Firm-Tailbud 0x92bb11…dc1afb
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
71.2%
Resolved
5,477
Trades
62,459
lifetime
Volume
$15.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$23
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 09-12 16:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
55% 49% +$1,577
Crypto
28% 5% +$447
Politics
10% 37% +$339
Sports
5% 52% +$117
Tech
1% 48% +$46
Pop-Culture
0% 43% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +770 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-04 17:36
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes -1,130 -$12 0¢ $-2 +$11 09-12 16:07
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-04 16:09
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-04 15:57
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-05 03:33
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-04 15:39
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -1,000 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 05-05 05:07
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 04-28 16:09
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 06:52
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 00:35
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 21:04
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-10 21:54
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -1,000 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 04-28 16:09
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -751 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 04-28 16:12
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +514 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 09-04 17:45
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +255 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-04 16:46
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +255 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-04 16:44
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +221 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-04 16:44
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +124 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-04 17:21
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-04 17:19
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-04 17:27
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-19 06:39