Dreary-Flanker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$555

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-29 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

95% 50% +$1,317

Crypto

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+294	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-29 21:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$439	1,761	+1,761	Yes	+$1,322	04-05 18:41
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$25	600	+600	open	—	04-19 08:54
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$16	1,066	+1,066	open	—	05-12 19:32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$15	88	+88	open	—	05-19 21:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	1	$10	67	+67	open	—	04-05 15:55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$10	72	+72	open	—	04-09 22:15
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$5	320	+320	No	$-5	05-11 18:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$5	62	+62	open	—	05-14 20:37
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$5	383	+383	open	—	05-14 20:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$5	2,500	+2,500	open	—	04-05 15:50
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	294	+294	open	—	05-29 21:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	129	+129	open	—	05-16 19:54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$5	22	+22	open	—	04-09 22:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	143	+143	open	—	05-16 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 21:05:18	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xc963e0…
05-19 21:02:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xabd78c…
05-16 20:01:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x40204c…
05-16 19:54:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xa172f7…
05-14 20:37:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa6b2a5…
05-14 20:36:27	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	383	1¢	$5	0xfdee2d…
05-12 19:32:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7cdfee…
05-11 18:58:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x681dc5…
05-11 18:57:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$5	0xba23ba…
05-10 07:50:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xba01c7…
04-19 08:54:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xcc4f67…
04-09 22:15:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x63fe35…
04-09 22:15:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x6b77de…
04-09 20:07:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbae223…
04-05 18:41:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,196	25¢	$299	0xcd9f79…
04-05 16:45:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	24¢	$40	0x45674f…
04-05 15:55:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x5a7ed1…
04-05 15:53:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xe4f0d7…
04-05 15:50:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x066e7f…