Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
491
lifetime
Volume
$10.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$363
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 10:26
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
50%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +100 $89 82¢ $82 $-8 06-25 14:11
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +153 $89 52¢ $80 $-9 07-01 06:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +70 $64 100¢ $70 +$5 06-27 11:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -394 $-67 18¢ $-69 $-2 06-26 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -32 $-33 96¢ $-30 +$2 07-01 13:38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +15 $13 93¢ $14 +$1 06-07 23:44
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 07-01 10:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 06-26 22:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-0 06-28 23:08