Raw-Steam 0x588ce2…ad1bf4
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.07K
Unrealized P&L
-$84
Hit rate
17.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,429
lifetime
Volume
$119.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$9.18K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 22:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
43% 33% $-1,073
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -806 $-816 100¢ $-805 +$12 06-20 16:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -588 $-518 92¢ $-538 $-21 06-12 19:37
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -600 $-474 86¢ $-519 $-45 06-16 13:17
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -645 $-554 80¢ $-513 +$42 06-12 16:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +500 $479 100¢ $499 +$20 06-20 15:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -500 $-523 99¢ $-497 +$26 06-23 18:41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +705 $449 70¢ $493 +$45 06-07 19:40
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -499 $-443 99¢ $-493 $-50 06-18 04:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -550 $-451 86¢ $-470 $-19 06-17 12:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 $-445 92¢ $-458 $-12 06-11 02:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -800 $-376 56¢ $-452 $-76 06-19 11:50
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +470 $455 95¢ $444 $-11 06-27 10:30
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? No -400 $-387 100¢ $-398 $-11 06-23 06:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +431 $225 72¢ $311 +$86 06-27 18:20
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +294 $277 99¢ $292 +$14 06-19 12:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -400 $-365 70¢ $-278 +$87 06-27 16:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -393 $-228 70¢ $-277 $-49 06-19 20:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $207 86¢ $257 +$49 06-20 06:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,500 $360 16¢ $248 $-112 06-11 17:39
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -300 $-174 70¢ $-209 $-35 06-30 07:23
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -106 $-93 99¢ $-105 $-12 06-02 08:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -100 $-104 100¢ $-100 +$4 06-17 19:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -130 $-95 74¢ $-97 $-2 06-17 17:15
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No +86 $82 100¢ $86 +$4 06-22 01:27
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -719 $-72 11¢ $-76 $-4 06-13 09:50
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +202 $32 36¢ $72 +$39 06-10 20:30
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? Yes +276 $124 22¢ $62 $-62 06-14 13:41
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +125 $45 42¢ $52 +$7 06-21 16:32
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +43 $43 100¢ $43 +$0 06-28 06:02
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -41 $-37 85¢ $-35 +$1 06-08 08:22