Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?
Yes won
Total volume
$139,171
Trades
2,809
Unique wallets
508
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-01-31
First seen
2026-01-21
last 01-26 15:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.3¢
(top1%: 82% YES on $63.1K
vs crowd: 77% YES on $112.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 29 | $50.1K | $4.6K | +$45.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 62 | $23.7K | $10.0K | +$13.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 132 | $9.9K | $6.9K | +$3.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 285 | $3.6K | $4.0K | $383 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 43 | $51.6K | $11.5K | +$40.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 70 | $13.5K | $4.5K | +$9.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 32 | $1.2K | $532 | +$708 |
| Median | 49 | $429 | $288 | +$140 |
| Below median | 183 | $1.9K | $2.3K | $392 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 63 | $4.7K | $2.0K | +$2.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 54 | $10.1K | $2.8K | +$7.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $3.8K | $1.5K | +$2.3K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anchored-Sensitivity 0x382c…a0d7 | Yes | +30,804 | $30,763 | $30,763 | 21 | 01-26 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e04…a19e | No | +26,629 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 01-26 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d9c…7e43 | No | +12,000 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 01-26 14:25 |
| Both-Shoreline 0x8257…da02 | Yes | +9,529 | $9,493 | $9,493 | 14 | 01-26 14:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xec0b…69e6 | Yes | +6,716 | $6,223 | $8,796 | 16 | 01-26 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x143b…c69c | No | +5,023 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 01-26 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x484a…faf1 | Yes | +4,000 | $867 | $4,803 | 8 | 01-26 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9fe5…995c | No | +4,000 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 2 | 01-26 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xac3c…d637 | No | +4,000 | $3,133 | $12,597 | 8 | 01-26 12:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8088…161a | Yes | +3,993 | $2,196 | $2,196 | 4 | 01-26 07:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9eb1…fc21 | Yes | +3,625 | $2,638 | $2,638 | 20 | 01-26 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3050…352e | No | +3,190 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 01-26 14:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x465a…ca63 | Yes | +3,003 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 9 | 01-26 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b3a…8424 | No | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 01-26 13:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2,762 | $1,182 | $1,182 | 98 | 01-26 13:04 |
| Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | +2,738 | $2,729 | $2,729 | 8 | 01-26 15:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +2,537 | $1,335 | $1,542 | 88 | 01-26 13:04 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +2,256 | $1,284 | $1,284 | 106 | 01-26 10:20 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +2,254 | $968 | $968 | 120 | 01-26 10:37 |
| Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | +2,188 | $2 | $3 | 22 | 01-26 15:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7fe…e61e | No | +2,185 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-26 14:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xff7d…b767 | No | +1,871 | $1,013 | $1,013 | 7 | 01-26 07:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ba5…6a57 | No | +1,700 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 01-26 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc976…0ad5 | Yes | +1,694 | $1,463 | $1,463 | 7 | 01-26 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a0d…20ac | No | +1,028 | $732 | $732 | 1 | 01-26 11:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x84ca…cd8d | Yes | +1,001 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 01-26 14:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x983c…385d | Yes | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 1 | 01-26 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8188…b171 | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 01-26 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0025…f5a8 | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-26 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xdf13…fe8c | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-26 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xd54f…4d5f | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-26 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x22cb…8e5f | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 01-26 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x89a7…e7db | Yes | +856 | $855 | $855 | 10 | 01-26 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x53eb…7d54 | No | +853 | $172 | $1,065 | 20 | 01-26 12:48 |
| Joyous-Inspector 0x6286…f59c | Yes | +761 | $375 | $385 | 4 | 01-26 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc976…0ad5 | No | +704 | $297 | $604 | 11 | 01-26 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe511…55f3 | No | +681 | $440 | $440 | 17 | 01-26 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x19ad…34de | No | +657 | $296 | $296 | 8 | 01-26 05:49 |
| Enchanting-Integration 0x7656…194b | Yes | +650 | $600 | $600 | 2 | 01-26 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe35f…de26 | No | +650 | $430 | $430 | 1 | 01-25 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x32be…bac4 | Yes | +600 | $402 | $895 | 5 | 01-26 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf243…459c | No | +600 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 01-26 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf96a…afae | No | +600 | $25 | $54 | 5 | 01-26 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf072…cee7 | Yes | +600 | $599 | $599 | 2 | 01-26 13:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb32c…56b9 | Yes | +597 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 01-26 01:02 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +585 | $137 | $137 | 10 | 01-26 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7af0…a044 | No | +535 | $376 | $1,024 | 5 | 01-26 10:37 |
| Proper-Lady 0xeed9…7405 | Yes | +533 | $529 | $529 | 2 | 01-26 14:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xdba3…a811 | Yes | +516 | $402 | $402 | 5 | 01-26 01:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8885…5792 | No | +502 | $40 | $165 | 19 | 01-26 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd51a…f978 | No | +486 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 01-25 22:36 |
| Faraway-Hardcover 0x8c57…f939 | No | +477 | $305 | $305 | 4 | 01-26 09:25 |
| Dead-Brook 0x6a83…4c59 | Yes | +439 | $67 | $311 | 14 | 01-26 13:08 |
| Yearly-Cold 0x9516…a6b4 | Yes | +400 | $399 | $399 | 2 | 01-26 14:28 |
| Luminous-Cassock 0x5a44…5616 | Yes | +365 | $361 | $361 | 2 | 01-26 14:28 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +351 | $123 | $123 | 7 | 01-26 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3af5…05c1 | Yes | +329 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 01-25 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3aa…14dc | Yes | +320 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 01-26 13:02 |
| Capital-Cockroach 0xe937…d46a | Yes | +300 | $102 | $102 | 5 | 01-26 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5c6…38b6 | Yes | +270 | $236 | $236 | 3 | 01-26 01:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-26 15:27:09 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x7ef825… |
| 01-26 15:27:09 | (anonymous) 0x02e9…430e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x7ef825… |
| 01-26 15:26:53 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x5105da… |
| 01-26 15:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x3167…f43c | Yes | SELL | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x5105da… |
| 01-26 15:24:05 | (anonymous) 0xc3ce…9a12 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1a41f1… |
| 01-26 15:24:05 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1a41f1… |
| 01-26 15:08:55 | (anonymous) 0xed0b…b537 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xa56f3d… |
| 01-26 15:08:55 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xa56f3d… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | No | BUY | 144 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | Secret-Corruption 0xe061…93f9 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | No | BUY | 433 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 2,073 | 100¢ | $2,071 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | No | BUY | 342 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | No | BUY | 87 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | No | BUY | 237 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 511 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xfbf2…887d | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:31 | (anonymous) 0x5081…a309 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x684cd5… |
| 01-26 15:01:23 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa271f2… |
| 01-26 15:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xcc49…db74 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x553e34… |
| 01-26 15:01:23 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x553e34… |
| 01-26 15:01:23 | (anonymous) 0x0e04…b20b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa271f2… |
| 01-26 15:01:17 | (anonymous) 0xe94b…c5ed | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x66006f… |
| 01-26 15:01:17 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66006f… |
| 01-26 15:01:13 | (anonymous) 0xf7c2…91f6 | No | BUY | 332 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7bd94f… |
| 01-26 15:01:13 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | SELL | 198 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7bd94f… |
| 01-26 15:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x7a0d…ff14 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x7bd94f… |
| 01-26 14:59:15 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60ed5e… |
| 01-26 14:59:15 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60ed5e… |
| 01-26 14:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x3dbc…ac39 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0x610d15… |
| 01-26 14:57:37 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 98 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x610d15… |
| 01-26 14:54:47 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fbf93… |
| 01-26 14:54:47 | (anonymous) 0x683d…a527 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0fbf93… |
| 01-26 14:52:57 | (anonymous) 0x96f2…c836 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 100¢ | $68 | 0x360b6d… |
| 01-26 14:52:57 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x360b6d… |
| 01-26 14:50:31 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x46c2ae… |
| 01-26 14:50:31 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x46c2ae… |
| 01-26 14:50:11 | (anonymous) 0xe987…64d6 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xdd6eeb… |
| 01-26 14:50:11 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd6eeb… |
| 01-26 14:46:25 | (anonymous) 0xcc49…db74 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x80c185… |
| 01-26 14:46:25 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x80c185… |
| 01-26 14:46:19 | (anonymous) 0xe94b…c5ed | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5de54f… |
| 01-26 14:46:19 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5de54f… |
| 01-26 14:46:17 | (anonymous) 0x2488…c286 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x270e9f… |
| 01-26 14:46:17 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x270e9f… |
| 01-26 14:46:15 | (anonymous) 0x7a0d…ff14 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x92b36c… |
| 01-26 14:46:15 | (anonymous) 0xf7fe…e61e | No | BUY | 2,185 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x92b36c… |
| 01-26 14:46:15 | Both-Shoreline 0x8257…da02 | Yes | BUY | 800 | 99¢ | $794 | 0x92b36c… |
| 01-26 14:46:15 | Proper-Lady 0xeed9…7405 | Yes | BUY | 279 | 99¢ | $277 | 0x92b36c… |
| 01-26 14:46:15 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | SELL | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92b36c… |
| 01-26 14:45:05 | (anonymous) 0x84ca…cd8d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xf352fd… |
| 01-26 14:45:05 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf352fd… |
| 01-26 14:43:39 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76dfbc… |
| 01-26 14:43:39 | (anonymous) 0xa0f6…492d | No | SELL | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76dfbc… |
| 01-26 14:41:31 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | SELL | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d76f0… |
| 01-26 14:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x4cb4…12c7 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x8d76f0… |
| 01-26 14:40:03 | (anonymous) 0x2e7c…5189 | No | SELL | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61ea8a… |
| 01-26 14:40:03 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61ea8a… |
| 01-26 14:37:17 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x692a2b… |
| 01-26 14:37:17 | (anonymous) 0x43a9…faeb | Yes | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x692a2b… |
| 01-26 14:36:33 | (anonymous) 0x94f4…85bc | Yes | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x1ce5f4… |
| 01-26 14:36:33 | (anonymous) 0x43a9…faeb | Yes | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x1ce5f4… |
| 01-26 14:35:33 | (anonymous) 0xf7c2…91f6 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc37ba7… |
| 01-26 14:35:33 | (anonymous) 0x43a9…faeb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xc37ba7… |
| 01-26 14:35:33 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 963 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc37ba7… |
| 01-26 14:35:33 | (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xc37ba7… |
| 01-26 14:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x2598…2168 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x031c2e… |
| 01-26 14:35:27 | Aromatic-Plumber 0x9952…2edb | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x031c2e… |
| 01-26 14:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x2ed3…fcfd | No | BUY | 291 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xda206b… |
| 01-26 14:35:07 | Proper-Lady 0xeed9…7405 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 99¢ | $252 | 0xda206b… |
| 01-26 14:35:07 | (anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xda206b… |
| 01-26 14:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x43a9…faeb | Yes | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xda206b… |
| 01-26 14:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x7a0d…ff14 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf16790… |
| 01-26 14:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x556f…f4e4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf16790… |
| 01-26 14:31:21 | (anonymous) 0x7069…1886 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x014ff6… |
| 01-26 14:31:21 | (anonymous) 0x7a0d…ff14 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x014ff6… |
| 01-26 14:28:45 | (anonymous) 0x96ce…b2df | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x21f123… |
| 01-26 14:28:45 | (anonymous) 0xec0b…69e6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x21f123… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x0e04…a19e | No | BUY | 26,629 | 0¢ | $100 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x84ca…cd8d | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x983c…385d | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $990 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Both-Shoreline 0x8257…da02 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $998 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0x2c45…4790 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 502 | 99¢ | $497 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0xec0b…69e6 | Yes | BUY | 4,475 | 99¢ | $4,430 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Vain-Fairness 0x6814…4d2d | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Anchored-Sensitivity 0x382c…a0d7 | Yes | BUY | 10,000 | 100¢ | $9,980 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…0ac2 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 99¢ | $143 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Yearly-Cold 0x9516…a6b4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Luminous-Cassock 0x5a44…5616 | Yes | BUY | 360 | 99¢ | $356 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | Dead-Brook 0x6a83…4c59 | No | SELL | 729 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:28:09 | (anonymous) 0xd2dc…223e | No | SELL | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa3435b… |
| 01-26 14:26:47 | Anchored-Sensitivity 0x382c…a0d7 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x83e4cf… |
| 01-26 14:26:47 | (anonymous) 0x460c…faa0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x83e4cf… |
| 01-26 14:26:41 | (anonymous) 0xf7c2…91f6 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb1aa36… |
| 01-26 14:26:41 | Anchored-Sensitivity 0x382c…a0d7 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xb1aa36… |
| 01-26 14:25:47 | Anchored-Sensitivity 0x382c…a0d7 | Yes | BUY | 3,190 | 100¢ | $3,187 | 0x840a45… |