Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$806

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.8%

Resolved

526

Trades

2,357

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-28 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

71% 3% -$594

Politics

17% 4% -$124

Tech

6% 0% -$37

Sports

3% 0% -$46

Crypto

2% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$564	400	400	+0	No	$0	03-01 08:54
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$447	225	225	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:44
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	42	$389	450	450	+0	No	-$4	08-12 05:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	34	$378	361	361	+0	Yes	-$5	08-12 12:54
Will LØS Win the Shortest Game in CBLOL 2026 Split 2?	13	$260	160	160	+0	Yes	-$6	08-11 23:19
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$246	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	03-21 07:43
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	12	$232	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	03-21 04:00
will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	16	$219	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	08-10 19:33
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	8	$170	100	100	+0	No	-$2	08-10 06:33
will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	8	$159	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-12 02:44
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	14	$157	160	160	+0	open	—	08-11 12:20
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	20	$148	192	192	+0	No	-$7	07-03 00:19
will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	14	$145	136	136	+0	No	-$2	08-10 22:23
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	8	$139	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 08:34
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$138	80	80	+0	open	—	08-12 02:12
will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	6	$137	80	80	+0	No	-$2	08-12 16:56
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	27	$137	294	294	+0	Yes	-$6	06-30 06:11
ssi public model released by august 31 2026 20260810094604189	6	$133	80	80	+0	No	-$3	08-11 18:12
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	10	$128	80	80	+0	open	—	08-11 12:55
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	6	$125	80	80	+0	Yes	-$4	08-11 01:19
Will EkkoTheNeeko Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	10	$114	110	110	+0	No	-$2	08-10 16:13
will spy reach 780 in august 2026	7	$112	74	74	+0	No	-$3	08-10 20:17
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	9	$109	62	62	+0	open	—	08-09 10:57
will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026 20260804194832574	7	$105	80	80	+0	No	-$3	08-11 06:20
Will Per Persson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	6	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	08-10 21:27
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	5	$99	60	60	+0	No	-$2	08-11 09:11
Will Learner Tien Win ATP Montreal	6	$99	60	60	+0	No	-$2	08-12 01:20
will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2026 20260812202203300	6	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	08-13 01:37
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 24000 by march 20 917	6	$95	68	68	+0	No	$0	03-19 17:56
will wti reach 80 by august 10 2026	6	$95	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	08-10 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 08:07:16	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than 0.0%?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x78d9c8…
08-13 01:39:13	Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0xa8fa22…
08-13 01:37:52	will nc state have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194028305	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x936a25…
08-13 01:37:43	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x2fd1c5…
08-13 01:37:33	will texas tech have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194044833	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xb5fd67…
08-13 01:37:27	will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2026 20260812202203300	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xe7814f…
08-13 01:37:24	will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2026 20260812202203300	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x12c18b…
08-13 01:37:18	will houston have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194018834	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xf787eb…
08-13 01:36:55	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x2de5d9…
08-13 01:36:46	will minnesota have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025016	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xb18b35…
08-13 01:27:22	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x9e98d4…
08-13 00:52:16	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	10	81¢	$9	0xb6e9ad…
08-13 00:44:10	will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2026 20260812202203300	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x2e9e28…
08-13 00:27:33	will indiana have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194020033	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x0a0865…
08-13 00:27:30	will indiana have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194020033	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x40c5d5…
08-13 00:05:03	will minnesota have more than 4pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025012	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xff8971…
08-13 00:05:01	will minnesota have more than 4pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025012	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8669c6…
08-12 23:46:09	will nc state have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194028305	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb3d726…
08-12 23:45:10	will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2026 20260812202203300	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x700c93…
08-12 23:45:07	will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2026 20260812202203300	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x9d75ab…
08-12 22:37:39	will san diego state have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194037909	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf69e88…
08-12 22:36:09	will tcu have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040914	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x8b1b2f…
08-12 21:31:16	will minnesota have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194025016	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x81b1c4…
08-12 21:03:28	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0xada060…
08-12 20:37:34	will san diego state have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194037909	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf003d6…
08-12 20:24:43	will mississippi state have more than 2pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194026780	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x7302b9…
08-12 19:35:46	will texas tech have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194044833	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x5bff6f…
08-12 19:23:36	will tcu have more than 8pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194040914	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x4de9d2…
08-12 19:20:07	will maryland have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194023865	No	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x25f803…
08-12 19:20:03	will maryland have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194023865	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x045c7f…
08-12 19:19:36	will maryland have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194023866	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x6bb6d0…
08-12 19:19:33	will maryland have more than 7pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194023866	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0xa67de2…
08-12 18:53:21	Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3a66a8…
08-12 18:53:19	Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x734bdb…
08-12 18:50:21	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x41e152…
08-12 18:50:18	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfe39a2…
08-12 18:25:07	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x1320d0…
08-12 18:25:06	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x196510…
08-12 18:04:16	will washington state have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194052055	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x6b25f8…
08-12 18:04:13	will washington state have more than 3pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194052055	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xed3d32…
08-12 17:47:52	will houston have more than 9pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194018834	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x4076e4…
08-12 17:44:00	will georgia have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194017810	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x28c0e8…
08-12 17:43:57	will georgia have more than 11pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194017810	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x955b5e…
08-12 17:34:03	will mississippi state have more than 2pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194026780	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xb5ad04…
08-12 17:34:01	will mississippi state have more than 2pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194026780	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x389d91…
08-12 17:31:43	will maryland have more than 6pt5 wins during the 2026 cfb season 20260810194023865	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x0a73ef…
08-12 17:28:09	Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x9a744c…
08-12 17:28:01	Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf11a88…
08-12 16:56:21	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x9f1419…
08-12 16:56:18	will xagusd dip to 56 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7ea0c9…
08-12 16:42:10	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	19	13¢	$3	0x365c15…
08-12 16:42:09	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	13¢	$3	0x671fba…
08-12 16:17:46	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x77543b…
08-12 16:17:37	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa0c716…
08-12 16:17:34	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x7f7f6f…
08-12 16:05:28	Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5cdedd…
08-12 15:44:04	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb8f42c…
08-12 14:51:30	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x14a795…
08-12 14:51:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x07034c…
08-12 14:47:07	will spy dip to 760 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xef03ff…
08-12 14:47:03	will spy dip to 760 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9888b8…
08-12 14:31:43	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0x96da74…
08-12 14:31:40	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x5e931e…
08-12 14:29:18	Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x7d9932…
08-12 14:22:48	Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc55ab2…
08-12 13:49:58	Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x3c903d…
08-12 13:20:39	Will Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x081898…
08-12 12:56:51	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	SELL	13	83¢	$10	0x2da150…
08-12 12:54:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xce2cb5…
08-12 12:54:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x9975f1…
08-12 12:49:39	will wti reach 90 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xbd0757…
08-12 12:49:37	will wti reach 90 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x723d72…
08-12 12:40:12	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xf8d013…
08-12 12:40:10	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe50adf…
08-12 12:33:42	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2fda65…
08-12 12:23:31	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0x547037…
08-12 12:23:27	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x77bbfd…
08-12 12:16:03	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa52bfe…
08-12 12:08:43	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x084713…
08-12 12:08:40	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x13207f…
08-12 10:23:42	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x5096c5…
08-12 10:23:37	will xagusd reach 68 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xb3dcc5…
08-12 10:13:27	will ng reach 3 20 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xb2514c…
08-12 10:13:24	will ng reach 3 20 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6c8c9b…
08-12 09:28:54	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xd908dc…
08-12 09:20:31	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x9b2ca8…
08-12 09:12:19	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5f4019…
08-12 08:13:37	will kai or speed be eliminated by drowning 20260811133957509	No	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0x269ec4…
08-12 08:13:34	will kai or speed be eliminated by drowning 20260811133957509	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xe6d006…
08-12 08:04:40	Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x850cf7…
08-12 07:22:24	Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xfd7c9c…
08-12 07:22:21	Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x930392…
08-12 06:29:07	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x7ae62b…
08-12 06:29:06	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xee460a…
08-12 06:22:03	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x5064f1…
08-12 06:22:00	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xfc540a…
08-12 05:42:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x3d4cb6…
08-12 05:42:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x577715…
08-12 05:42:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3a4f22…
08-12 05:42:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$0	0x91c97e…