Hard-Cup 0x47902b…3925b4
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
98.5%
Resolved
8
Trades
60
lifetime
Volume
$4.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$160
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-01 07:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
94% 100% +$2,207
Other
5% 17% $-33
Crypto
1% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +500 $165 28¢ $137 $-27 06-01 07:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -342 $-21 5¢ $-19 +$3 05-30 09:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +135 $5 3¢ $4 $-1 06-01 07:51