Raw-Steam 0x588ce2…ad1bf4
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$580
Unrealized P&L
+$625
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
261
Trades
2,283
lifetime
Volume
$206.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$14.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
58% 65% +$1,710
Politics
39% 64% -$1,179
Tech
3% 40% -$1,111
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,106 $902 82¢ $912 +$10 10-16 00:01
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +950 $43 92¢ $879 +$836 09-30 03:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,200 $880 72¢ $858 -$22 10-29 06:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $770 76¢ $765 -$5 10-29 04:08
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1,000 $756 76¢ $755 -$1 10-25 20:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,100 $850 67¢ $737 -$113 08-09 05:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -787 -$515 93¢ $-729 -$213 07-05 09:33
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +761 $490 90¢ $681 +$191 07-19 02:10
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +5,000 $880 14¢ $675 -$205 09-26 01:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +600 $540 100¢ $600 +$60 10-25 21:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +600 $553 94¢ $563 +$10 10-25 23:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +600 $395 92¢ $553 +$158 07-21 15:22
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -588 -$574 92¢ $-538 +$35 09-13 14:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +800 $418 63¢ $504 +$86 10-19 12:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -550 -$451 91¢ $-500 -$50 06-17 12:19
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +4,635 $707 10¢ $487 -$221 10-28 16:02
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $500 22¢ $450 -$50 10-28 13:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +500 $430 88¢ $438 +$8 10-24 13:52
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +500 $371 80¢ $402 +$32 08-08 17:16
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $420 40¢ $395 -$25 10-28 13:06
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -452 -$321 86¢ $-389 -$68 07-11 17:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +1,000 $430 38¢ $375 -$55 10-21 17:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +365 -$65 92¢ $338 +$403 09-24 19:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -362 -$271 92¢ $-331 -$60 06-17 17:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +500 $174 59¢ $297 +$122 09-22 22:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -290 -$244 96¢ $-277 -$33 05-06 18:35
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +885 $343 13¢ $115 -$228 10-21 15:28
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -107 -$102 98¢ $-106 -$3 05-18 09:31
New pandemic in 2026? No -43 -$47 96¢ $-41 +$6 09-18 22:50
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -41 -$61 97¢ $-40 +$20 07-04 22:30