Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2.90K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,139
lifetime
Volume
$1.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.21K
Open exposure
$60.8K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 07-21 06:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68%
Other
31%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +21,384 $17,100 88¢ $18.7K +$1,611 07-17 18:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +22,238 $19,420 74¢ $16.3K $-3,075 07-03 14:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -16,983 $-14,161 72¢ $-12312 +$1,848 07-14 12:04
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +8,873 $8,057 96¢ $8.5K +$492 07-20 20:14
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +3,018 $2,617 88¢ $2.7K +$54 07-07 08:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -1,137 $-2,250 84¢ $-955 +$1,295 07-08 21:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -707 $-1,384 91¢ $-645 +$738 07-09 03:46
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +769 $620 70¢ $542 $-78 06-16 13:20
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +115 $83 81¢ $93 +$10 07-02 08:12