Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,155

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-27 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

78% 50% +$19

Politics

16% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$108

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	24	$1.1K	350	1,414	-1,064	open	—	01-09 19:34
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	8	$1.0K	635	635	+0	open	—	06-19 02:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$783	1,900	1,500	+400	open	—	01-31 18:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	46	$657	900	500	+400	open	—	02-13 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$602	800	600	+200	open	—	07-04 04:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$569	600	577	+23	open	—	06-16 18:32
iran strike on israel by february 28	8	$416	347	250	+97	open	—	02-04 00:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$401	296	296	+0	open	—	04-17 16:00
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	9	$358	400	0	+400	open	—	01-18 18:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	10	$348	300	262	+38	open	—	06-30 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	25	$341	1,349	975	+374	open	—	06-27 00:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$312	400	366	+34	open	—	05-20 18:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$305	400	400	+0	open	—	01-31 18:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$274	800	0	+800	open	—	06-12 05:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$265	200	200	+0	open	—	01-25 18:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$246	130	130	+0	open	—	04-02 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$242	400	400	+0	open	—	05-25 22:49
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 19:43
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	3	$220	300	300	+0	open	—	01-04 19:45
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 01:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	10	$214	600	100	+500	open	—	01-25 17:06
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	2	$210	0	211	-211	open	—	01-04 15:23
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 11m and 14m	16	$210	321	220	+101	open	—	01-25 00:45
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 21m	3	$203	300	200	+100	open	—	01-11 12:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$203	200	140	+60	open	—	06-12 19:34
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 00:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$191	900	900	+0	open	—	05-29 16:02
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 first half total 2pt5	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	06-23 00:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$174	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 17:45
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	3	$171	302	0	+302	open	—	06-25 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 09:09:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xabc729…
07-26 20:18:24	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	600	1¢	$5	0x867238…
07-26 11:28:04	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x00ec3c…
07-26 11:07:22	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x692a87…
07-26 11:07:19	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x211a51…
07-26 11:07:19	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x047247…
07-26 10:59:48	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xa29a25…
07-26 10:59:37	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x76cba8…
07-26 07:16:51	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x03aec6…
07-26 04:52:40	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf83820…
07-26 03:29:28	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0x3482da…
07-26 01:10:10	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xaad279…
07-26 01:10:10	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0fccf3…
07-25 22:33:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	159	30¢	$47	0xd3f586…
07-25 22:33:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	56	30¢	$17	0x960e18…
07-25 22:33:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x7bdcca…
07-25 22:33:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xfeb33a…
07-25 20:59:57	will wti dip to 90 in july 2026 from july 25	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x5926c6…
07-25 14:22:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	210	47¢	$99	0x6297e5…
07-24 19:44:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5e1f58…
07-22 14:49:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	230	8¢	$18	0x4b7cbe…
07-22 14:05:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x148223…
07-19 12:51:25	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	340	2¢	$8	0x9ac60b…
07-18 20:47:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x1d26da…
07-18 20:47:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x1d14aa…
07-18 20:16:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x39ce4b…
07-18 20:14:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc2c4e2…
07-18 19:57:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x363267…
07-18 19:45:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0x67e742…
07-18 19:44:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xeb7e96…
07-18 19:44:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xbeb41f…
07-18 19:15:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x757b25…
07-18 16:06:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	235	4¢	$8	0x5c9e61…
07-18 12:04:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	165	3¢	$6	0x164130…
07-18 03:04:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	199	18¢	$36	0xb4ebae…
07-18 03:00:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xce38fe…
07-17 12:26:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xcc7ca4…
07-17 12:02:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xab5f69…
07-17 11:57:43	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	Yes	BUY	204	12¢	$24	0xd4e8f9…
07-17 03:54:34	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8302df…
07-16 22:15:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe8f0ca…
07-16 22:01:32	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x036f5f…
07-16 20:43:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x10784e…
07-16 20:09:11	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	167	2¢	$4	0x361397…
07-16 19:56:40	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7c3c8b…
07-16 19:56:02	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xa9b1f0…
07-16 19:19:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xf5df30…
07-16 19:14:53	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x753a4d…
07-16 19:13:56	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xabdd2d…
07-16 19:04:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xdb0755…
07-16 18:54:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xa7eb04…
07-15 18:50:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x176a67…
07-15 18:28:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	328	0¢	$1	0xdeff9e…
07-15 15:57:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2d404e…
07-15 13:33:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	202	1¢	$2	0x02fd48…
07-14 18:26:07	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	736	1¢	$6	0xb8b2d7…
07-14 18:21:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	243	1¢	$2	0x07acee…
07-14 18:08:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xa43bb0…
07-14 18:07:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xaf9480…
07-12 23:44:11	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x2cc062…
07-11 18:35:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x4dddf6…
07-11 16:01:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x30a555…
07-11 16:00:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte3	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x577d0f…
07-11 13:30:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte3	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x48c0a0…
07-11 13:03:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte3	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x39f0f9…
07-11 11:40:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0xd0a3b0…
07-11 11:16:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte3	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xf9c3f4…
07-11 10:56:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte3	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x6dc2c8…
07-10 23:54:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xe2281e…
07-10 22:42:11	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfc9cda…
07-10 17:17:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x656220…
07-10 16:00:29	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x10eed1…
07-10 15:48:49	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa66a73…
07-10 15:30:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x44fcb7…
07-10 15:27:10	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x253672…
07-10 15:25:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x8ca47a…
07-10 15:16:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5207fa…
07-10 15:05:52	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x80f31c…
07-10 14:26:50	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x9a9e37…
07-10 14:16:46	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x677b88…
07-10 12:09:46	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xd60e9f…
07-10 07:06:59	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0x1219c5…
07-09 22:54:35	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x5eebfb…
07-09 20:59:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xb33633…
07-08 06:40:44	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x12c022…
07-07 17:14:08	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xa97450…
07-07 17:11:31	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xa80da9…
07-07 15:41:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	66	83¢	$55	0x13d6a8…
07-07 14:52:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	76	50¢	$38	0x1f9184…
07-07 14:52:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x08037b…
07-07 14:06:35	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x31f824…
07-07 13:33:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x168a0d…
07-07 04:06:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xf4c0e4…
07-07 02:29:31	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	102	77¢	$79	0x769938…
07-06 21:02:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0xcdafed…
07-06 14:59:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc5093b…
07-06 14:59:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0xef6985…
07-06 14:54:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x038df9…
07-06 08:15:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf690fb…
07-06 00:43:28	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals harry kane gte3	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9a0738…