Realized P&L
-$331
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
3.3%
Resolved
11
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$552
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 02-02 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
61%
0%
-$315
Other
30%
0%
-$10
Crypto
9%
33%
-$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 2 | $168 | 439 | 439 | +0 | No | -$10 | 01-30 21:37 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 26 2026 | 1 | $100 | 26,629 | 0 | +26,629 | Yes | -$100 | 01-26 14:28 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 6 | $78 | 6,462 | 0 | +6,462 | No | -$78 | 02-01 03:23 |
| us strikes iran by february 1 2026 | 5 | $57 | 9,298 | 0 | +9,298 | No | -$57 | 02-02 00:04 |
| us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476 | 4 | $39 | 4,594 | 0 | +4,594 | No | -$39 | 01-31 03:16 |
| bitcoin up or down february 1 2pm et | 4 | $25 | 40 | 15 | +25 | Down | -$5 | 02-01 19:07 |
| us strikes iran by february 2 2026 | 4 | $24 | 769 | 769 | +0 | No | -$3 | 02-02 00:04 |
| us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499 | 1 | $22 | 4,338 | 0 | +4,338 | No | -$22 | 01-30 01:56 |
| bitcoin up or down february 1 1pm et | 2 | $18 | 47 | 47 | +0 | Up | +$3 | 02-01 18:54 |
| us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449 | 1 | $16 | 1,145 | 0 | +1,145 | No | -$16 | 01-25 15:16 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:00 UTC | 1 | $5 | 6 | 0 | +6 | Down | -$5 | 01-29 22:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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