Both-Shoreline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$98

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

1,857

Trades

7,044

lifetime

Volume

$1.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

$615

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-15 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

57% 90% +$7,443

Politics

43% 82% +$10,244

Crypto

1% 69% -$94

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	+308	$289	99¢	$303	+$14	11-13 00:32
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	No	+117	$105	96¢	$112	+$8	09-02 20:32
Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 15, 2026?	No	+104	$100	98¢	$102	+$3	11-14 16:01
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+948	$195	6¢	$57	-$138	10-29 17:48
Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 30, 2026?	No	+20	$13	94¢	$19	+$6	11-05 20:53
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 17?	Yes	+20	$17	91¢	$18	+$1	11-15 10:38
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-200	-$12	2¢	$-3	+$9	05-25 18:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	53	$21.0K	12,331	14,331	-2,000	No	+$306	02-10 13:56
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 240plus	22	$19.9K	10,508	11,047	-539	No	+$10	01-17 16:07
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	38	$19.8K	9,563	10,540	-977	No	+$205	03-17 16:00
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 100 119	7	$18.4K	12,000	6,484	+5,516	No	+$7	03-01 23:55
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	14	$18.1K	12,100	8,100	+4,000	No	+$101	01-13 16:53
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	32	$16.0K	8,809	9,909	-1,100	No	-$111	01-06 16:12
Will Israel strike 0 countries in 2026?	4	$14.7K	7,353	7,353	+0	No	+$12	01-02 16:50
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	11	$12.0K	11,439	3,000	+8,439	No	+$44	05-12 16:34
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 80 99	10	$10.0K	5,043	8,193	-3,150	No	+$55	03-06 05:01
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	7	$10.0K	5,008	5,008	+0	Yes	+$0	02-01 13:47
will israel strike lebanon on january 15 2026	39	$9.7K	10,624	2,916	+7,707	Yes	+$240	01-15 14:44
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 580 599	12	$9.5K	9,515	1,940	+7,575	No	+$53	01-06 16:13
will israel strike lebanon on january 7 2026	7	$9.5K	8,407	1,121	+7,286	Yes	+$7	01-07 17:39
will israel strike lebanon on january 26 2026	14	$9.5K	9,529	0	+9,529	Yes	+$36	01-26 14:46
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	8	$9.5K	9,589	0	+9,589	No	+$122	07-06 06:51
will israel strike lebanon on january 5 2026	42	$9.3K	9,347	1,609	+7,738	Yes	+$393	01-05 16:33
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 80 89	5	$9.2K	9,251	255	+8,996	No	+$10	01-06 23:03
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	3	$9.0K	9,000	2,000	+7,000	No	+$11	02-03 16:41
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	5	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	+$9	01-26 16:50
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	24	$8.9K	4,512	4,512	+0	Yes	+$21	02-15 20:29
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	9	$8.9K	9,243	0	+9,243	Yes	+$382	01-02 16:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 100 119	3	$8.7K	8,836	0	+8,836	Yes	+$129	03-17 16:08
will israel strike lebanon on january 8 2026	21	$8.6K	8,461	359	+8,102	Yes	+$34	01-08 14:46
will israel strike lebanon on february 6 2026	6	$8.5K	8,599	435	+8,164	No	-$95	02-08 22:08
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	10	$8.3K	4,197	4,197	+0	No	+$11	02-08 11:05
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 65 89	16	$8.0K	8,000	2,000	+6,000	No	+$59	01-14 12:07
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 165 189	27	$8.0K	9,711	3,711	+6,000	No	+$13	01-14 16:45
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	9	$8.0K	7,984	0	+7,984	Yes	+$8	01-27 11:03
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 140 159	12	$7.8K	3,889	5,889	-2,000	No	+$22	03-04 22:06
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	15	$7.6K	7,556	2,000	+5,556	No	+$10	01-20 09:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 10:38:14	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 17?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x82cac9…
11-14 16:01:05	Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x59d61c…
11-14 15:30:07	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 15?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x47c0a0…
11-14 08:51:25	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 14?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xeb6aff…
11-13 16:45:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 13?	No	SELL	131	9¢	$12	0x9e6041…
11-13 16:36:00	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 13?	No	SELL	72	20¢	$15	0x11ad32…
11-13 13:03:40	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 13?	No	BUY	265	7¢	$18	0xca3e6b…
11-13 00:32:10	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	BUY	268	96¢	$256	0x302100…
11-11 00:09:09	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x374e1b…
11-10 22:52:30	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xb99c41…
11-10 22:08:01	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	SELL	1,157	96¢	$1,111	0x21dfff…
11-10 21:01:25	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0xbffdc6…
11-10 20:43:43	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	SELL	791	96¢	$761	0xc9f487…
11-10 18:52:54	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xdd154b…
11-10 18:44:19	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$165	0x9e73d5…
11-10 18:14:18	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	168	97¢	$162	0xdaa202…
11-10 18:11:07	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc89e25…
11-10 18:02:34	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	2,214	95¢	$2,103	0xc9ebc1…
11-10 11:16:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$286	0xbaf665…
11-08 16:52:28	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x15d73c…
11-08 16:42:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 8?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x36e5b6…
11-08 15:02:01	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	560	98¢	$551	0xe4b66f…
11-08 10:30:34	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	242	96¢	$233	0xf5b00c…
11-08 10:24:51	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3c404f…
11-07 22:52:24	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xba0a70…
11-07 18:28:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf6d767…
11-07 10:49:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	160	95¢	$152	0x9860d8…
11-07 08:40:39	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by November 30?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xe36686…
11-07 07:20:03	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x0a66b3…
11-06 22:11:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4cc922…
11-06 11:45:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8264b8…
11-06 10:07:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x715449…
11-05 20:53:10	Will Hezbollah target Israel by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x71c244…
11-05 19:54:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x5644d0…
11-03 19:16:21	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	No	BUY	2,233	100¢	$2,229	0x12b183…
11-03 10:41:57	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xd688da…
11-03 00:54:24	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0x3e33b9…
11-03 00:54:22	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	340	97¢	$329	0xd16ed1…
11-02 22:47:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	2,004	100¢	$1,998	0x358235…
11-02 14:23:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x46fefe…
10-31 23:02:07	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	No	BUY	1,619	99¢	$1,595	0x46301f…
10-31 22:59:58	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x1fcfb8…
10-31 21:57:06	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0x0ec054…
10-31 21:56:24	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x39bef4…
10-31 21:54:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0xa463a8…
10-30 22:42:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$23	0xa2bac8…
10-30 22:41:37	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xae43f7…
10-30 22:08:10	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x2861d6…
10-30 22:07:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0x82e5e4…
10-30 22:05:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$12	0x2d0d17…
10-30 22:04:19	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	86	80¢	$68	0xd40749…
10-30 21:59:31	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x50e76a…
10-30 21:56:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	449	89¢	$400	0x480be0…
10-30 21:53:00	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?	No	BUY	507	89¢	$451	0x09a891…
10-30 12:07:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	79	91¢	$72	0x1f5691…
10-30 11:01:55	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xffa4a2…
10-29 22:30:36	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0xb43376…
10-29 22:18:19	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0xc15900…
10-29 22:14:19	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7a990e…
10-29 21:08:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x2b324e…
10-29 21:03:42	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	No	BUY	344	33¢	$113	0xc9eb23…
10-29 17:48:10	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x12fb20…
10-28 19:15:26	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x84486d…
10-28 19:15:22	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	No	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x86491c…
10-28 16:40:04	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	No	BUY	94	20¢	$19	0x016bcf…
10-27 20:08:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x79de9e…
10-27 09:31:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x3ef674…
10-26 18:12:27	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x10fb54…
10-26 12:16:32	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x361317…
10-25 11:36:59	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x95aefb…
10-25 11:15:02	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0x3a10e7…
10-25 10:59:00	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xdd4cc5…
10-24 16:17:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0x0999ee…
10-24 13:28:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x2c0635…
10-23 13:30:33	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x6d98eb…
10-23 11:04:48	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x72de70…
10-23 10:59:35	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x7a8361…
10-23 10:52:06	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by October 31?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x3966f8…
10-23 10:49:33	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	126	90¢	$114	0xc67aaa…
10-23 10:14:02	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	91¢	$89	0x2964ff…
10-22 13:58:38	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b17e9…
10-22 13:54:41	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,982	100¢	$3,978	0x706b8e…
10-21 16:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	592	100¢	$590	0x8cb496…
10-20 18:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xb8dbc3…
10-20 15:27:41	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xcec993…
10-20 15:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	99¢	$289	0x83f074…
10-20 13:19:15	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	95¢	$150	0x70202b…
10-19 14:57:48	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	SELL	74	78¢	$58	0x970faf…
10-19 11:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9b41c2…
10-19 11:39:56	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0x0c172c…
10-19 11:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x83faa1…
10-19 11:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0e9dd6…
10-19 07:41:23	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31?	No	BUY	604	91¢	$547	0xe68aa6…
10-18 12:57:05	Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 15?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x021649…
10-18 12:38:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xb7936b…
10-17 12:39:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x9199e8…
10-17 12:37:17	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	BUY	74	86¢	$63	0x205ca5…
10-16 21:35:17	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x50e8b7…
10-16 20:45:38	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	BUY	173	90¢	$156	0xccf997…
10-16 20:10:39	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x19c386…