Realized P&L
+$162
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,171
lifetime
Volume
$86.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$510
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 17:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
54% 100% +$130
Other
43% 100% +$32
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -250 $-75 78¢ $-194 $-119 05-30 02:32
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -467 $-109 20¢ $-96 +$13 06-28 02:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -100 $-90 94¢ $-94 $-4 06-11 20:23
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +273 $58 22¢ $61 +$4 06-30 05:20
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +50 $44 99¢ $49 +$6 06-17 13:42
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $12 18¢ $15 +$3 07-01 21:52
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes -8 $-14 14¢ $-1 +$13 07-01 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5 $-25 $0 +$25 06-13 23:52