Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$728

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$27.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 04-11 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

42% 43% -$327

Other

33% 50% -$767

Crypto

25% 64% +$391

Tech

0% 0% -$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	4	$7.5K	7,797	0	+7,797	No	+$274	02-09 21:41
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	24	$3.8K	2,446	2,448	-2	No	-$24	02-24 13:18
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,228	1,228	+0	No	+$28	02-17 18:47
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?	24	$2.0K	1,532	1,486	+46	No	+$458	01-11 03:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	13	$1.5K	1,300	1,150	+150	Yes	+$84	02-18 13:46
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$1.4K	1,011	1,011	+0	No	+$68	02-12 15:45
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	18	$1.1K	797	897	-100	No	+$100	01-23 17:01
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	19	$906	830	1,104	-274	No	-$204	01-31 17:10
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	14	$749	1,099	380	+719	Yes	-$459	01-10 15:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$712	400	400	+0	No	+$0	01-30 09:38
Ranger FDV above $40M one day after launch?	11	$664	480	485	-5	No	+$53	01-10 16:03
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$618	600	700	-100	Yes	-$88	02-18 11:37
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	13	$485	359	400	-41	No	-$22	01-29 12:12
will israel strike lebanon on january 26 2026	17	$440	681	0	+681	Yes	-$440	01-26 10:42
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$411	522	522	+0	Yes	-$301	02-28 06:57
cs2 hero prv 2026 01 28	7	$408	300	300	+0	PARIVISION	+$0	01-28 08:34
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$355	500	0	+500	No	+$145	01-15 10:15
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$318	200	200	+0	No	+$50	02-01 11:21
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	3	$280	607	0	+607	Yes	-$280	01-10 15:28
will a human or an ai win the aster trading competition	16	$191	289	289	+0	AI	+$1	01-27 16:06
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	2	$150	440	440	+0	No	+$44	01-10 09:10
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$145	100	100	+0	No	+$37	02-01 11:20
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$144	260	260	+0	No	-$20	02-12 19:53
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$138	100	100	+0	No	+$10	02-11 19:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$121	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	01-29 16:39
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?	6	$115	228	0	+228	Yes	-$115	01-16 15:47
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?	3	$100	80	80	+0	No	+$33	01-21 16:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$56	100	0	+100	No	-$56	02-13 05:53
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$55	232	232	+0	No	+$15	01-03 17:05
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$54	100	210	-110	No	-$110	01-06 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-11 15:53:53	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0x3713d2…
04-09 09:56:35	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x3e4c61…
03-27 16:17:05	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xc45d59…
03-23 12:21:11	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	SELL	368	3¢	$10	0xb39dfc…
03-23 06:06:39	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0xd49572…
03-21 18:21:01	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x905117…
03-21 18:15:35	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x952578…
03-21 18:15:09	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xb2b702…
03-21 18:02:53	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4528ba…
03-21 18:02:47	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5f7c6c…
02-28 06:57:11	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	164	3¢	$5	0x1cebee…
02-28 04:09:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	164	89¢	$146	0xf6fc97…
02-24 13:18:10	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,254	99¢	$1,242	0x244de1…
02-22 00:04:14	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	3¢	$6	0x8cde43…
02-22 00:03:58	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1,254	97¢	$1,215	0x27f1e1…
02-20 09:46:44	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xd4819b…
02-20 05:30:42	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xc1c4a2…
02-20 01:36:24	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xe27bf3…
02-18 13:46:18	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	64¢	$224	0x7222ea…
02-18 12:55:14	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	46	90¢	$42	0xfad633…
02-18 12:10:14	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	62¢	$434	0x09f70b…
02-18 11:37:08	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	363	52¢	$189	0xb5fc79…
02-18 11:34:10	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0xb857c5…
02-17 18:51:37	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	62	85¢	$52	0x5ce440…
02-17 18:47:35	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1,228	100¢	$1,227	0xdd7a85…
02-15 12:00:53	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	82	71¢	$58	0x8c813a…
02-15 00:17:41	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,228	98¢	$1,199	0x8f5810…
02-15 00:03:21	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x789567…
02-15 00:01:27	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	34¢	$28	0x767392…
02-15 00:00:29	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xbeee37…
02-13 17:18:39	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	57¢	$62	0x87d9cd…
02-13 17:15:41	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	433	57¢	$247	0x182a49…
02-13 05:53:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x7585ce…
02-12 23:51:55	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xb3d991…
02-12 23:51:41	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x371b53…
02-12 23:26:09	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x17ee07…
02-12 22:51:47	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x67ea8b…
02-12 21:55:35	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xe8edf0…
02-12 21:18:23	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	35¢	$44	0x23df73…
02-12 20:20:11	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	36¢	$42	0x2ff691…
02-12 20:03:01	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xa0a18f…
02-12 19:56:43	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	36¢	$14	0xdc10f6…
02-12 19:53:21	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	260	24¢	$62	0x99ac23…
02-12 18:34:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	358	14¢	$50	0x86777f…
02-12 17:11:03	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7e1fcc…
02-12 15:45:21	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xa86723…
02-12 13:44:09	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0xdc03b3…
02-11 19:41:43	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xcec9c4…
02-11 13:26:25	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfdceee…
02-11 09:54:23	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	52¢	$98	0xd9a7ec…
02-11 08:29:27	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xafeeba…
02-11 05:37:47	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	56¢	$111	0xf2b6c6…
02-11 05:07:01	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	391	59¢	$229	0xacd645…
02-10 15:49:07	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xfdbc02…
02-09 21:41:25	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	3,740	96¢	$3,609	0x816122…
02-09 17:54:57	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	1,712	96¢	$1,648	0xd2cf1b…
02-09 17:48:27	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	1,611	96¢	$1,550	0x9c2f40…
02-09 09:10:23	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	734	98¢	$716	0xfb76d0…
02-01 20:57:12	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$15	0x054a31…
02-01 20:37:02	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x796373…
02-01 20:12:02	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	48¢	$33	0x0f8494…
02-01 20:04:12	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x5f6a9d…
02-01 19:48:34	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x75d9c4…
02-01 19:09:20	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xf0faf8…
02-01 19:00:04	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xbeb8bc…
02-01 17:07:52	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xedb056…
02-01 13:20:10	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xe00c20…
02-01 12:10:08	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xbbf5e9…
02-01 11:21:56	Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x134293…
02-01 11:20:28	Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x1a77cb…
02-01 09:46:34	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0xfe4f68…
02-01 09:46:06	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0x6c0eeb…
01-31 17:18:18	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x724714…
01-31 17:17:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xf4dcf6…
01-31 17:10:06	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	55¢	$13	0x900107…
01-31 17:03:40	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0xa6c034…
01-31 17:03:12	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	151	57¢	$86	0x7ebbe5…
01-31 16:42:38	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	164	55¢	$90	0x2e1859…
01-31 16:06:32	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x1bd1d0…
01-31 16:03:10	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	64¢	$92	0xdb50c1…
01-31 15:11:20	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x6effc5…
01-31 15:07:32	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	91	55¢	$50	0xb545f4…
01-31 14:48:18	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	158	61¢	$96	0xfbad7c…
01-31 14:47:22	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x75ada0…
01-31 14:10:52	Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xf564ff…
01-31 14:10:36	Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x496fe1…
01-30 17:43:32	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xbe2591…
01-30 17:43:22	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x4e192a…
01-30 16:00:48	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xb67577…
01-30 16:00:40	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	279	58¢	$162	0x41395f…
01-30 09:38:10	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	400	89¢	$356	0x974400…
01-30 06:33:34	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x544aca…
01-30 06:25:24	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	214	52¢	$112	0x673254…
01-29 16:39:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0xa570a9…
01-29 12:12:46	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	225	63¢	$142	0x4c0b98…
01-29 07:18:50	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	92	63¢	$58	0xff89a0…
01-29 05:01:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	82	63¢	$52	0x30f175…
01-28 20:36:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x3a28c5…
01-28 20:32:22	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xed1e2e…
01-28 13:50:57	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xd3b7b3…