Anchored-Leprosy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$162

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,225

lifetime

Volume

$87.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$130

Other

42% 100% +$32

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	43	$2.5K	4,172	4,372	-200	open	—	03-01 01:32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	47	$2.1K	2,884	3,134	-250	open	—	02-28 23:56
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	35	$2.1K	995	1,926	-931	open	—	06-19 15:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	18	$2.0K	825	1,300	-475	open	—	01-28 17:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	33	$1.8K	1,371	1,196	+175	open	—	03-30 00:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	17	$1.8K	830	1,180	-350	open	—	03-05 20:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	27	$1.7K	1,625	1,425	+200	open	—	03-03 17:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	46	$1.7K	1,293	1,493	-200	open	—	03-04 17:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	68	$1.7K	2,949	2,255	+694	open	—	03-15 16:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	74	$1.7K	13,870	11,370	+2,500	open	—	02-01 02:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	24	$1.6K	1,600	1,772	-172	open	—	02-03 00:07
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	47	$1.6K	1,592	1,999	-407	open	—	02-28 21:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	23	$1.5K	1,368	1,368	+0	open	—	01-31 20:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	26	$1.4K	2,250	2,250	+0	open	—	02-27 23:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	17	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-04 17:07
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	19	$1.2K	850	850	+0	open	—	01-10 18:33
netanyahu out by march 31 854	11	$1.2K	600	610	-10	open	—	03-19 16:27
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	3	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-26 21:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	17	$1.1K	4,580	3,305	+1,275	open	—	03-18 17:37
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	48	$1.1K	11,653	11,578	+75	open	—	01-27 14:28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	27	$1.1K	850	950	-100	open	—	02-24 01:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	24	$1.0K	884	884	+0	open	—	03-08 19:53
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	21	$1.0K	877	677	+200	open	—	01-09 02:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$962	1,186	686	+500	open	—	04-07 22:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	7	$924	600	350	+250	open	—	01-28 17:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	21	$836	1,221	1,055	+166	open	—	06-21 22:23
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	14	$819	900	500	+400	open	—	01-26 21:35
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	8	$790	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	03-28 00:24
will uae strike iran by march 31	19	$781	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	03-18 22:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	41	$780	3,195	3,146	+49	open	—	02-07 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:32:40	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xa33b71…
08-11 08:47:48	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xf2d1ac…
08-10 08:31:58	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0bb2ce…
08-10 08:24:10	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xcd7394…
08-08 19:09:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xc00e4f…
08-08 13:11:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x2a05fa…
08-05 18:18:41	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xf43945…
08-05 15:04:47	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xdc3e0a…
08-05 11:59:50	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xeaab7f…
08-04 19:07:44	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x89f032…
08-03 18:27:44	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$6	0x887708…
08-03 12:56:27	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xa767e6…
08-02 07:09:05	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x1f0fd0…
08-02 01:04:05	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x5e9ece…
08-01 22:42:14	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x2aae6c…
08-01 22:41:36	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x5e9628…
07-30 12:49:38	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xfc02f7…
07-30 08:21:29	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x8c009a…
07-29 21:46:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	41	48¢	$20	0x299fe8…
07-29 21:16:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xcadf73…
07-29 20:42:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	63	48¢	$30	0xc9b681…
07-29 20:24:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	70	48¢	$34	0x618b7c…
07-29 20:16:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x9614ff…
07-29 20:15:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0xd09127…
07-27 21:18:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xe39d18…
07-27 21:09:48	Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xb215a7…
07-25 13:49:01	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x2548e6…
07-25 13:48:48	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x898182…
07-21 19:53:34	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	SELL	104	14¢	$15	0x806cad…
07-21 14:25:12	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	18¢	$20	0xee24ca…
07-21 01:50:48	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	18¢	$10	0xb554ab…
07-19 11:34:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa57d80…
07-16 23:22:25	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x99202e…
07-16 01:42:43	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x02d5d7…
07-15 13:28:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x2816f2…
07-15 11:35:52	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4b857a…
07-13 23:45:19	will the furthest home run at the 2026 mlb home run derby travel 500 feet 20260713192848902	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x89cfd0…
07-13 23:08:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xd2018f…
07-13 22:29:41	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x19f7f9…
07-13 18:07:40	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0xdd992e…
07-13 17:23:49	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0xee8f7f…
07-13 05:05:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xc0b014…
07-10 17:30:01	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x322c6c…
07-08 18:18:14	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x778bcb…
07-07 00:06:35	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	No	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0xf788e1…
07-07 00:06:35	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	No	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xec777e…
07-07 00:06:02	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	No	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0x0cdfac…
07-07 00:01:44	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe576fc…
07-06 23:02:34	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x54d57d…
07-06 18:26:02	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6c49d1…
07-06 00:57:34	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x1062e9…
07-06 00:55:46	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x3769f5…
07-05 23:49:59	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xa267b7…
07-05 22:08:59	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	74	12¢	$9	0xad3da3…
07-02 17:07:22	wta mcnally rybakin 2026 07 02	Caty McNally	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x545d7e…
07-01 21:52:20	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x245f4a…
07-01 14:12:52	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x81e33d…
07-01 13:58:37	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x49d7ae…
07-01 11:03:50	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xc14d7b…
07-01 09:00:46	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	81	15¢	$12	0xf0f2d3…
06-30 05:20:13	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	23¢	$13	0x39f909…
06-30 03:15:14	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x585d82…
06-30 01:01:41	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xa6e1d3…
06-29 22:15:31	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x13e0e6…
06-29 22:09:05	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xafc80b…
06-29 21:58:01	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x8412e4…
06-29 19:15:35	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc2051c…
06-29 17:14:26	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x86879a…
06-28 07:15:37	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0x6f1f3e…
06-28 02:00:04	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	263	22¢	$58	0x9571ea…
06-28 01:38:37	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x9848b7…
06-28 00:57:01	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x55edf4…
06-28 00:38:13	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0x9e43bc…
06-25 01:38:53	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x6e5501…
06-24 12:32:31	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xb0def4…
06-24 12:32:31	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x2455fd…
06-24 11:31:11	will starmer say condolences during the next pmq 20260610160650647 729 941	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x7a8cda…
06-24 11:22:08	will starmer say condolences during the next pmq 20260610160650647 729 941	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x1e9d86…
06-24 11:20:23	will starmer say record funding during the next pmq 20260610160650645 662 212	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x40efb6…
06-24 03:05:55	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xe28f66…
06-23 14:31:25	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7fc9be…
06-23 14:13:05	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xc5a7bf…
06-22 13:09:35	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	SELL	68	80¢	$54	0x565152…
06-22 12:49:59	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x418529…
06-22 08:39:07	will starmer say condolences during the next pmq 20260610160650647 729 941	Yes	BUY	73	20¢	$15	0x04c938…
06-22 08:36:35	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	SELL	195	74¢	$144	0x3452b1…
06-22 08:29:47	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xa9d432…
06-22 08:26:50	will starmer say condolences during the next pmq 20260610160650647 729 941	Yes	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x09e306…
06-21 22:23:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x17c9ae…
06-21 22:22:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	91¢	$135	0x174a8f…
06-21 22:22:31	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x27952b…
06-21 21:05:04	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x06c9b3…
06-21 20:03:02	will starmer say record funding during the next pmq 20260610160650645 662 212	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xb6d9d8…
06-21 15:52:46	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x3979b0…
06-21 13:16:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	91¢	$183	0x050c0c…
06-21 00:31:10	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x51d796…
06-21 00:08:40	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa1646e…
06-20 20:55:58	will starmer say thank 5 times during the next pmq 20260610160650631	Yes	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x2010b5…
06-20 20:53:31	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xdae06c…
06-20 20:51:59	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next pmq 20260610160650629	Yes	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0x51a9db…