Hasty-Cartilage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-01 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-0

Politics

20% 0% $-0

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

13% 0% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 07:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	9	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	01-16 08:29
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 03:16
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-10 08:25
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:03
saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:35
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-13 02:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-01 02:30
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 07:44
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 08:01
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 02:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-10 02:09
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 02:43
aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 04:02
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 03:30
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 03:55
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 02:58
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-09 01:54
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 09:44
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 07:27
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:36
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 01:36
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-29 09:38
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-30 02:19
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 02:32
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:29
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 06:19
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:07:07	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x29618b…
07-01 02:56:25	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe363d1…
06-30 09:29:23	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8383e4…
06-30 09:27:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd62917…
06-30 09:03:29	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e72eb…
06-30 08:56:04	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1cb048…
06-29 02:59:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8b7217…
06-29 02:49:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8dbf94…
06-27 03:16:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8fae9a…
06-27 03:07:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ccd3b…
06-26 07:27:32	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x51d30a…
06-26 06:59:23	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e4c1a…
06-25 04:31:50	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdcba47…
06-25 04:31:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x67e039…
06-25 03:54:14	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb03e66…
06-25 03:48:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x17f850…
06-24 01:25:41	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb72e9…
06-24 00:54:56	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb783e8…
06-23 03:38:53	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a5b0f…
06-23 03:23:10	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07d914…
06-22 00:38:04	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb7493…
06-22 00:37:13	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x315013…
06-21 04:16:35	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7912a8…
06-21 04:15:59	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x38a08a…
06-21 03:34:37	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3bff12…
06-21 03:29:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4cbd8…
06-18 03:05:08	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5a36e3…
06-18 02:57:35	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71e190…
06-17 07:33:10	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd2a154…
06-17 07:09:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41c309…
06-16 03:53:51	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd82476…
06-16 03:31:45	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ed11b…
06-15 03:43:43	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0e03b9…
06-15 03:24:03	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4577e…
06-13 03:41:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a175b…
06-13 03:40:24	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc90196…
06-13 03:25:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x200845…
06-13 03:18:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd7dae6…
06-12 03:36:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbc49bc…
06-12 03:35:43	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfead5f…
06-12 03:24:19	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41bf8a…
06-12 03:20:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6cece4…
06-11 03:28:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf0fe5b…
06-11 03:12:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaaa0de…
06-10 03:21:10	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa64fa7…
06-09 04:20:22	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x378359…
06-09 03:13:45	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d4549…
06-08 02:55:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0cbdfc…
06-08 02:22:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b3d77…
06-06 03:30:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5255ee…
06-06 03:15:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25a88a…
06-05 03:23:33	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcc9cb3…
06-05 03:04:19	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf98098…
06-03 07:44:52	will spike lee attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730804	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf880fe…
06-03 07:02:56	will spike lee attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730804	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d0c9c…
06-02 02:44:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbbcb19…
06-02 02:43:58	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xddb38a…
06-02 02:31:24	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4792e5…
06-02 02:25:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d0bb4…
06-01 03:54:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe65fb4…
06-01 03:28:56	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x120c78…
05-30 03:32:57	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6522e8…
05-30 03:06:54	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x397275…
05-29 03:29:07	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf49bbb…
05-29 03:11:40	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x747d4f…
05-28 03:31:10	Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x57ad6e…
05-28 03:30:37	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc269ab…
05-28 03:16:42	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c8a59…
05-26 03:57:56	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa285b8…
05-26 03:16:46	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x828db8…
05-19 03:02:39	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe21f09…
05-19 02:42:06	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a11f5…
05-18 03:27:50	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9da534…
05-18 03:02:12	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc99b26…
05-16 03:04:34	Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x039ae4…
05-16 02:24:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc97abb…
05-14 03:00:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa0bfc…
05-14 02:47:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x616d8c…
05-13 02:59:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x502829…
05-13 02:58:41	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa8aef2…
05-13 02:40:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x88c73d…
05-13 02:37:20	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8bb3c…
05-12 03:11:16	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ddd2c…
05-12 02:58:17	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8fa3ed…
05-11 02:35:40	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2c9da2…
05-11 02:26:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4fd554…
05-08 02:59:06	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2153f4…
05-08 02:58:21	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8cce88…
05-08 02:47:30	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdfcfbe…
05-08 02:45:03	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff769d…
05-07 03:02:12	Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6bc6a3…
05-07 03:01:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfe9698…
05-07 02:28:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x70e910…
05-07 02:24:24	Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9619eb…
05-06 02:45:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x97e25b…
05-06 02:38:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa01876…
04-29 02:36:20	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd740ff…
04-29 02:35:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba0a34…
04-29 02:32:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4394c…
04-29 02:30:12	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde2b84…