Raw-Steam 0x588ce2…ad1bf4 Create alert
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$742
Unrealized P&L
+$108
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
26
2,314 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.00K
$209.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$13.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 21:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
58% 65% +$1,661
Politics
39% 65% -$989
Tech
3% 40% -$1,111
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,600 $900 57¢ $920 +$20 11-04 18:23
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No +950 $43 94¢ $893 +$850 09-30 03:23
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1,000 $756 82¢ $815 +$59 10-25 20:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -787 -$515 93¢ $-729 -$213 07-05 09:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $770 70¢ $695 -$75 10-29 04:08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +761 $490 91¢ $692 +$202 07-19 02:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +800 $562 80¢ $636 +$74 11-06 11:39
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +5,417 $770 11¢ $596 -$174 10-31 16:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +2,000 $790 30¢ $590 -$200 11-01 19:20
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -588 -$574 94¢ $-556 +$18 09-13 14:33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -550 -$451 96¢ $-525 -$74 06-17 12:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +600 $395 87¢ $524 +$128 07-21 15:22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,000 $880 10¢ $500 -$380 09-26 01:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +500 $430 88¢ $442 +$12 10-24 13:52
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +600 $414 72¢ $429 +$15 11-04 17:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +800 $418 53¢ $424 +$6 10-19 12:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -452 -$321 90¢ $-409 -$88 07-11 17:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +365 -$65 96¢ $352 +$417 09-24 19:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? No +400 $336 86¢ $346 +$10 10-02 20:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -362 -$271 92¢ $-334 -$64 06-17 17:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +356 $220 88¢ $315 +$95 11-04 17:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +500 $174 58¢ $289 +$114 09-22 22:33
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +354 $242 80¢ $285 +$43 11-03 08:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -290 -$244 97¢ $-282 -$38 05-06 18:35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $420 24¢ $235 -$185 10-28 13:06
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $500 12¢ $230 -$270 10-28 13:06
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026? No +1,200 $315 10¢ $120 -$195 11-04 17:38
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -107 -$102 99¢ $-106 -$3 05-18 09:31
Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? No +100 $52 50¢ $50 -$2 10-22 23:55
New pandemic in 2026? No -43 -$47 98¢ $-42 +$5 09-18 22:50