Realized P&L (30d)
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$287
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
1
240 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$100
$33.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$2.91K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-06 15:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 79% +$1,251
Sports
17% 67% +$20
Tech
13% 100% +$289
Other
7% 75% -$24
Politics
3% 62% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -701 -$698 97¢ $-681 +$17 08-18 17:04
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -927 -$601 49¢ $-453 +$148 07-14 04:56
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -336 -$266 98¢ $-328 -$62 07-14 04:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -332 -$319 98¢ $-325 -$6 08-17 15:57
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -217 -$166 82¢ $-179 -$13 07-15 04:33
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -161 -$148 95¢ $-153 -$5 08-17 15:57
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -113 -$98 99¢ $-111 -$13 08-17 15:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -116 -$108 95¢ $-111 -$3 08-17 15:58
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -107 -$101 98¢ $-105 -$5 08-17 15:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -108 -$103 97¢ $-104 -$1 08-17 15:56
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -106 -$90 88¢ $-93 -$4 08-17 15:55
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -354 -$223 26¢ $-90 +$133 08-17 15:53
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -106 -$87 72¢ $-76 +$11 08-17 15:54
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -111 -$73 44¢ $-49 +$24 08-17 15:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -278 $18 10¢ $-26 -$44 09-04 06:41
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -247 -$134 10¢ $-23 +$110 08-17 15:55