Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
603
lifetime
Volume
$17.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.96K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 13:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Politics
34%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +863 $772 93¢ $803 +$31 07-23 13:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -500 $-480 96¢ $-478 +$2 07-06 11:35
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -250 $-244 96¢ $-241 +$2 07-16 23:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +450 $297 52¢ $232 $-65 07-20 08:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -394 $-67 14¢ $-53 +$14 06-26 22:47
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -54 $-51 96¢ $-52 $-0 07-24 03:02
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +76 $31 64¢ $48 +$18 07-23 01:46
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +24 $21 91¢ $22 +$1 07-18 14:43
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 07-01 10:26
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 07-05 13:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-26 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 30¢ $3 +$2 06-28 23:08