Yummy-Response — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$126

Unrealized P&L

-$529

Hit rate

30.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

4,424 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$272

$111.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$4.60K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 33% -$179

Other

14% 43% +$687

Sports

0% 9% -$78

Tech

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+1,349	$1,043	74¢	$1.0K	-$40	09-09 12:45
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	-1,000	-$1,011	94¢	$-945	+$66	10-30 13:47
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+1,625	$1,236	43¢	$699	-$537	05-26 19:57
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+754	$693	87¢	$652	-$41	06-09 12:27
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+482	$443	97¢	$467	+$24	05-01 09:16
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-500	-$470	88¢	$-442	+$28	08-09 14:15
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+262	$244	92¢	$241	-$2	05-06 11:54
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-156	-$122	94¢	$-147	-$25	06-18 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$10.0K	5,025	5,023	+2	No	+$20	04-27 18:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$5.0K	5,020	0	+5,020	No	+$20	03-14 18:05
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	9	$5.0K	5,025	0	+5,025	No	+$25	05-02 21:20
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	1	$5.0K	4,970	0	+4,970	No	+$5	06-29 19:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	1	$4.5K	4,509	0	+4,509	No	+$9	04-20 05:23
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	16	$3.5K	1,466	2,466	-1,000	open	—	10-30 13:47
over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	2	$3.3K	3,362	0	+3,362	Yes	+$30	01-10 09:48
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	2	$3.0K	6,003	0	+6,003	No	-$3	02-04 14:47
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	No	+$3	01-30 09:14
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$2.5K	2,503	0	+2,503	No	+$3	02-05 16:15
bitcoin up or down january 6 11am et	2	$2.4K	1,217	1,217	+0	Down	+$0	01-06 17:19
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	17	$2.0K	1,900	551	+1,349	open	—	09-09 12:45
bitcoin above 64k on february 19	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	02-19 16:38
bitcoin above 68k on february 13	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	02-13 16:52
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	8	$1.9K	1,218	1,009	+210	No	+$71	03-26 08:18
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	17	$1.8K	2,000	375	+1,625	open	—	05-26 19:57
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	6	$1.3K	724	724	+0	No	+$13	01-21 17:03
bitcoin above 66k on february 12	10	$1.2K	825	783	+42	No	+$41	02-12 17:00
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$1.2K	500	1,000	-500	open	—	08-09 14:15
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	5	$1.2K	2,000	1,996	+4	Arizona Wildcats	-$11	03-27 06:36
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$64	01-13 21:18
Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$10	02-03 20:06
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,008	0	+1,008	No	+$8	02-05 08:18
si hit 65 low jan 2026 292 389 318	1	$990	991	0	+991	No	+$1	01-31 06:26
Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	5	$989	500	500	+0	No	+$1	09-22 14:08
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$813	427	427	+0	No	+$23	03-26 12:46
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	3	$809	812	0	+812	No	+$3	02-02 20:58
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	6	$804	590	590	+0	Yes	+$120	01-10 15:41
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$693	754	0	+754	open	—	06-09 12:27
bitcoin above 72k on february 12	2	$656	328	328	+0	No	+$0	02-12 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:19:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x3dafac…
11-06 10:40:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xacc846…
11-06 05:01:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	No	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0xc1759e…
11-05 17:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	No	SELL	27	50¢	$14	0x06e12f…
11-05 16:31:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x75a8f4…
11-05 16:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa1b432…
11-05 16:31:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x22acd2…
11-04 06:35:31	India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0xdb699a…
11-01 19:10:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0x6319bf…
11-01 19:05:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xc1f3b2…
11-01 17:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x62dfc9…
11-01 17:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x12940a…
11-01 11:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb15f29…
11-01 10:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x29a84a…
11-01 10:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbc1f6d…
11-01 10:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5c399a…
11-01 09:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x3a5de9…
11-01 09:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x739239…
11-01 09:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x25c0d5…
11-01 09:13:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xac8552…
11-01 09:12:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5b35a8…
10-31 09:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	53¢	$8	0xd83ede…
10-31 09:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf11ee5…
10-31 09:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf33707…
10-31 09:12:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xca03ee…
10-31 09:11:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x833cab…
10-31 09:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	38	29¢	$11	0xb70e19…
10-31 09:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x0d44ad…
10-31 09:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc12486…
10-31 05:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	39	31¢	$12	0x4efe12…
10-31 05:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x4bdf35…
10-31 05:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2ffd6e…
10-30 19:47:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcc204e…
10-30 19:47:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x218c98…
10-30 15:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xb926cb…
10-30 14:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0xcbd702…
10-30 14:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xeaa637…
10-30 14:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x180f95…
10-30 14:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd6e2d2…
10-30 14:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4c6b3e…
10-30 14:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x57af49…
10-30 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xb19959…
10-30 14:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2a94ad…
10-30 14:17:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xf3dd21…
10-30 13:47:52	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xa32f44…
10-30 11:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	57	70¢	$39	0xa108fe…
10-30 08:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	57	46¢	$26	0xf8ed1f…
10-30 05:37:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xaea9ba…
10-30 05:14:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd5b456…
10-30 05:02:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x88600d…
10-30 04:03:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x05481e…
10-30 03:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x6aa268…
10-30 03:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbb5501…
10-30 03:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3fc182…
10-29 17:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x545250…
10-29 15:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x97d60b…
10-29 15:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x6b4467…
10-29 15:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x296dff…
10-29 15:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x2037ca…
10-29 15:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7d02f3…
10-29 15:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x466173…
10-29 15:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7a9de6…
10-29 15:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5140fd…
10-29 15:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	81	20¢	$16	0x00e631…
10-29 15:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x50c120…
10-29 15:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf41981…
10-29 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd133c3…
10-29 15:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x41962c…
10-29 15:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xeceff5…
10-29 15:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x46da06…
10-29 11:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x2742a9…
10-29 10:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0xc09c7b…
10-29 10:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x33779e…
10-29 09:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0x539ebd…
10-29 09:23:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x62e317…
10-29 09:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5a1820…
10-29 08:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xd1247f…
10-29 08:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xaf8d62…
10-29 08:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x342da3…
10-29 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xb4596e…
10-29 08:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xce0990…
10-29 08:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0x4ef280…
10-29 08:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x617cfe…
10-29 08:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0xa56738…
10-29 08:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x5f4690…
10-29 08:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x406f57…
10-29 08:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	48	24¢	$12	0x813670…
10-29 08:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa36a62…
10-29 08:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6153d5…
10-29 08:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x261fcd…
10-28 15:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0x712d30…
10-28 15:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xefaa1a…
10-28 15:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3c1b91…
10-28 11:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	39	23¢	$9	0x1170f2…
10-28 08:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	78	20¢	$16	0xa45c55…
10-28 08:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x5c85f9…
10-28 08:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x714c12…
10-28 08:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0x723ee0…
10-28 08:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x4b0c52…
10-28 08:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfe2796…