Realized P&L
-$93
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
187
Trades
11,221
lifetime
Volume
$24.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$100
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-30 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
79% 45% $-51
Other
15% 54% $-15
Politics
4% 33% $-18
Sports
2% 0% $-10
Tech
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 433 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 06-07 12:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-09 13:16
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$0 06-21 04:29
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +7 $6 100¢ $7 +$1 06-25 12:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 +$0 06-05 15:55
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $-0 06-02 06:21
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 81¢ $5 +$0 06-08 14:57
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-02 16:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-19 03:01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 03:37
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-13 07:07
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 89¢ $3 +$0 06-03 20:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +4 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-02 05:48
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +3 $2 99¢ $3 +$1 06-13 15:03
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-03 01:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $4 34¢ $2 $-2 06-30 15:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-22 14:17
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-02 01:16
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-03 04:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$0 06-01 15:42
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 65¢ $1 $-0 05-29 15:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-05 20:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2 $-1 59¢ $-1 +$0 06-26 14:56
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 05-28 15:27
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 06-02 23:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 10¢ $-0 +$0 05-30 18:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +12 $3 $0 $-3 06-15 18:13