Realized P&L
-$199
Unrealized P&L
-$1.64K
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
17
Trades
109
lifetime
Volume
$20.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$185
Open exposure
$7.76K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 09:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
75% 67% -$169
Other
25% 60% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +2,961 $2,153 73¢ $2.2K +$19 10-24 09:05
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +4,402 $3,202 44¢ $1.9K -$1,287 09-12 10:08
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1,647 $1,402 89¢ $1.5K +$56 09-24 11:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,012 -$853 96¢ $-973 -$120 06-02 23:11
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +575 $500 94¢ $540 +$40 06-09 06:43
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +514 $467 94¢ $482 +$15 10-10 03:32
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +799 $588 28¢ $220 -$368 09-12 10:09