Raw-Steam 0x588ce2…ad1bf4
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.07K
Unrealized P&L
+$256
Hit rate
17.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,262
lifetime
Volume
$98.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$4.41K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 13:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
52% — —
Politics
44% 33% $-1,073
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +700 $543 78¢ $549 +$6 06-02 17:48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No +500 $395 95¢ $474 +$79 05-28 19:55
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +705 $449 66¢ $469 +$20 06-07 19:40
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -553 $-475 83¢ $-459 +$17 06-09 05:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -500 $-450 90¢ $-452 $-2 06-07 19:23
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -454 $-399 88¢ $-397 +$2 06-08 09:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -400 $-284 74¢ $-294 $-10 06-04 19:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +300 $237 80¢ $238 +$2 06-08 15:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,000 $235 24¢ $235 +$0 06-09 13:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +200 $178 92¢ $183 +$5 06-08 16:02
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -150 $-129 90¢ $-136 $-7 05-28 00:46
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Yes +300 $134 36¢ $106 $-28 06-01 22:11
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -106 $-93 92¢ $-97 $-4 06-02 08:27
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +200 $82 42¢ $83 +$1 06-07 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -100 $-204 70¢ $-69 +$135 06-06 22:03
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +200 $66 34¢ $68 +$2 06-09 10:24
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -65 $-81 66¢ $-43 +$39 05-31 12:24
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -41 $-37 89¢ $-37 $-0 06-08 08:22
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +138 $22 16¢ $23 +$1 06-10 04:45
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2 $1 43¢ $1 $-0 06-03 15:53
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-02 05:40