Hasty-Cartilage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

358

lifetime

Volume

$355

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-21 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Politics

21% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Tech

11% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 07:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	9	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	01-16 08:29
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 03:16
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-10 08:25
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 04:03
saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:35
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-13 02:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-01 02:30
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 07:44
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 08:01
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-04 02:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-10 02:09
will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 02:51
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 02:43
aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 04:02
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 03:30
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 03:55
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 02:58
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-09 01:54
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 09:44
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 07:27
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:36
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 01:36
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-29 09:38
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-30 02:19
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 03:41
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 02:32
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:51:16	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x25b13a…
07-21 07:27:45	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaffb7…
07-20 04:15:39	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9c35fa…
07-20 03:47:36	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2f30b5…
07-18 04:31:45	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe29de9…
07-18 04:31:10	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbc553c…
07-18 04:03:15	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfda410…
07-18 03:56:45	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc82f62…
07-17 07:17:12	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf7952f…
07-17 06:58:21	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd14880…
07-16 03:41:44	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba6d6d…
07-16 03:40:43	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ca7dd…
07-16 03:18:23	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b132b…
07-16 03:12:46	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6e67b…
07-15 02:52:05	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x72948d…
07-15 02:51:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x656e08…
07-15 02:42:34	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee4c99…
07-15 02:39:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d5894…
07-14 09:48:16	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x466306…
07-14 09:18:04	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62e7ee…
07-13 03:35:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x00f2cb…
07-13 03:17:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x671d99…
07-11 09:53:31	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a0552…
07-11 09:52:59	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce80ae…
07-11 09:43:31	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf4666f…
07-11 09:37:14	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9068b7…
07-10 03:11:43	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1f35d4…
07-10 02:55:05	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96d5ef…
07-09 07:04:11	bitcoin above 54k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb94c43…
07-09 06:48:59	bitcoin above 54k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17cada…
07-08 03:39:11	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69ab8f…
07-08 03:38:46	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x543339…
07-08 03:19:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe47bb1…
07-08 03:14:52	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73f2e9…
07-07 06:49:16	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x467da1…
07-07 06:30:31	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x35f974…
07-04 02:36:17	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc923d4…
07-04 02:35:49	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8602d7…
07-04 02:24:44	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa9f0ef…
07-04 02:14:29	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a20e8…
07-03 09:04:14	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x525b8d…
07-03 09:03:38	Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x245aa1…
07-03 08:49:29	Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x647aa9…
07-03 08:43:17	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40fd9a…
07-02 03:29:53	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x34818d…
07-02 03:28:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e6ff0…
07-02 03:16:17	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75ba27…
07-02 03:10:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7376d6…
07-01 03:07:07	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x29618b…
07-01 02:56:25	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe363d1…
06-30 09:29:23	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8383e4…
06-30 09:27:40	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd62917…
06-30 09:03:29	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e72eb…
06-30 08:56:04	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1cb048…
06-29 02:59:28	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8b7217…
06-29 02:49:34	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8dbf94…
06-27 03:16:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8fae9a…
06-27 03:07:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ccd3b…
06-26 07:27:32	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x51d30a…
06-26 06:59:23	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e4c1a…
06-25 04:31:50	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdcba47…
06-25 04:31:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x67e039…
06-25 03:54:14	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb03e66…
06-25 03:48:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x17f850…
06-24 01:25:41	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb72e9…
06-24 00:54:56	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb783e8…
06-23 03:38:53	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a5b0f…
06-23 03:23:10	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07d914…
06-22 00:38:04	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb7493…
06-22 00:37:13	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x315013…
06-21 04:16:35	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7912a8…
06-21 04:15:59	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x38a08a…
06-21 03:34:37	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3bff12…
06-21 03:29:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4cbd8…
06-18 03:05:08	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5a36e3…
06-18 02:57:35	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71e190…
06-17 07:33:10	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd2a154…
06-17 07:09:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x41c309…
06-16 03:53:51	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd82476…
06-16 03:31:45	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ed11b…
06-15 03:43:43	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0e03b9…
06-15 03:24:03	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4577e…
06-13 03:41:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a175b…
06-13 03:40:24	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc90196…
06-13 03:25:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x200845…
06-13 03:18:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd7dae6…
06-12 03:36:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbc49bc…
06-12 03:35:43	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfead5f…
06-12 03:24:19	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41bf8a…
06-12 03:20:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6cece4…
06-11 03:28:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf0fe5b…
06-11 03:12:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaaa0de…
06-10 03:21:10	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa64fa7…
06-09 04:20:22	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x378359…
06-09 03:13:45	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d4549…
06-08 02:55:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0cbdfc…
06-08 02:22:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b3d77…
06-06 03:30:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5255ee…
06-06 03:15:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25a88a…
06-05 03:23:33	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcc9cb3…