Infamous-Risk 0xd501dd…8a1814
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved (90d)
96
Trades (90d)
625
4,236 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$298
$3.30K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$49
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 10-23 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Politics
56% 53% +$59
Other
37% 52% -$1
Sports
4% 66% +$6
Crypto
2% 54% -$5
Tech
1% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -3 -$1 87¢ $-2 -$1 05-14 18:26
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +4 $1 59¢ $2 +$1 06-19 12:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -3 -$2 86¢ $-2 $0 07-28 00:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 09-15 15:01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 40¢ $2 +$1 09-08 23:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -2 -$1 97¢ $-2 $0 05-26 23:17
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 09-01 14:07
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$0 06-26 20:31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 09-21 17:39
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 05-01 11:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 05-11 03:41
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $2 13¢ $2 +$0 08-16 18:57
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$0 05-14 16:02
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$0 06-18 03:13
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +2 $1 93¢ $2 +$0 07-31 13:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$0 05-05 03:15
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +2 $2 77¢ $2 +$0 08-10 04:48
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 89¢ $2 +$0 09-13 06:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2 $1 85¢ $2 +$0 08-04 02:18
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $1 $0 09-06 16:00
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +8 $1 18¢ $1 $0 08-15 06:54
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 $0 08-10 04:39
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +2 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-08 19:48
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-18 21:39
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-19 04:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15 $1 10¢ $1 $0 08-31 17:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 $0 09-12 03:33
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +2 $1 73¢ $1 $0 09-22 21:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 08-20 19:39
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 -$1 80¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 16:30