Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,278

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-17 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

78% 50% +$19

Politics

16% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$108

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	24	$1.1K	350	1,414	-1,064	open	—	01-09 19:34
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	8	$1.0K	635	635	+0	open	—	06-19 02:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$783	1,900	1,500	+400	open	—	01-31 18:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	46	$657	900	500	+400	open	—	02-13 22:18
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	40	$618	1,922	66	+1,856	open	—	08-02 16:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$602	800	600	+200	open	—	07-04 04:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$569	600	577	+23	open	—	06-16 18:32
iran strike on israel by february 28	8	$416	347	250	+97	open	—	02-04 00:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$401	296	296	+0	open	—	04-17 16:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$358	620	410	+210	open	—	08-17 03:08
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	9	$358	400	0	+400	open	—	01-18 18:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	10	$348	300	262	+38	open	—	06-30 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	25	$341	1,349	975	+374	open	—	06-27 00:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$312	400	366	+34	open	—	05-20 18:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$305	400	400	+0	open	—	01-31 18:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$274	800	0	+800	open	—	06-12 05:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$265	200	200	+0	open	—	01-25 18:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$246	130	130	+0	open	—	04-02 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$242	400	400	+0	open	—	05-25 22:49
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 19:43
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	3	$220	300	300	+0	open	—	01-04 19:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	10	$214	600	100	+500	open	—	01-25 17:06
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 01:13
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	2	$210	0	211	-211	open	—	01-04 15:23
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 11m and 14m	16	$210	321	220	+101	open	—	01-25 00:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	10	$204	210	210	+0	open	—	08-05 02:01
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 21m	3	$203	300	200	+100	open	—	01-11 12:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$203	200	140	+60	open	—	06-12 19:34
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 00:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$191	900	900	+0	open	—	05-29 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 08:54:48	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xa7a97e…
08-17 04:24:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x23f141…
08-17 03:08:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	210	57¢	$120	0x8fe20c…
08-17 01:39:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5b19d6…
08-16 13:56:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x4dcd72…
08-16 08:20:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	210	13¢	$27	0x75e12f…
08-16 05:34:12	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x149506…
08-16 04:32:48	will lionel messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x975713…
08-16 03:54:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x03c0b1…
08-15 12:15:33	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xfb3035…
08-15 04:31:48	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x6d6749…
08-15 02:58:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x963ef9…
08-15 01:18:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xb7c454…
08-15 00:26:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x2f13f5…
08-14 21:01:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	210	17¢	$36	0x50a443…
08-14 20:41:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5b9f93…
08-14 14:57:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xaa1fdc…
08-14 07:42:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x6c01e0…
08-14 07:31:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$3	0x20e688…
08-14 06:29:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xab8bdb…
08-14 06:20:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xd7d44e…
08-14 05:58:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf6b230…
08-14 03:31:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe7aa62…
08-13 16:50:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x2da5eb…
08-13 06:37:28	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xe78742…
08-13 04:04:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x66ccfb…
08-12 03:05:06	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xdafbec…
08-12 03:05:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc1b54f…
08-11 23:16:36	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x11464d…
08-11 23:16:33	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xc2589c…
08-11 22:23:33	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x925c6a…
08-11 21:15:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0x5ca8db…
08-11 16:51:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0xe91141…
08-11 16:32:06	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xdd7769…
08-11 16:32:04	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x63bcb0…
08-11 16:32:03	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x61bc51…
08-11 16:32:03	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x47cf34…
08-11 16:32:01	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x8b6dd0…
08-11 16:32:01	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x24811d…
08-10 07:39:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	110	46¢	$51	0x9a4828…
08-10 04:44:04	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	46¢	$33	0xac14f7…
08-10 02:14:09	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	46¢	$64	0xf350cc…
08-09 18:45:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xeba1a8…
08-09 17:33:06	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xa9e26d…
08-09 15:57:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	48	37¢	$18	0x810c55…
08-09 13:07:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	210	53¢	$111	0x7d4e18…
08-09 09:13:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x22d23f…
08-08 08:51:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbe399e…
08-08 05:09:54	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa4c98d…
08-07 22:48:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x53c39e…
08-07 22:48:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x1648cf…
08-05 02:43:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	102	53¢	$54	0x75cb23…
08-05 02:42:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x008350…
08-05 02:42:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xd3dfc5…
08-05 02:42:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8c6330…
08-05 02:40:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	33	53¢	$18	0x50a0f0…
08-05 02:29:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x7314d4…
08-05 02:29:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x891e35…
08-05 02:28:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x444136…
08-05 02:28:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x9aff48…
08-05 02:28:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x1979dd…
08-05 02:03:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	210	39¢	$82	0xca6bd0…
08-05 02:01:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	210	78¢	$164	0x5b999b…
08-04 23:04:38	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x9692c0…
08-04 15:58:45	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x6c0186…
08-04 09:07:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	8¢	$19	0xd447b6…
08-03 08:00:15	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xa90775…
08-02 20:19:29	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe61740…
08-02 16:11:48	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x1289c8…
08-02 15:57:14	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x2cb172…
08-02 15:48:36	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	109	13¢	$14	0xd64497…
08-02 15:48:29	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x0b7eae…
08-02 15:48:26	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xa29c26…
08-02 15:48:26	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	42	17¢	$7	0x0f397a…
08-02 15:48:24	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x916339…
08-02 15:48:20	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xe39010…
08-02 15:38:38	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xb3409f…
08-02 15:35:11	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xfd8cc7…
08-02 15:01:08	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc50908…
08-02 01:11:35	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x12ed89…
08-02 00:40:23	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1ecad1…
08-01 18:52:57	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	108	36¢	$39	0x41c7c8…
08-01 18:44:11	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x05ebeb…
08-01 18:01:59	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	72	31¢	$22	0x509447…
08-01 17:54:18	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3c296e…
08-01 17:50:05	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	110	32¢	$35	0x87e7c2…
08-01 17:38:56	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	97	35¢	$34	0x92ba5d…
08-01 17:32:14	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdf171f…
08-01 17:16:48	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xde6461…
08-01 17:16:26	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x9df63f…
08-01 17:06:33	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf96246…
08-01 08:50:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	110	33¢	$36	0xc0cd97…
08-01 07:35:03	Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x812285…
08-01 02:34:20	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	84	29¢	$24	0x52e007…
08-01 02:22:12	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x010c4e…
08-01 02:11:51	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	623	27¢	$168	0xec0dc3…
07-31 20:54:35	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x4e2997…
07-31 20:22:36	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xd7f177…
07-31 20:19:56	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb58da5…
07-31 20:17:03	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7fdab2…