Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

114

Trades

1,428

lifetime

Volume

$96.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-13 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Politics

89% 69% +$2,342

Other

11% 67% +$2,020

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 14 2026	27	$6.0K	3,106	3,506	-400	No	+$258	01-15 05:38
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	89	$4.4K	5,365	1,117	+4,248	No	+$1,543	02-03 16:32
will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	77	$3.6K	2,916	3,067	-151	Yes	+$626	02-05 16:20
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	31	$3.5K	1,961	2,120	-159	No	+$343	01-19 01:23
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	32	$3.5K	2,054	2,364	-310	Yes	+$590	01-30 16:42
will israel strike lebanon on january 25 2026	52	$2.3K	3,081	2,664	+417	Yes	+$135	01-25 11:04
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	60	$2.3K	2,509	2,347	+162	Yes	-$236	01-27 08:00
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	47	$2.3K	3,287	790	+2,497	No	+$1,530	01-11 17:15
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	40	$2.0K	2,243	243	+2,000	No	+$467	01-23 10:20
will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	45	$2.0K	2,851	2,589	+262	No	-$250	02-08 17:11
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	41	$2.0K	3,053	0	+3,053	No	+$1,093	01-29 13:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$1.9K	1,885	0	+1,885	No	+$29	03-18 19:03
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	6	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$153	01-24 09:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$1.8K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$368	03-23 11:06
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	9	$1.7K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$502	04-07 23:28
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	4	$1.7K	1,000	692	+308	No	+$10	01-22 05:02
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	41	$1.7K	1,744	1,440	+304	Yes	-$475	01-09 09:32
israel strikes iran by january 15 2026	12	$1.6K	1,851	0	+1,851	No	+$45	01-15 18:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	21	$1.5K	1,100	1,101	-1	No	+$74	03-18 12:12
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	11	$1.5K	951	951	+0	No	+$81	03-01 23:19
will israel strike lebanon on january 18 2026	32	$1.5K	1,797	0	+1,797	No	+$339	01-19 09:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	12	$1.4K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$354	03-29 22:53
will israel strike lebanon on january 17 2026	22	$1.4K	729	829	-100	No	+$160	01-19 10:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$1.4K	1,700	1,100	+600	No	+$81	01-16 08:43
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	37	$1.4K	1,682	500	+1,182	No	-$10	02-07 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$676	04-05 18:24
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	33	$1.3K	1,422	1,420	+2	No	-$280	02-04 17:06
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	No	+$53	01-16 08:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	9	$1.1K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$276	04-05 13:45
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,368	0	+1,368	Yes	-$1,081	02-27 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 13:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	400	21¢	$84	0x0aa563…
06-13 13:08:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xe994ba…
04-14 09:07:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	190	26¢	$49	0x7c90f3…
04-14 09:06:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	29	26¢	$7	0x20a34d…
04-14 09:05:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xfc1940…
04-14 09:05:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xe3d32b…
04-14 09:05:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xbe73ed…
04-14 09:05:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x9d375b…
04-14 09:05:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0x94eb45…
04-14 09:05:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x94b669…
04-13 16:33:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	383	86¢	$329	0xa57736…
04-13 16:30:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x49923f…
04-13 16:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd67e8b…
04-13 16:23:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x579bee…
04-13 13:31:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$15	0x12835b…
04-11 14:35:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x7e2374…
04-11 13:04:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xe7c04c…
04-07 23:28:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0xb25f4a…
04-07 22:16:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0xe90d27…
04-07 14:17:41	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x62339b…
04-07 10:42:25	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	398	52¢	$207	0x055d72…
04-07 10:41:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x36fda6…
04-07 10:37:59	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x2b3b3e…
04-07 09:08:49	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x5d7481…
04-07 06:48:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0x8533af…
04-06 17:29:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x840dc5…
04-06 17:04:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x2df393…
04-06 14:15:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x53cfde…
04-06 03:57:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	197	83¢	$163	0x971d15…
04-06 03:56:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	203	83¢	$169	0x58399f…
04-06 03:41:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0xdac9b5…
04-06 03:37:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0x967043…
04-06 02:55:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x9f50a1…
04-05 21:17:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x04de59…
04-05 18:24:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	102	65¢	$66	0x127404…
04-05 18:20:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	286	65¢	$186	0x9420c4…
04-05 18:13:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xe91b1a…
04-05 16:12:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0xa97c2c…
04-05 15:48:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x156a3c…
04-05 15:47:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0x3f0a5a…
04-05 15:44:41	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	600	28¢	$168	0x4dc699…
04-05 13:49:35	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0xa35858…
04-05 13:48:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x8f172d…
04-05 13:47:45	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$17	0x218ec9…
04-05 13:47:25	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3f3b1e…
04-05 13:45:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x1bdd69…
04-05 13:44:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf70eab…
04-05 13:41:01	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x3f505e…
04-05 13:39:23	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	36	65¢	$24	0xcbe255…
04-05 13:30:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb27634…
04-05 13:26:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	142	65¢	$92	0xc22f0a…
04-05 13:26:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x60d500…
04-05 13:25:15	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x77902e…
04-05 13:22:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0xd9fac1…
04-05 13:18:37	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$17	0xffbdc2…
04-05 13:08:59	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$17	0x166910…
04-05 07:44:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0xf8c0de…
04-05 07:17:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0xc60666…
04-05 05:14:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	600	54¢	$324	0x848fc3…
04-04 21:25:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd83306…
04-04 21:18:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	227	80¢	$182	0x7b68b4…
04-04 21:05:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	128	80¢	$103	0x77bbe8…
04-04 20:41:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$23	0x8246eb…
04-04 18:16:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x7fcde8…
04-04 16:43:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xcb1531…
04-04 15:22:57	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xee6316…
04-04 08:13:05	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xa237c2…
04-03 17:16:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x65e879…
04-03 16:57:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$3	0x4ccb9d…
04-03 16:52:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd56e4b…
04-03 16:52:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xb77931…
04-03 16:44:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x95652c…
04-03 16:34:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x0c481a…
04-03 16:34:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x846d5a…
04-03 16:34:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf4d276…
04-03 16:34:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x93f5b4…
04-03 15:27:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x2a90e3…
04-03 15:20:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0xad7974…
04-03 14:35:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x782c3b…
04-03 12:45:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x5d58b4…
04-03 04:03:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x1243a2…
03-31 06:05:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x997e59…
03-30 11:02:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x338bf4…
03-30 10:47:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	68	58¢	$39	0xae8717…
03-29 22:53:06	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x0cd62a…
03-29 16:58:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x90c0cb…
03-29 14:09:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x7f3d59…
03-29 14:03:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	242	97¢	$234	0x16090b…
03-29 13:55:20	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x35ccf6…
03-29 13:23:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf60f03…
03-29 13:23:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x838cab…
03-23 11:08:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x50bb7d…
03-23 11:06:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xbfc9b3…
03-23 11:06:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x0d1799…
03-23 09:13:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x72f3f7…
03-23 07:52:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x338e20…
03-23 07:52:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xb07401…
03-23 00:30:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x0cdbec…
03-22 21:35:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xa98896…
03-22 20:41:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb6a785…