Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$370
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
77
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$4.82K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 09:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
65%
Other
35%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1,969 $1,479 65¢ $1.3K $-199 07-19 09:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -1,175 $-1,081 97¢ $-1143 $-62 06-02 23:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,079 $-907 94¢ $-1020 $-113 06-02 23:11
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +575 $500 89¢ $511 +$11 06-09 06:43
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +471 $406 89¢ $420 +$14 07-19 09:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -721 $-376 55¢ $-397 $-20 06-09 06:40
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +59 $55 92¢ $54 $-1 07-19 09:22