Realized P&L
+$320
Unrealized P&L
-$78
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
17
Trades
433
lifetime
Volume
$6.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$163
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-24 02:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 67% +$3
Other
31% 0% $-58
Politics
15% 60% +$374
Sports
5%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +83 $20 41¢ $34 +$14 06-02 08:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +32 $30 95¢ $30 +$0 06-23 21:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +21 $15 75¢ $16 +$1 06-12 06:49
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +27 $15 60¢ $16 +$1 06-24 02:17
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +18 $15 88¢ $16 +$1 06-16 18:21
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $15 73¢ $15 +$0 06-15 16:08
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +23 $15 66¢ $15 +$0 05-28 14:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-09 09:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +73 $15 12¢ $9 $-5 06-01 13:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +176 $14 $1 $-13 06-10 19:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +94 $28 $0 $-28 06-10 23:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +89 $20 $0 $-19 06-01 14:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +51 $15 $0 $-15 06-01 13:24
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $15 $0 $-15 06-20 20:51