Yummy-Response — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$527

Unrealized P&L

-$577

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

1,980

Trades

4,334

lifetime

Volume

$110.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$4.56K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 34% -$77

Other

14% 43% +$697

Sports

0% 9% -$78

Tech

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+1,349	$1,043	71¢	$953	-$89	09-09 12:45
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	-991	-$1,002	94¢	$-931	+$71	08-20 07:59
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+1,625	$1,236	44¢	$723	-$513	05-26 19:57
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+754	$693	86¢	$651	-$42	06-09 12:27
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+482	$443	96¢	$460	+$17	05-01 09:16
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-500	-$470	89¢	$-445	+$25	08-09 14:15
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+262	$244	96¢	$250	+$7	05-06 11:54
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-156	-$122	94¢	$-146	-$24	06-18 21:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	+48	$10	3¢	$1	-$9	10-04 19:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	+250	$20	0¢	$1	-$19	10-04 19:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$10.0K	5,025	5,023	+2	No	+$20	04-27 18:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$5.0K	5,020	0	+5,020	No	+$20	03-14 18:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	9	$5.0K	5,025	0	+5,025	No	+$25	05-02 21:20
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	1	$5.0K	4,970	0	+4,970	No	+$5	06-29 19:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	1	$4.5K	4,509	0	+4,509	No	+$9	04-20 05:23
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	15	$3.5K	1,466	2,456	-991	open	—	08-20 07:59
over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	2	$3.3K	3,362	0	+3,362	Yes	+$30	01-10 09:48
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	2	$3.0K	6,003	0	+6,003	No	-$3	02-04 14:47
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	01-30 09:14
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$2.5K	2,503	0	+2,503	No	+$3	02-05 16:15
bitcoin up or down january 6 11am et	2	$2.4K	1,217	1,217	+0	Down	+$0	01-06 17:19
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	17	$2.0K	1,900	551	+1,349	open	—	09-09 12:45
bitcoin above 64k on february 19	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	02-19 16:38
bitcoin above 68k on february 13	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	02-13 16:52
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$1.9K	1,218	1,009	+210	No	+$71	03-26 08:18
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	17	$1.8K	2,000	375	+1,625	open	—	05-26 19:57
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	6	$1.3K	724	724	+0	No	+$13	01-21 17:03
bitcoin above 66k on february 12	10	$1.2K	825	783	+42	No	+$41	02-12 17:00
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$1.2K	500	1,000	-500	open	—	08-09 14:15
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	5	$1.2K	2,000	1,996	+4	Arizona Wildcats	-$11	03-27 06:36
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$64	01-13 21:18
Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$10	02-03 20:06
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,008	0	+1,008	No	+$8	02-05 08:18
si hit 65 low jan 2026 292 389 318	1	$990	991	0	+991	No	+$1	01-31 06:26
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	5	$989	500	500	+0	No	+$1	09-22 14:08
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$813	427	427	+0	No	+$23	03-26 12:46
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	3	$809	812	0	+812	No	+$3	02-02 20:58
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	6	$804	590	590	+0	Yes	+$120	01-10 15:41
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$693	754	0	+754	open	—	06-09 12:27
bitcoin above 72k on february 12	2	$656	328	328	+0	No	+$0	02-12 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x712d30…
10-28 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xefaa1a…
10-28 15:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3c1b91…
10-28 11:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	39	23¢	$9	0x1170f2…
10-28 08:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	78	20¢	$16	0xa45c55…
10-28 08:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x5c85f9…
10-28 08:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x714c12…
10-28 08:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0x723ee0…
10-28 08:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x4b0c52…
10-28 08:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfe2796…
10-28 08:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	41	26¢	$11	0xd5ced7…
10-28 08:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xdc1514…
10-28 08:26:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xbf9745…
10-28 08:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3ae119…
10-28 08:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2df50d…
10-28 08:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd44af3…
10-28 07:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x987116…
10-28 07:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb46214…
10-28 07:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x116e49…
10-28 07:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5d9e18…
10-28 07:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1f904c…
10-28 06:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xeb6d4c…
10-27 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf39cb0…
10-27 16:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5fe2eb…
10-27 12:43:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xa2684f…
10-27 09:02:24	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9cb5b2…
10-27 07:14:11	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xfd4559…
10-26 20:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	67	16¢	$11	0xa63b1c…
10-26 20:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4caa2c…
10-26 20:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x0a8837…
10-26 20:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x48e4ad…
10-26 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x6a5790…
10-26 20:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x08b0fa…
10-26 20:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x07e3e0…
10-26 17:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x07bd1d…
10-26 17:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x2dc927…
10-26 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x7e743d…
10-26 17:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x11d0a1…
10-26 17:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xebd748…
10-26 17:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0xc750de…
10-26 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xce55a9…
10-26 14:56:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x380ab0…
10-26 14:55:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x7a7b86…
10-26 14:07:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0xc69f71…
10-26 12:12:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x058931…
10-26 03:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x4ad1ba…
10-25 19:20:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xae4eaa…
10-25 19:20:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x137321…
10-24 15:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x6c0ea5…
10-24 15:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x1d5fe2…
10-24 15:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd72db9…
10-24 15:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x8a9731…
10-24 15:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xfa0c14…
10-24 15:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0xfabeb8…
10-24 15:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	63	20¢	$13	0xbe6806…
10-24 15:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc7f584…
10-24 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x3ab76b…
10-24 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x20d79f…
10-24 15:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5fd4a6…
10-24 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	74¢	$15	0xd09876…
10-24 14:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfec22b…
10-24 14:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0x6f0ffc…
10-24 14:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x919ed4…
10-24 14:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xcd23b5…
10-24 14:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x6534e0…
10-24 10:38:42	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3b7e72…
10-24 10:36:50	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf31904…
10-23 16:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa164c0…
10-23 15:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa79e4c…
10-23 14:38:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7f2720…
10-23 05:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xca6252…
10-22 19:00:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0x98f9b7…
10-22 19:00:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xa7180b…
10-22 18:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	23¢	$7	0x8a2fc2…
10-22 18:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc06f20…
10-22 18:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xa878e0…
10-22 18:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x9b6e2d…
10-22 18:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x405494…
10-22 18:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x081287…
10-22 18:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0xfea26d…
10-22 18:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x26ee85…
10-22 17:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xa1db12…
10-22 17:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x9a8430…
10-22 17:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0xd66142…
10-22 17:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x0c5a4d…
10-22 17:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe16321…
10-22 17:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0x10458c…
10-22 17:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2d2c31…
10-22 17:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0xc4bc57…
10-22 17:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xea503e…
10-22 17:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe36c49…
10-22 17:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0x9f550e…
10-22 17:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x6dc49b…
10-22 17:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5ffa62…
10-22 13:59:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	43	69¢	$30	0x314a4c…
10-22 11:05:02	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcbb24a…
10-22 10:59:21	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b9fff…
10-22 09:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x1aa9f8…
10-22 09:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x3eac3d…
10-22 09:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x998881…