(anonymous) 0xd42a8c…d6eff8
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Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
67
lifetime
Volume
$392
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$126
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 07-05 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$3
Other
39% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 07-05 11:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +19 $10 72¢ $14 +$4 06-21 14:43
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 06-21 14:43
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 06-21 14:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 07-05 11:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +8 $7 80¢ $6 $-1 07-05 11:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 $-0 06-21 14:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +9 $5 64¢ $6 +$1 07-05 11:26
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-21 14:38
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 06-21 14:38
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-05 11:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 $-0 07-05 11:22
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +4 $4 91¢ $4 $-0 07-05 11:23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-21 14:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 07-05 11:19
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 82¢ $3 $-0 06-21 14:44
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? No +3 $3 76¢ $3 $-0 07-05 11:25
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-21 14:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 07-05 11:24
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-21 14:42
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 07-05 11:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 07-05 11:21
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-21 14:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-05 11:23