(anonymous) 0xd42a8c…d6eff8
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Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
51
lifetime
Volume
$310
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$75
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 06-21 14:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59% 100% +$3
Other
34% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +13 $10 76¢ $10 $-0 06-21 14:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +19 $10 52¢ $10 $-0 06-21 14:43
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +11 $10 85¢ $10 $-0 06-21 14:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 $-0 06-21 14:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +7 $6 86¢ $6 $-0 06-21 14:40
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 06-21 14:38
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-21 14:38
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $-0 06-21 14:44
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 06-21 14:33
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $-0 06-21 14:44
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 06-21 14:38
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 87¢ $3 $-0 06-21 14:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $-0 06-21 14:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-21 14:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-21 14:40
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $-0 06-21 14:39
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-21 14:39