Realized P&L
-$27.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$841
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
248
Trades
6,367
lifetime
Volume
$568.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$543
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-25 12:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
69% 45% -$7,618
Politics
17% 45% -$2,663
Sports
9% 49% -$3,901
Crypto
5% 18% -$12,983
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -3,792 -$948 8¢ $-303 +$645 06-10 14:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 Yes +1,000 $80 10¢ $95 +$15 08-20 19:26
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -2,676 -$278 4¢ $-94 +$185 06-23 22:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -20 -$18 99¢ $-20 -$1 06-14 23:52
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -20 -$15 97¢ $-19 -$4 06-14 23:53
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 08-20 19:28
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3 $1 82¢ $3 +$1 08-20 19:29
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 08-17 18:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 08-17 18:43
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +2 $1 81¢ $1 +$0 08-20 19:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 08-06 03:47