Realized P&L
+$748
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
3,212
Trades
12,608
lifetime
Volume
$27.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$127
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 08-31 18:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Crypto
73% 51% +$846
Other
19% 62% +$29
Politics
5% 64% -$49
Sports
2% 51% -$99
Tech
1% 91% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +16 $11 96¢ $16 +$4 07-02 13:29
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 100¢ $12 +$0 06-07 12:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +15 $5 56¢ $8 +$4 06-05 00:22
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 06-02 06:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 $0 06-05 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$0 08-21 09:09
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 08-21 09:00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 08-21 09:01
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-02 16:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 06-02 05:48
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 06-05 20:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 08-21 07:33
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 05-27 14:25
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 06-03 01:12
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-13 07:07
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +4 $2 92¢ $4 +$2 07-24 18:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 92¢ $4 +$0 08-21 08:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 08-05 08:32
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$0 06-03 20:20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 56¢ $3 -$1 06-08 14:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 07-22 05:03
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $0 06-03 02:08
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +2 $2 73¢ $2 $0 06-03 04:14
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $0 08-21 22:03
will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$0 08-01 10:02
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$0 05-29 15:51
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-26 14:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $4 16¢ $1 -$3 06-30 15:54
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 44¢ $1 $0 06-02 23:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-30 18:34