Miserable-Mast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$323

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-21 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-0

Politics

25% 0% $-0

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:29
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-19 04:47
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-16 02:54
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 03:16
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:35
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 04:02
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-13 02:59
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-01 02:30
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-12 01:30
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 02:29
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 06:15
chatgpt full outage by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:21
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:10
will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 02:51
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 03:30
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 02:59
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 07:27
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:36
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 01:36
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 03:41
will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 03:16
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:30
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 03:33
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:15
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 07:06
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-17 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:51:22	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x189665…
07-21 07:27:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76f581…
07-20 04:15:42	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x576d48…
07-20 03:47:43	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfe5057…
07-18 04:31:49	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0738fd…
07-18 04:31:13	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x978c38…
07-18 04:02:49	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5e5cf…
07-18 03:56:51	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x467706…
07-17 07:17:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c3411…
07-17 06:58:21	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6e715…
07-16 03:41:49	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe2b037…
07-16 03:40:46	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e1af7…
07-16 03:18:31	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc46a04…
07-16 03:13:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4d494…
07-15 02:52:08	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcf8884…
07-15 02:51:37	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7ac17f…
07-15 02:42:34	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5dd2bf…
07-15 02:39:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3b484…
07-14 09:48:17	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x37ab8b…
07-14 09:18:47	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7fa70d…
07-13 03:35:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9efb24…
07-13 03:17:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf634b9…
07-11 09:53:34	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf42fc2…
07-11 09:52:59	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8335d4…
07-11 09:44:13	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe001ad…
07-11 09:37:28	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x859761…
07-10 03:11:44	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x19c877…
07-10 02:54:26	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56e695…
07-09 07:04:16	bitcoin above 54k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x732043…
07-09 06:49:31	bitcoin above 54k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd96d88…
07-08 03:39:22	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17cd02…
07-08 03:38:44	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa4d1ae…
07-08 03:19:19	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21332e…
07-08 03:13:29	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb47bf…
07-07 06:49:10	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1841aa…
07-07 06:32:56	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcf0dfe…
07-04 02:36:22	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0e46e…
07-04 02:35:52	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x24c2bf…
07-04 02:24:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcf3de…
07-04 02:14:32	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f0a17…
07-03 09:04:20	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9eb3fc…
07-03 09:03:43	Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9c4f28…
07-03 08:49:32	Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74b0e4…
07-03 08:43:17	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96d256…
07-02 03:29:56	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2b727d…
07-02 03:28:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a95e4…
07-02 03:16:20	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d1b84…
07-02 03:10:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79e467…
07-01 03:07:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x08daa8…
07-01 02:56:28	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2e7876…
06-30 09:29:29	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4bb3b…
06-30 09:27:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x43d329…
06-30 09:03:38	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x979f41…
06-30 08:56:07	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6cd3f…
06-29 02:59:32	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x612cc4…
06-29 02:49:37	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x239380…
06-27 03:16:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdae39d…
06-27 03:07:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e1fd6…
06-26 07:27:46	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8bc411…
06-26 06:59:29	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfacd89…
06-25 04:31:50	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba15fc…
06-25 04:31:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x40772d…
06-25 03:54:46	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x248b47…
06-25 03:48:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b2338…
06-24 01:25:44	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e2cb6…
06-24 00:55:02	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7547d3…
06-23 03:39:01	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xefb2a8…
06-23 03:23:19	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc802e1…
06-22 00:38:07	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7f9963…
06-22 00:37:17	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c6a3b…
06-21 04:16:40	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa9fc7e…
06-21 04:16:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b6c20…
06-21 03:34:38	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0abe0f…
06-21 03:30:02	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1cd11…
06-18 03:05:10	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8c15f…
06-18 02:57:38	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x24c4c7…
06-17 07:33:13	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x33f7a3…
06-17 07:09:58	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x986778…
06-16 03:53:55	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1583f6…
06-16 03:32:06	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x144e39…
06-15 03:43:37	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x81f82b…
06-15 03:24:06	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc49aca…
06-13 03:41:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd3954e…
06-13 03:40:28	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xed9686…
06-13 03:25:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6de774…
06-13 03:18:51	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbb1157…
06-12 03:36:19	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5a0f50…
06-12 03:35:45	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa2001…
06-12 03:24:22	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a71c0…
06-12 03:21:01	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61bb62…
06-11 03:28:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe9a0d6…
06-11 03:12:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8e577e…
06-10 03:21:16	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9be888…
06-09 04:20:27	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xae1e74…
06-09 03:13:45	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d4aeb…
06-08 02:55:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaa69c7…
06-08 02:22:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x929176…
06-06 03:30:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd173e4…
06-06 03:15:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x52ff04…
06-05 03:23:39	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x323efc…