Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$20.0K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
798
lifetime
Volume
$854.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.07K
Open exposure
$205.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 06-29 10:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
80%
Other
18%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +124,036 $108,453 100¢ $123.6K +$15,148 06-29 10:14
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +18,377 $14,450 86¢ $15.7K +$1,263 06-26 09:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +14,462 $12,287 90¢ $13.1K +$801 06-24 08:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +13,906 $11,412 84¢ $11.6K +$200 06-26 09:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +8,078 $5,918 84¢ $6.7K +$827 06-13 16:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +7,209 $6,150 90¢ $6.5K +$374 06-29 09:51
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +6,535 $5,880 94¢ $6.1K +$244 06-29 09:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -5,848 $-5,985 100¢ $-5842 +$143 06-24 07:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,657 $-4,300 86¢ $-4028 +$272 06-26 09:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -3,659 $-4,000 100¢ $-3651 +$349 06-24 08:03
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +2,967 $2,697 99¢ $2.9K +$241 06-16 13:43
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -2,102 $-2,113 100¢ $-2094 +$20 06-12 10:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -1,263 $-1,227 100¢ $-1262 $-35 06-11 01:36
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +1,150 $908 88¢ $1.0K +$98 06-16 13:17
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +843 $727 84¢ $712 $-15 06-29 09:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +769 $620 84¢ $642 +$22 06-16 13:20