Hateful-Gossip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

233

Trades

566

lifetime

Volume

$8.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-04 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

63% 35% -$159

Crypto

13% 31% -$35

Politics

11% 32% +$21

Sports

9% 37% -$21

Tech

3% 100% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+50	$12	2¢	$1	-$11	05-23 07:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	7	$322	170	170	+0	No	+$4	01-14 09:30
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	12	$304	304	210	+94	Under	-$59	06-15 17:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$235	323	323	+0	No	+$38	06-01 15:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	8	$222	355	355	+0	Yes	+$49	07-01 10:18
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$206	110	110	+0	Yes	+$6	01-10 16:34
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$175	410	410	+0	Yes	+$83	03-24 03:11
efa tot ast 2026 01 10 ast	2	$170	135	135	+0	Yes	+$70	01-10 18:38
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$154	150	150	+0	No	-$50	04-30 11:11
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread home 1pt5	2	$145	100	99	+1	Real Madrid CF	+$28	04-15 19:59
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	3	$139	88	88	+0	Yes	+$37	03-10 22:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$138	200	200	+0	No	-$18	07-01 10:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$138	250	60	+190	Yes	-$49	06-01 08:03
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	3	$129	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	06-15 09:45
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 draw	2	$116	100	100	+0	Yes	+$84	03-15 18:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$116	110	110	+0	No	-$37	05-23 09:07
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	3	$110	290	100	+190	Yes	-$26	04-29 18:22
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$106	140	140	+0	No	+$0	05-02 21:32
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	4	$104	77	77	+0	Yes	+$45	05-27 13:36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$104	170	0	+170	Yes	+$66	05-05 17:57
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$100	288	288	+0	No	+$7	07-08 16:32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$99	150	0	+150	No	-$99	05-04 07:36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$88	70	70	+0	Yes	+$46	04-29 20:57
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	11	$80	233	91	+141	No	-$20	05-10 20:08
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$80	133	66	+68	Yes	+$41	04-13 03:54
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	2	$79	50	50	+0	Under	+$21	04-29 20:58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$79	86	86	+0	Aurora	-$22	05-28 14:06
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	4	$77	70	70	+0	LGD Gaming	-$16	05-28 11:42
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	8	$73	200	100	+100	No	-$5	07-11 22:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$71	47	47	+0	Yes	+$9	05-29 10:06
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$68	100	200	-100	No	+$8	03-27 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 10:16:52	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	70	33¢	$23	0x23d02f…
09-04 03:38:07	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	27¢	$24	0x930153…
07-22 09:30:57	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x4aae2a…
07-18 07:28:16	Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x555bbd…
07-17 06:59:30	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x9d0472…
07-15 19:42:11	England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xfe63ef…
07-15 08:26:11	England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x60f7dc…
07-14 17:18:14	France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x45e482…
07-14 17:17:01	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	80	38¢	$30	0x7249e8…
07-11 22:28:53	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x3470c1…
07-11 22:26:29	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x117fe9…
07-11 10:09:07	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x2d2c7b…
07-11 08:21:44	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x4a76cc…
07-10 10:51:32	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xb3efa7…
07-10 10:21:14	Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xfe4844…
07-10 10:21:14	Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x15854f…
07-09 09:53:16	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xe288ae…
07-08 16:34:01	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x37ef3f…
07-08 16:33:52	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	70	33¢	$23	0xfddaad…
07-08 16:33:25	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	230	2¢	$6	0x428d40…
07-08 16:33:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	190	6¢	$11	0xe61d69…
07-08 16:32:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	288	19¢	$54	0xd21158…
07-07 19:50:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3bf033…
07-07 09:53:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x5612f0…
07-06 08:13:22	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,400	0¢	$5	0xa26463…
07-04 08:35:44	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xed9f48…
07-03 18:35:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$39	0x043c63…
07-03 18:34:44	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x24256a…
07-03 10:57:16	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x94e09a…
07-01 10:51:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x219839…
07-01 10:18:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	198	5¢	$11	0xe68f0c…
07-01 09:01:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0xffc3ab…
07-01 08:59:08	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xa669c2…
07-01 08:56:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa35d34…
06-30 02:47:58	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x9edb01…
06-29 18:47:28	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1e15e0…
06-29 12:57:23	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x05d664…
06-29 11:41:23	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xddd35c…
06-29 10:47:56	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x089a14…
06-29 10:17:59	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x98c00f…
06-29 08:56:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xe8a7c4…
06-29 08:48:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xb27e36…
06-26 11:51:32	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x4f4594…
06-26 11:36:37	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x90c69c…
06-26 11:28:07	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x305f42…
06-26 10:14:34	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x025c0a…
06-26 07:38:11	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9ecc00…
06-25 13:58:31	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xd5971e…
06-24 17:03:29	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	195	8¢	$15	0x5765f2…
06-24 12:30:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xd5c932…
06-24 12:28:40	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xb69e3a…
06-24 12:14:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x7a0daf…
06-24 12:14:10	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xc9bfee…
06-24 12:11:35	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0d40c5…
06-24 10:15:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 24 2026	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1533b4…
06-24 09:09:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x6683fc…
06-24 09:07:37	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	BUY	235	2¢	$4	0xf043f2…
06-23 23:52:26	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x941308…
06-23 19:58:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	84	13¢	$11	0x73a686…
06-23 14:19:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0xedec45…
06-23 09:09:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x739166…
06-22 20:58:19	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x582b6d…
06-20 09:01:38	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	6¢	$6	0x5596d2…
06-19 12:48:11	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	86	20¢	$17	0x421e82…
06-19 12:25:05	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xc128b4…
06-19 11:40:58	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	89	17¢	$15	0x6dc858…
06-19 11:10:01	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x0010a4…
06-19 10:35:50	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x54f003…
06-19 10:35:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x06be13…
06-19 09:22:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x74d025…
06-19 08:42:14	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x05a75a…
06-19 08:41:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$35	0xa8d85c…
06-18 10:09:13	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc073fa…
06-18 10:02:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xc07cbd…
06-18 10:01:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xe548e0…
06-18 09:59:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x577249…
06-18 09:57:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xfd3ae7…
06-18 09:28:01	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x55adca…
06-17 19:28:11	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xccc925…
06-17 12:22:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	57	76¢	$43	0x055320…
06-17 08:13:40	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x535223…
06-17 07:52:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x9403d2…
06-16 15:51:05	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xed990d…
06-16 14:17:37	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xadaff8…
06-16 14:17:32	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x3468be…
06-16 13:21:29	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0x4a926e…
06-16 13:21:01	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x952358…
06-16 13:11:13	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x803b90…
06-16 13:11:06	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x482b41…
06-16 13:07:55	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x926b03…
06-16 12:29:03	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0x94f7b2…
06-16 12:27:33	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x411f29…
06-16 08:51:33	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x0db1ff…
06-16 08:46:15	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x1beedc…
06-15 17:20:30	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	94	80¢	$76	0xf4e17c…
06-15 17:08:28	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	210	36¢	$76	0x4b2e97…
06-15 16:28:06	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0f9a24…
06-15 16:27:55	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xa6a48b…
06-15 16:27:52	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x80dd10…
06-15 16:25:45	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x45f024…