Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.36K

Unrealized P&L

+$45

Hit rate

0.5%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$345.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.20K

Open exposure

$2.34K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-03 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 0% $-9,380

Other

27% — —

Crypto

10% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No		+2,237	$2,176	99¢	$2.2K	+$45	05-28 06:52
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No		+133	$113	86¢	$114	+$1	05-27 22:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$115.3K	60,700	60,700	+0	open	—	04-09 21:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	59	$89.4K	90,000	0	+90,000	open	—	04-19 19:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	19	$72.7K	74,709	0	+74,709	open	—	03-16 19:14
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$34.4K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	02-17 21:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$9.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	$-9,380	05-05 12:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	7	$9.3K	8,422	1,091	+7,332	open	—	02-23 21:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$5.0K	5,114	0	+5,114	open	—	01-29 21:30
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$4.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-12 08:08
will trump visit greenland by march 31	24	$2.9K	1,648	1,648	+0	open	—	02-02 13:14
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,237	0	+2,237	open	—	05-28 06:52
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$285	500	500	+0	open	—	03-05 13:30
will ethena dip to 0 in march	1	$205	215	0	+215	open	—	03-01 10:39
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	2	$113	133	0	+133	open	—	05-27 22:06
will bitcoin reach 92k january 26 1	1	$93	4,660	0	+4,660	open	—	01-30 19:35
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	4	$72	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-05 16:09
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$38	500	500	+0	Yes	+$20	02-11 15:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$36	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	06-03 10:12
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	1	$9	1,458	0	+1,458	open	—	01-30 19:40
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$9	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$3	02-11 16:37
will bitcoin reach 100k january 26 1	1	$7	1,375	0	+1,375	open	—	01-30 19:42
bitcoin above 64k on february 11	2	$5	100	100	+0	open	—	02-11 15:33
will bitcoin reach 102k january 26 1	1	$5	1,710	0	+1,710	open	—	01-30 19:40
will bitcoin reach 94k january 26 1	1	$5	400	0	+400	open	—	01-30 19:38
bitcoin above 74k on february 11	1	$3	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-10 23:40
will bitcoin reach 98k january 26 1	1	$3	495	0	+495	open	—	01-30 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 10:12:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$9	0xf956dd…
06-02 21:30:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,519	1¢	$23	0x26649e…
06-02 21:29:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0xe23fd8…
06-02 21:29:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x29056e…
06-02 21:29:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	1¢	$3	0x0c994b…
05-28 06:52:11	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,237	97¢	$2,176	0x1e6855…
05-27 22:06:43	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x088e2a…
05-27 22:06:27	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0xe4238c…
05-05 12:54:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,479	94¢	$4,201	0x7752a9…
05-05 07:48:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,521	94¢	$5,179	0x9e0f09…
04-19 19:32:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	8,421	99¢	$8,362	0x19691e…
04-19 18:25:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x8f1244…
04-19 18:11:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2,143	99¢	$2,128	0x781446…
04-19 18:10:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,986	0x725aea…
04-19 17:32:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd6f59c…
04-19 17:32:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5248a2…
04-19 17:27:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x18d029…
04-19 16:13:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xf31cb0…
04-19 16:12:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x8751fb…
04-19 16:12:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x45d2a1…
04-19 15:59:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xd77cc0…
04-19 15:59:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0xce0c2b…
04-19 15:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	6,556	99¢	$6,510	0xbbd000…
04-19 15:42:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xf2c96b…
04-19 15:41:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0xd9e43e…
04-19 15:16:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x3c7f20…
04-19 15:08:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x5416dc…
04-19 14:52:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12f01e…
04-19 14:50:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e3f5e…
04-19 14:44:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x75d778…
04-19 14:42:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x76f1db…
04-19 14:41:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64f1d3…
04-19 14:37:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	14,286	99¢	$14,186	0x429fc5…
04-19 14:18:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xab07d5…
04-19 14:16:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfb2893…
04-19 14:12:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9f6d1f…
04-19 13:53:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54535f…
04-19 13:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x8ca05b…
04-19 13:27:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	459	99¢	$456	0x00f573…
04-19 09:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x3f2fe4…
04-19 09:26:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc7e391…
04-19 09:24:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaa473e…
04-19 09:12:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc5d377…
04-19 08:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x2dc8ae…
04-19 08:40:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	26,091	99¢	$25,909	0x6f3cd0…
04-19 08:07:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd120d1…
04-19 07:55:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	380	99¢	$377	0x0a32b4…
04-19 06:40:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	653	99¢	$648	0xd3dcb3…
04-19 06:17:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9be503…
04-19 05:03:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x85ec03…
04-19 04:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	8,875	99¢	$8,813	0xe2de9e…
04-19 02:14:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xba018e…
04-19 01:59:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1,712	99¢	$1,700	0x7df4c9…
04-19 01:57:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1,223	99¢	$1,215	0xc54378…
04-19 00:46:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a8798…
04-19 00:15:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xb78d15…
04-18 23:57:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	714	99¢	$709	0x908dbc…
04-18 22:48:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,979	0xbdbf01…
04-18 22:41:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xe9e475…
04-18 22:13:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa55d50…
04-18 21:44:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	714	99¢	$709	0x8c767a…
04-18 21:11:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,419	0x031402…
04-18 20:55:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$181	0x9c728b…
04-18 20:52:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	7,143	99¢	$7,093	0x07cbb7…
04-18 20:10:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x8a32bc…
04-18 20:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3a177c…
04-18 19:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcc5574…
04-18 19:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x305d35…
04-18 19:41:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	861	99¢	$855	0xee8312…
04-12 08:08:15	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	3,285	82¢	$2,693	0xc382ad…
04-12 07:56:29	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	265	82¢	$217	0x016e44…
04-12 07:53:25	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	30	82¢	$24	0xeb0d47…
04-12 07:53:07	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1,421	82¢	$1,165	0x12043e…
04-09 21:00:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	670	93¢	$625	0x1e6ac7…
04-09 20:59:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0x3d57dd…
04-09 20:59:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xdd345c…
04-09 20:58:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29,219	93¢	$27,181	0xaa3d06…
04-09 18:50:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30,000	98¢	$29,340	0x9de293…
04-01 08:26:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21,298	98¢	$20,872	0xab7832…
04-01 08:20:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9,402	98¢	$9,214	0x924bf2…
03-16 19:14:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x3b3ebc…
03-16 17:06:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20,364	98¢	$19,916	0xced209…
03-16 16:59:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14,980	98¢	$14,650	0xd250f4…
03-16 16:58:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x3e89eb…
03-16 16:53:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	9,630	98¢	$9,418	0x33422f…
03-11 18:50:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30,700	91¢	$27,937	0xc7f43c…
03-05 16:09:05	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	279	4¢	$11	0x70592d…
03-05 16:08:35	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0xb196be…
03-05 16:07:59	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	670	4¢	$27	0x9a7b34…
03-05 13:30:01	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	29¢	$145	0x24878e…
03-05 13:05:59	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0xb86e76…
03-05 12:24:33	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$31	0x7562ae…
03-01 10:39:43	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	215	96¢	$205	0x1e68b0…
02-24 14:00:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	313	97¢	$303	0xf42072…
02-24 14:00:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3fc81f…
02-24 13:43:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	118	97¢	$114	0x5ebfc3…
02-24 13:15:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x7e83eb…
02-24 13:14:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x84fb27…
02-24 13:07:30	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x81c2b3…
02-24 12:59:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	143	97¢	$138	0x88fbc6…