Realized P&L
+$5.65K
Unrealized P&L
-$21.2K
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
604
Trades
7,620
lifetime
Volume
$1.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$221
Open exposure
$64.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 10:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
51% 65% -$924
Politics
31% 69% +$10,121
Crypto
9% 56% +$14,316
Sports
8% 40% -$15,232
Tech
2% 33% -$2,632
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +12,990 $11,027 86¢ $11.2K +$151 10-28 20:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +19,305 $14,348 56¢ $10.9K -$3,441 10-27 20:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -8,715 -$5,228 75¢ $-6532 -$1,304 09-23 07:00
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,027 $3,962 99¢ $4.0K +$24 08-29 23:00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +3,762 $3,311 94¢ $3.6K +$245 08-15 15:59
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes -5,000 -$5,245 68¢ $-3425 +$1,820 09-18 13:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $2,955 84¢ $3.4K +$425 09-20 01:29
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -3,175 -$2,880 96¢ $-3032 -$152 09-14 04:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +15,241 $4,586 15¢ $2.3K -$2,300 10-22 04:54
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +4,650 $1,914 49¢ $2.3K +$355 10-28 07:26
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +7,586 $3,825 25¢ $1.9K -$1,928 10-17 02:05
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +9,352 $8,558 19¢ $1.8K -$6,781 10-29 10:53
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,583 $1,365 99¢ $1.6K +$198 08-20 07:39
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes -5,000 -$800 28¢ $-1385 -$585 08-17 06:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +38,501 $8,170 3¢ $1.2K -$6,957 10-27 02:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -4,269 -$2,305 28¢ $-1195 +$1,110 10-02 21:26
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,027 -$1,011 16¢ $-630 +$381 09-02 18:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,027 -$439 13¢ $-511 -$72 09-02 18:14
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +500 $275 98¢ $491 +$216 08-15 01:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,027 -$346 11¢ $-437 -$91 09-03 16:58
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +9,622 $3,223 4¢ $433 -$2,790 10-17 02:05
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +421 $311 96¢ $405 +$93 08-12 21:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,027 -$463 9¢ $-350 +$113 09-05 13:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,027 -$354 9¢ $-344 +$10 09-11 18:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +378 -$1,830 85¢ $322 +$2,152 10-12 05:50
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $360 14¢ $280 -$80 08-21 18:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +500 $350 46¢ $228 -$122 08-15 03:16
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +8,138 $1,829 2¢ $203 -$1,626 10-17 02:05
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +4,544 $413 4¢ $177 -$236 08-20 10:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,027 -$113 4¢ $-163 -$50 09-04 02:53