b…
08-12 22:31:27	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x2f9f61…
08-12 22:31:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x002c78…
08-12 21:51:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0xea4f2f…
08-12 21:50:43	will russia enter mykolaivka by december 31 2026 20260805154948091	No	SELL	106	22¢	$23	0x90ee47…
08-12 21:18:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xf0d8b9…
08-12 21:12:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	400	12¢	$47	0x1f9572…
08-12 01:16:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	146	77¢	$113	0x36ff44…
08-12 01:16:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x860a6f…
08-12 01:16:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x7bb4ce…
08-12 01:16:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xdb2848…
08-12 01:16:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xbcce1f…
08-12 01:08:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x51dbd5…
08-12 01:01:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x8cf0af…
08-11 12:43:19	will russia enter mykolaivka by december 31 2026 20260805154948091	No	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x82435e…
08-11 12:37:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xf15a47…
08-11 11:43:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe59700…
08-11 11:42:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xe2b720…
08-11 11:39:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x015c2a…
08-11 11:39:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x8bc80a…
08-11 11:32:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc798a7…
08-11 11:32:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xefc28a…
08-11 11:30:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1,445	100¢	$1,439	0x3f3ea4…
08-10 00:56:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	607	99¢	$600	0x77fec8…
08-10 00:55:31	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc2e670…
08-10 00:53:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x7d8b75…
08-10 00:52:13	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	234	25¢	$58	0x8805f0…
08-09 22:38:49	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xa66b7d…
08-09 21:29:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	800	86¢	$688	0x5a60ee…
08-09 12:25:19	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x27923a…
08-09 12:24:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xde40be…
08-09 12:14:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	535	75¢	$400	0x17e22b…
08-09 12:14:09	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	731	92¢	$673	0xb9dbd0…
08-09 11:44:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	431	89¢	$383	0x51c0e9…
08-09 11:44:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x130a7f…
08-09 11:42:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xae6c0b…
08-09 11:42:30	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	SELL	512	97¢	$498	0x1fa182…
08-09 11:37:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	95	85¢	$81	0xa2690f…
08-09 11:37:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x062d98…
08-09 11:17:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	474	96¢	$454	0xc60693…
08-09 10:49:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	573	87¢	$498	0xe2fefb…
08-09 10:49:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	227	87¢	$197	0x10d67a…
08-08 23:50:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	975	92¢	$897	0xfa7deb…
08-08 19:37:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$137	0x8b6827…
08-08 19:28:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	651	92¢	$599	0x42dd5b…
08-08 18:34:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0xec4482…
08-08 12:36:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$114	0x309d2e…
08-08 11:14:55	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x50f913…
08-08 08:05:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xd002cd…
08-08 07:50:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x041ab1…
08-08 06:58:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,435	92¢	$1,320	0xa218d4…
08-08 03:23:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	224	92¢	$206	0xa5cef1…
08-08 03:03:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	600	95¢	$572	0xe62daf…
08-08 00:07:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,870	92¢	$2,640	0x0ebe46…
08-07 18:59:03	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xc92a27…
08-07 07:00:39	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xee9fc8…
08-07 00:35:05	israel military action against yemen by august 31	No	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0x9e1784…
08-07 00:31:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	432	92¢	$397	0x4f6c62…
08-06 16:26:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xf8a97c…
08-06 16:26:06	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xacb169…
08-05 18:59:39	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9359d8…
08-05 16:00:42	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	314	95¢	$300	0x7e3125…
08-05 14:11:41	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	2,188	96¢	$2,100	0x927ee5…
08-05 14:11:24	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	1,683	95¢	$1,600	0x0eedc4…
08-05 14:09:18	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	99	85¢	$84	0x8cfeae…
08-05 14:08:59	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x496a28…
08-05 14:08:51	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc45dca…
08-05 14:07:14	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xcd72ef…
08-05 14:07:08	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x94d8c7…
08-05 14:05:57	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0x7c0943…
08-05 01:49:29	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	110	71¢	$78	0xcf3137…
08-04 22:40:59	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260801211334045	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x095516…
08-04 22:35:08	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260801211334045	Yes	BUY	474	100¢	$472	0x770022…
08-04 21:41:20	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260801211334045	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x916a6d…
08-04 21:38:53	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260801211334045	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4372da…
08-04 21:38:38	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	Yes	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x3f5eb7…
08-04 20:25:39	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd6b3f1…
08-04 20:10:30	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xce4042…
08-04 19:54:12	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x802f7b…
08-04 19:54:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	396	25¢	$100	0x33fe09…
08-04 19:53:29	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	151	81¢	$123	0x450190…
08-04 19:46:51	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0xaca25b…
08-04 17:53:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0xd1337b…
08-04 17:53:48	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x3dc53c…
08-04 16:07:42	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x761c51…
08-04 15:11:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	328	95¢	$312	0xc512cb…
08-04 15:09:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xc32d57…
08-04 15:08:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc6b2c4…
08-04 15:06:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x72dd8d…
08-04 15:06:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x9b15da…
08-04 15:04:48	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by august 31	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa82be3…
08-04 15:04:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$19	0xb00826…
08-04 15:03:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x52b4ea…
08-04 15:03:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	630	95¢	$600	0xe51084…
08-04 15:02:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	315	95¢	$300	0xc6a609…