Realized P&L (7d)
-$23.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.3K
Hit rate
89.7%
Resolved (7d)
14
Trades (7d)
145
4,343 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$424.3K
$7.10M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.63K
Open exposure
$257.3K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 11-13 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Politics
80% 77% -$232,131
Other
19% 82% -$4,754
Sports
1% 84% -$18,964
Crypto
0% 33% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +126,974 $104,971 92¢ $116.2K +$11,211 11-12 06:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +92,322 $84,850 95¢ $87.7K +$2,810 11-12 23:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18? Yes +10,631 $9,981 94¢ $10.0K +$55 11-13 16:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +8,638 $7,276 86¢ $7.4K +$109 11-10 01:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +7,386 $6,678 92¢ $6.8K +$154 11-12 13:34
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +5,656 $4,790 92¢ $5.2K +$442 11-04 16:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5,385 $3,576 96¢ $5.1K +$1,567 11-08 12:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +4,062 $2,681 66¢ $2.7K +$20 11-10 01:38
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +2,567 $2,156 100¢ $2.6K +$399 11-04 02:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? No +2,696 $2,399 92¢ $2.5K +$67 11-12 06:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20? Yes +2,407 $2,287 92¢ $2.2K -$84 11-12 06:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? No +2,585 $2,094 83¢ $2.1K +$52 11-12 06:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,928 $1,870 63¢ $1.8K -$25 11-12 13:34
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +2,712 $2,157 66¢ $1.8K -$381 11-12 06:06
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +2,331 $1,619 62¢ $1.5K -$162 11-10 01:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +1,055 $960 88¢ $934 -$26 11-10 12:10
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +711 $650 100¢ $707 +$57 11-07 00:40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? Yes +34 $32 99¢ $34 +$2 11-04 15:35