Puny-Library — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.82K

Unrealized P&L

-$421

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

132

Trades

782

lifetime

Volume

$113.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

$8.44K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Politics

61% 65% +$7,515

Other

38% 71% -$796

Sports

1% 100% +$74

Crypto

1% 100% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+3,174	$2,920	92¢	$2.9K	-$16	10-16 11:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+5,989	$2,523	36¢	$2.2K	-$337	10-26 20:15
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,381	$2,000	84¢	$2.0K	-$12	10-26 23:18
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	+1,108	$1,000	90¢	$1.0K	+$2	10-30 07:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+742	$404	46¢	$345	-$59	10-26 00:12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-12	-$11	95¢	$-11	$0	06-01 15:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	42	$11.7K	8,873	8,873	+0	Yes	+$5,997	10-23 22:57
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	5	$8.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$918	07-31 17:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$6.5K	3,666	3,666	+0	open	—	07-05 15:43
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	10	$5.6K	2,945	2,945	+0	No	+$65	01-30 23:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	44	$4.6K	12,908	12,908	+0	Yes	+$1,219	08-13 06:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$3.6K	2,983	2,983	+0	Yes	+$297	03-22 16:54
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	8	$3.2K	1,677	1,677	+0	No	+$26	06-09 09:31
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	38	$3.1K	2,745	2,745	+0	No	+$475	07-11 13:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	1	$2.9K	3,174	0	+3,174	open	—	10-16 11:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	7	$2.5K	5,989	0	+5,989	open	—	10-26 20:15
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	22	$2.4K	1,333	2,537	-1,204	No	-$218	01-13 17:37
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	28	$2.2K	4,001	1,494	+2,507	No	-$2,108	09-30 01:44
will trump disparage machado by friday	5	$2.1K	2,269	0	+2,269	No	+$120	01-15 22:03
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	18	$2.0K	0	2,686	-2,686	No	-$681	01-03 04:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,381	0	+2,381	open	—	10-26 23:18
will russia capture novyi donbas by august 31 20260724163321935	3	$1.9K	2,363	0	+2,363	No	+$454	08-06 08:22
will anyone audibly fart during trumps wef 2026 speech	11	$1.7K	1,826	0	+1,826	No	+$88	01-18 19:48
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	10	$1.6K	1,150	893	+257	Yes	-$67	05-28 23:24
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	7	$1.4K	1,679	1,679	+0	Yes	+$330	08-07 09:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.4K	704	704	+0	No	+$3	06-06 19:51
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	3	$1.3K	4,182	4,182	+0	No	-$119	07-29 16:13
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	4	$1.2K	1,311	0	+1,311	No	+$72	05-28 10:23
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.2K	797	455	+341	No	+$11	06-01 20:29
ukraine election called by august 31 2026	8	$1.2K	1,321	0	+1,321	No	+$103	07-08 12:26
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	1	$1.2K	2,965	0	+2,965	Yes	-$1,200	08-09 14:25
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16	3	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$54	01-11 22:52
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	12	$1.0K	531	564	-33	No	+$32	01-12 07:06
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	4	$1.0K	1,998	0	+1,998	Yes	+$979	10-16 17:43
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	1	$1000	1,108	0	+1,108	open	—	10-30 07:58
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	3	$987	777	777	+0	No	+$101	07-26 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:58:06	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,108	90¢	$1,000	0x9b19c2…
10-29 19:27:42	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	34¢	$113	0xa4080f…
10-28 18:43:02	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0x658982…
10-27 17:45:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0x85d55a…
10-27 16:56:08	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	526	54¢	$284	0x8f01bd…
10-27 15:26:18	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xc69546…
10-27 01:02:14	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	367	35¢	$130	0x2233f1…
10-26 23:18:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0x1f9741…
10-26 20:15:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,605	38¢	$1,370	0x7b160b…
10-26 07:47:38	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	306	17¢	$53	0x655200…
10-26 00:12:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	148	40¢	$59	0x600ee8…
10-25 23:36:57	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	289	35¢	$100	0xf4466f…
10-25 14:49:03	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	358	37¢	$133	0x2cb817…
10-24 18:00:56	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	969	24¢	$230	0x378f1a…
10-24 18:00:44	Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	35¢	$74	0xe83b80…
10-23 22:57:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,895	100¢	$1,893	0x49e517…
10-23 22:54:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	100¢	$430	0xfe9d2c…
10-23 22:48:51	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x529d90…
10-23 22:47:45	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,548	100¢	$2,546	0xae4850…
10-22 21:25:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	67¢	$70	0xabd679…
10-22 13:44:26	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$28	0x27b42b…
10-22 13:44:18	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xfd279d…
10-22 12:56:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	434	33¢	$143	0x9917ce…
10-22 12:56:39	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0xc6280f…
10-22 12:56:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4f44dd…
10-22 12:56:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xcd4a9b…
10-22 12:56:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	37¢	$127	0x09404b…
10-22 12:29:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	35¢	$121	0xdff314…
10-22 12:19:57	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	31¢	$108	0x06fdb4…
10-22 12:06:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	23¢	$48	0x98afe4…
10-22 12:06:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	24¢	$30	0xf8a2a0…
10-22 12:05:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x47c8c7…
10-22 12:03:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x98f531…
10-22 00:29:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x1fbc08…
10-21 23:48:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xe4868a…
10-21 23:47:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x44fde3…
10-21 23:38:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xf0a944…
10-21 22:08:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	13¢	$91	0x03043f…
10-21 16:26:17	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	681	16¢	$109	0x4663e8…
10-21 16:21:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x7608fa…
10-21 15:50:05	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	16¢	$19	0x1354b8…
10-21 07:13:39	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,382	17¢	$239	0x86fc2a…
10-20 12:51:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	367	58¢	$213	0xae6fe5…
10-20 06:05:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x9b2693…
10-20 06:04:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfc7cad…
10-20 06:04:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	168	58¢	$98	0x894562…
10-19 22:33:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	790	49¢	$387	0xc653c3…
10-19 22:27:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x15570b…
10-19 20:35:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x9f3dad…
10-19 19:24:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x6bf374…
10-19 18:19:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x6fbb34…
10-18 21:05:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	999	47¢	$470	0xe9e6f8…
10-16 17:43:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	999	51¢	$509	0x7eef12…
10-16 17:40:39	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x81e3e8…
10-16 11:54:34	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	961	51¢	$490	0xf553fe…
10-16 11:30:30	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3,174	92¢	$2,920	0x5e66f1…
10-09 17:43:52	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	655	59¢	$384	0xa61de0…
10-09 17:37:32	will trump say union during his midterm rally in new york october 9	No	BUY	580	34¢	$200	0x98559a…
10-09 17:28:23	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	3,078	31¢	$940	0xea9818…
10-01 21:53:42	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	BUY	579	43¢	$250	0xd5e572…
10-01 18:31:51	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	62¢	$136	0x4ceaad…
10-01 16:29:11	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4c608c…
10-01 16:23:45	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7515f7…
10-01 16:23:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x335bb6…
10-01 16:23:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	63¢	$68	0x39509f…
10-01 15:47:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x17de6f…
10-01 13:48:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa81026…
10-01 13:48:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	63¢	$47	0x56c3da…
10-01 02:18:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	63¢	$107	0x585d9f…
09-30 01:44:53	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x7de487…
09-30 01:37:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	219	5¢	$11	0x951c38…
09-29 19:48:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	4¢	$48	0x1a1ec6…
09-24 13:56:47	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x6c5ce0…
09-24 13:26:44	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x735a60…
09-24 13:11:50	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xe9199e…
09-24 11:20:48	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x148d4a…
09-24 10:48:59	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xd3a478…
09-24 10:48:59	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1d359c…
09-24 10:46:21	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6f495f…
09-24 10:42:57	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x05a42b…
09-24 10:05:54	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x849e7a…
09-24 10:05:24	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9768dc…
09-24 10:00:21	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7456d5…
09-24 10:00:12	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x737193…
09-24 09:50:57	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b3d38…
09-24 09:48:11	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdc3bbe…
09-24 09:21:38	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x66765e…
09-24 08:16:17	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x93b920…
09-24 08:13:57	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeb98fd…
09-24 08:09:54	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2ef39d…
09-24 07:50:27	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x3151e1…
09-24 07:39:35	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x25d403…
09-24 07:39:14	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3bf501…
09-24 07:33:41	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ffe7c…
09-24 07:09:30	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3a055c…
09-24 07:09:12	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc3160b…
09-24 06:38:15	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x50f529…
09-24 06:38:08	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x12e7ed…
09-24 06:38:06	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x93dd34…
09-24 06:37:51	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	111	33¢	$37	0xe5ff8a…