Realized P&L
+$7.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
435
Trades
11,029
lifetime
Volume
$361.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$2.56K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-31 22:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Politics
89% 41% +$7,291
Other
10% 23% -$45
Sports
0% 36% +$74
Crypto
0% 0% -$83
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,500 $535 38¢ $562 +$28 10-31 20:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +471 $438 94¢ $443 +$4 10-31 20:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +964 $202 28¢ $265 +$63 10-31 20:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +600 $44 42¢ $249 +$205 10-30 17:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +250 $118 82¢ $204 +$86 09-15 18:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +280 $247 64¢ $181 -$66 10-31 15:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +176 $147 99¢ $174 +$27 10-31 22:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +832 $117 15¢ $122 +$4 10-30 20:51
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $100 12¢ $115 +$15 10-19 16:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +200 $72 37¢ $74 +$2 10-31 21:41
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +2,053 $210 3¢ $71 -$139 07-04 03:13
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +346 $8 14¢ $48 +$41 08-13 02:13
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +321 $602 7¢ $22 -$579 07-28 10:41
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +250 $22 4¢ $10 -$12 07-02 06:47
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +55 -$27 19¢ $10 +$38 07-24 04:49
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +100 $33 10¢ $9 -$23 04-30 13:10
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +59 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 07-02 19:12
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$84 99¢ $0 +$84 10-27 04:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +0 -$49 26¢ $0 +$49 10-30 19:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +0 -$209 16¢ $0 +$209 10-30 21:26