Realized P&L (7d)
+$17
Unrealized P&L
+$98
Hit rate
94.4%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
31
9,665 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$100
$43.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$428
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 05:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 247 days
Categories
Other
69% 57% +$1,642
Sports
11% 63% +$226
Politics
8% 74% +$300
Crypto
8% 71% +$54
Tech
4% 59% +$92
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +58 $54 96¢ $56 +$2 08-11 05:51
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +38 $35 97¢ $37 +$2 08-09 16:07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +50 $13 64¢ $32 +$19 10-28 10:12
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +36 $11 88¢ $32 +$21 08-21 03:49
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +84 -$7 31¢ $26 +$33 11-09 11:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765 No +20 $14 97¢ $19 +$5 08-12 05:02
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +20 $14 84¢ $17 +$3 08-12 12:34
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +18 $11 86¢ $15 +$4 09-07 04:06
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +15 $13 97¢ $14 +$2 06-20 06:17
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +57 $26 24¢ $14 -$12 10-29 17:08
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -14 -$11 94¢ $-13 -$2 07-26 16:43
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-12 -$1 08-24 20:41
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +15 $13 77¢ $12 -$1 09-05 19:57
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +14 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 06-04 03:54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +15 $2 70¢ $11 +$9 07-29 02:33
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 07-21 06:18
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 08-22 06:24
Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale? Yes +12 $9 81¢ $10 +$0 11-03 09:06
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +10 $7 94¢ $9 +$3 08-21 18:12
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $0 09-08 10:22
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in November 2026? No +10 $4 81¢ $8 +$4 11-04 21:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $4 80¢ $8 +$5 08-06 05:40
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-7 -$1 07-07 09:45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 09-05 04:44
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 07-26 16:43
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30? Yes +100 $4 6¢ $5 +$1 11-04 13:13
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -6 -$5 90¢ $-5 $0 08-26 03:08
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-5 -$1 06-20 20:04
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +6 $4 83¢ $5 +$1 06-20 19:35
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 09-07 09:42