Raw-Steam 0x588ce2…ad1bf4
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.07K
Unrealized P&L
-$219
Hit rate
17.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,537
lifetime
Volume
$131.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$8.41K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 10:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
44% 33% $-1,073
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -900 $-735 99¢ $-890 $-155 07-02 17:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -787 $-515 78¢ $-618 $-102 07-05 09:33
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +761 $490 81¢ $616 +$126 07-19 02:10
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -699 $-601 84¢ $-584 +$17 07-03 06:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -800 $-376 70¢ $-564 $-188 06-19 11:50
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -588 $-518 92¢ $-544 $-26 06-12 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +750 $607 72¢ $544 $-64 07-13 14:56
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -600 $-474 88¢ $-531 $-57 06-16 13:17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +681 $407 77¢ $525 +$117 07-14 10:54
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -550 $-451 87¢ $-478 $-28 06-17 12:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 $-445 94¢ $-472 $-28 06-11 02:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +700 $504 66¢ $466 $-38 07-13 00:25
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -452 $-321 70¢ $-314 +$7 07-11 17:03
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -341 $-307 90¢ $-306 +$1 07-04 22:30
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +2,364 $312 12¢ $295 $-16 07-21 14:41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +300 $254 68¢ $206 $-49 07-21 15:22
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No -1,439 $-158 12¢ $-165 $-7 07-03 10:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -130 $-95 78¢ $-102 $-7 06-17 17:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -200 $-281 46¢ $-91 +$190 07-19 16:40
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -157 $-99 48¢ $-74 +$25 07-08 20:17
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -27 $-26 96¢ $-26 $-0 07-03 18:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1 $-62 86¢ $1 +$63 07-07 10:38
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-02 05:40