Ornery-Serum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-01 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-0

Politics

19% 0% $-0

Crypto

14% 0% $-0

Tech

12% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-16 08:29
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 09:44
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-26 04:02
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-21 04:33
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 06:15
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 03:16
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 07:44
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-30 02:19
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 06:27
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:04
saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:35
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-13 02:58
nba 2025 26 rpg leader nikola jokic	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 04:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 02:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 09:46
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 08:22
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 02:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 03:30
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 02:26
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 02:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$-0	05-07 03:01
will the central bank of colombia announce a decrease at the march meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:03
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 07:27
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:36
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 01:36
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 02:40
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 07:44
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:30
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:07:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbdf236…
07-01 02:56:29	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb3eaa…
06-30 09:29:29	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ec37b…
06-30 09:27:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xea1396…
06-30 09:03:38	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf580ef…
06-30 08:56:07	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ab1bd…
06-29 02:59:32	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x58cbb3…
06-29 02:49:38	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe7f089…
06-27 03:16:59	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10d07c…
06-27 03:07:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7830b7…
06-26 07:27:46	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4fa94c…
06-26 06:59:28	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x56c26c…
06-25 04:31:50	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x566bb7…
06-25 04:31:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x97eec4…
06-25 03:54:55	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf539e…
06-25 03:48:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3e048f…
06-24 01:25:46	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaa8e43…
06-24 00:55:05	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x186a4a…
06-23 03:39:01	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40dc63…
06-23 03:23:19	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73478c…
06-22 00:38:11	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd36896…
06-22 00:37:17	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6f292…
06-21 04:16:43	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3d618b…
06-21 04:16:05	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc3e5de…
06-21 03:34:38	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1819b7…
06-21 03:29:59	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4dd18d…
06-18 03:05:08	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9c7977…
06-18 02:57:38	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x70bda6…
06-17 07:33:13	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xde68c0…
06-17 07:09:58	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2016e2…
06-16 03:53:55	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xda4e23…
06-16 03:31:51	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa90d30…
06-15 03:43:43	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0649a3…
06-15 03:24:09	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6ff8e…
06-13 03:41:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x511df4…
06-13 03:40:28	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97a9dd…
06-13 03:25:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x894294…
06-13 03:18:52	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x08846a…
06-12 03:36:18	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x04e70c…
06-12 03:35:46	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d23a7…
06-12 03:24:27	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x031e87…
06-12 03:21:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde966a…
06-11 03:28:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3c75ff…
06-11 03:12:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xea6049…
06-10 03:21:16	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb938d…
06-09 04:20:27	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa7ce77…
06-09 03:13:45	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x859df2…
06-08 02:55:49	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf15fca…
06-08 02:22:33	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f4858…
06-06 03:30:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc544d…
06-06 03:15:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacdeb6…
06-05 03:23:39	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x72aa20…
06-05 03:04:22	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3bd18…
06-03 07:44:56	will spike lee attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730804	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c5750…
06-03 07:03:01	will spike lee attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730804	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21cb04…
06-02 02:44:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeecdb7…
06-02 02:44:07	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa05428…
06-02 02:31:29	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79c0ab…
06-02 02:25:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7550e6…
06-01 03:54:59	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcf02b9…
06-01 03:28:56	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaee53f…
05-30 03:33:06	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65c4a3…
05-30 03:07:00	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a9a44…
05-29 03:29:12	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4f3103…
05-29 03:11:51	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9840dd…
05-28 03:31:15	Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x528476…
05-28 03:30:42	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b468a…
05-28 03:16:47	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf442f…
05-26 03:57:57	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18109b…
05-26 03:16:53	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc0333…
05-19 03:02:34	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x50f054…
05-19 02:41:55	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4110f7…
05-18 03:27:49	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9fa5c…
05-18 03:02:09	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae40fa…
05-16 09:46:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4f0fe3…
05-16 09:45:40	Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03162b…
05-16 09:43:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe51010…
05-16 02:24:17	Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe17dc…
05-14 03:00:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd18156…
05-14 02:47:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd502d3…
05-13 02:59:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x237027…
05-13 02:58:46	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x967feb…
05-13 02:40:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe165fc…
05-13 02:37:23	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcfc769…
05-12 03:11:17	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x22b5da…
05-12 02:58:29	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1915a0…
05-11 02:35:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe89a93…
05-11 02:26:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4f8cfe…
05-08 02:59:31	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5c4243…
05-08 02:58:24	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2e0b02…
05-08 02:47:44	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8751e0…
05-08 02:45:01	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb12151…
05-07 03:02:19	Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe557d5…
05-07 03:01:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x87024e…
05-07 02:30:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x16a9ef…
05-07 02:24:24	Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedb9a9…
05-06 02:45:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4adde0…
05-06 02:37:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbabb28…
04-29 02:36:22	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfa8cc3…
04-29 02:35:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x058203…