Realized P&L
+$162
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,034
lifetime
Volume
$83.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$896
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 21:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$130
Other
41% 100% +$32
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -931 $-691 76¢ $-703 $-12 06-09 21:33
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +475 $52 15¢ $69 +$16 06-08 22:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -250 $-75 25¢ $-62 +$12 05-30 02:32
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +24 $4 100¢ $24 +$20 06-02 01:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +200 $18 10¢ $19 +$1 06-08 09:44
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +300 $13 $13 +$0 06-02 04:03
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -20 $-4 18¢ $-4 +$0 06-02 04:23
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +100 $2 $2 $-0 06-03 21:11