Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,710
lifetime
Volume
$2.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$29
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-30 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% +$3
Other
26% 40% $-4
Sports
5%
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +3 $1 100¢ $3 +$1 06-19 20:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -2 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 01:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-19 10:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4 $1 52¢ $2 +$1 06-19 12:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 19:35
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 64¢ $2 +$0 06-30 15:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 00:38
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +2 $1 91¢ $2 +$0 06-18 03:13
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 06-23 17:29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +2 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 06-26 20:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 01:09
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-27 20:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 $-1 83¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:30
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-26 03:16
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -8 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 17:56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 09:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-12 18:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-1 06-19 01:17
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -1 $-0 70¢ $-0 $-0 05-29 17:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -0 $-0 16¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 23:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-17 11:13
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $2 18¢ $0 $-2 06-30 11:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -4 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-19 19:57