Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,906
lifetime
Volume
$2.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$30
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 07-21 14:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% +$3
Other
26% 40% $-4
Sports
6%
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8 $1 46¢ $4 +$2 07-01 13:53
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 06-30 15:07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4 $1 58¢ $2 +$1 06-19 12:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -2 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 01:03
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $1 58¢ $2 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 00:38
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +2 $1 93¢ $2 +$0 06-27 20:09
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$0 06-18 03:13
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$0 06-26 20:31
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-26 03:16
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +10 $2 13¢ $1 $-0 06-23 17:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 07-16 02:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-1 72¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 01:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 $-1 66¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:30
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 07-05 18:56
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 07-02 23:17
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -8 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-26 17:56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -1 $-0 81¢ $-1 $-0 07-12 00:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 07-20 14:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 23¢ $-0 +$0 07-14 11:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -0 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 23:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-11 15:00