Realized P&L
-$275.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.87K
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
334
Trades
3,858
lifetime
Volume
$5.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.48K
Open exposure
$244.4K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 10-29 02:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Politics
76% 75% -$250,004
Other
23% 82% -$6,640
Sports
2% 84% -$18,964
Crypto
0% 33% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +182,486 $169,705 92¢ $168.8K -$905 10-26 05:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40,396 $30,405 82¢ $33.3K +$2,922 10-26 03:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +17,664 $14,507 96¢ $17.0K +$2,539 10-26 21:58
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,531 $8,263 99¢ $8.4K +$148 10-26 03:07
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +8,019 $3,939 46¢ $3.6K -$290 10-29 02:47
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +3,483 $3,289 97¢ $3.4K +$89 10-28 11:44
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3,049 $2,490 82¢ $2.5K -$5 08-16 11:47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,353 $2,175 92¢ $2.2K +$1 10-26 05:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +1,660 $1,600 100¢ $1.7K +$51 10-29 02:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +1,579 $1,431 100¢ $1.6K +$145 10-26 03:09
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +1,070 $1,006 94¢ $1.0K -$5 10-29 02:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +902 $799 98¢ $880 +$81 10-28 11:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +0 -$102 100¢ $0 +$102 10-28 04:31