Firm-Tailbud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$211

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

52,931

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$334

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-13 06:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

49% 22% +$1

Crypto

34% 0% $-1

Politics

10% 100% +$2

Sports

6% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2519 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-85,352	$-96	0¢	$-299	$-203	06-10 05:49
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	Yes	-2,000	$-7	1¢	$-25	$-18	06-05 15:51
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+2,239	$2	0¢	$3	+$1	06-13 05:17
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	+1,500	$-0	0¢	$3	+$3	06-13 11:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	+1,948	$-1	0¢	$3	+$4	06-13 11:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	+639	$-1	0¢	$1	+$2	06-13 10:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	513	$211	100,160	100,160	+0	open	—	06-10 05:49
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	49	$147	52,950	94,396	-41,446	open	—	02-24 04:58
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	9	$146	46,008	100,000	-53,992	open	—	02-23 04:07
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	152	$114	12,000	4,371	+7,629	open	—	03-10 14:10
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	493	$114	30,058	39,998	-9,940	open	—	03-30 15:17
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	27	$109	36,347	36,347	+0	open	—	03-21 07:31
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	339	$108	42,363	33,008	+9,355	open	—	03-28 18:42
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	586	$97	32,285	32,377	-92	open	—	03-28 05:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	65	$97	35,809	30,377	+5,432	open	—	03-15 16:16
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	37	$94	24,041	70,000	-45,959	open	—	02-22 03:37
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	242	$90	29,746	29,973	-227	open	—	03-27 08:37
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	312	$82	27,398	27,105	+293	open	—	03-27 07:02
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	9	$70	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-09 15:00
will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	9	$67	1,000	856	+144	open	—	03-24 13:02
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	528	$65	19,935	18,536	+1,399	open	—	03-27 00:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	11	$63	10,452	18,548	-8,096	open	—	04-26 04:13
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	135	$59	19,987	19,487	+500	open	—	03-26 01:49
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	312	$58	19,920	19,999	-79	open	—	03-28 12:51
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	260	$57	19,814	15,414	+4,400	open	—	03-24 04:29
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	16	$56	15,582	20,000	-4,418	open	—	03-26 12:28
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	243	$54	24,271	29,999	-5,728	open	—	03-29 09:06
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 240plus	35	$54	11,383	9,205	+2,178	open	—	03-22 02:26
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	302	$53	19,649	16,494	+3,155	open	—	03-30 00:29
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$50	10,000	20,000	-10,000	open	—	03-27 13:09
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	19	$49	4,980	4,711	+269	open	—	03-11 03:40
will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	161	$47	17,040	12,464	+4,576	open	—	02-27 16:09
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	296	$47	19,888	19,654	+234	open	—	03-27 15:28
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	235	$45	28,918	7,811	+21,107	open	—	03-26 08:56
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	261	$44	12,414	15,924	-3,511	open	—	03-27 01:35
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	242	$44	19,804	19,389	+415	open	—	03-27 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 11:37:18	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	168	0¢	$0	0xfd6221…
06-13 11:32:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x69728d…
06-13 11:29:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x2dd351…
06-13 11:29:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6392c3…
06-13 11:16:34	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$0	0xfc7c46…
06-13 11:13:36	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x03b3b4…
06-13 11:04:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x57fd35…
06-13 10:51:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xc06388…
06-13 10:45:06	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x0be3c9…
06-13 10:30:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe24d23…
06-13 10:26:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xbde0bd…
06-13 10:24:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x23f836…
06-13 09:48:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4be4f4…
06-13 09:13:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe462ed…
06-13 08:52:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	352	0¢	$0	0x7cb358…
06-13 08:46:36	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$0	0x84b927…
06-13 08:40:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xb1ac4f…
06-13 08:24:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xeffbcc…
06-13 08:17:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xff7c46…
06-13 08:17:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbd95df…
06-13 07:37:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x2241b1…
06-13 07:36:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc7cb7b…
06-13 06:07:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0xf30e90…
06-13 06:03:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xae5d56…
06-13 06:03:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x5bf278…
06-13 05:17:48	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd568ee…
06-13 04:25:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1c56d6…
06-13 04:16:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xda4d88…
06-13 04:05:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x26c385…
06-13 03:47:25	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0b2093…
06-13 03:39:58	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x241163…
06-13 03:36:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf855bd…
06-13 03:24:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7773bb…
06-13 02:42:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1f7178…
06-13 02:20:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	89	0¢	$0	0x123da3…
06-13 02:18:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	89	0¢	$0	0x1b124e…
06-13 02:13:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x0176b5…
06-13 01:59:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc4c488…
06-13 01:48:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x0ee5cb…
06-13 01:15:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5cd427…
06-13 00:46:37	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdc1a5a…
06-12 23:35:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc66268…
06-12 23:03:19	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x05d00e…
06-12 23:02:10	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe9dbdd…
06-12 22:24:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x010fd8…
06-12 22:22:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x5d7427…
06-12 22:20:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x3b683f…
06-12 22:16:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xfe6b53…
06-12 22:13:06	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x1838d1…
06-12 21:48:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xee683b…
06-12 21:47:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3786fb…
06-12 21:30:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,573	0¢	$3	0x1c4c37…
06-12 21:27:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x677011…
06-12 20:38:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd2b55c…
06-12 20:38:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6c2670…
06-12 20:35:40	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xadd462…
06-12 20:31:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	247	0¢	$0	0x7a53af…
06-12 19:31:00	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x373816…
06-12 18:42:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8f4aae…
06-12 17:59:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa7343a…
06-12 17:45:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x449be1…
06-12 16:29:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3507c5…
06-12 16:22:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xe44a8c…
06-12 15:59:03	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x1efe4b…
06-12 15:31:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd4577a…
06-12 15:11:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x7be4b9…
06-12 14:55:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x70f533…
06-12 14:55:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xd9ae7b…
06-12 14:26:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xd8e852…
06-12 14:19:39	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xe0ad19…
06-12 14:14:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x43f02f…
06-12 14:06:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4260ec…
06-12 13:40:51	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc3b6bf…
06-12 13:26:04	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x0f9810…
06-12 13:09:37	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3cc4aa…
06-12 12:25:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3d444b…
06-12 12:05:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x885790…
06-12 12:05:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x9d65ba…
06-12 11:55:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0x704b63…
06-12 11:22:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x943feb…
06-12 10:55:46	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcdf0a0…
06-12 10:53:27	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x85dbf8…
06-12 10:50:51	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x30c105…
06-12 10:44:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7ec08d…
06-12 10:42:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf694cb…
06-12 10:36:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x1688e4…
06-12 10:36:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x49cde4…
06-12 09:54:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x1544a7…
06-12 09:29:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xe4dc7c…
06-12 08:26:18	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1cb6c2…
06-12 08:11:52	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	0¢	$0	0x979238…
06-12 08:01:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x171f53…
06-12 07:49:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4dadaa…
06-12 07:34:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0ef63e…
06-12 07:32:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x341945…
06-12 07:30:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x186ec6…
06-12 07:25:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x057a46…
06-12 07:23:28	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf52efa…
06-12 06:50:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	232	0¢	$0	0x90c0d6…
06-12 06:48:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x50d79c…