Realized P&L
-$93
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
187
Trades
10,298
lifetime
Volume
$22.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$78
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-10 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 45% $-51
Other
15% 54% $-15
Politics
4% 33% $-18
Sports
2% 0% $-10
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 733 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 06-07 12:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-09 13:16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 $-0 06-05 15:55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 $-0 06-02 06:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 03:37
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-02 16:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 73¢ $4 +$0 06-08 14:57
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 79¢ $3 $-0 06-03 20:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +4 $3 80¢ $3 $-0 06-02 05:48
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $-0 06-09 12:16
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-03 01:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-02 17:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-08 06:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 05-30 18:28
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 06-10 00:26
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-03 04:14
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $-0 06-02 01:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-01 15:42
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 05-29 15:51
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-05 20:49
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 05-28 15:27
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-02 23:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 18:34