Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$127

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,059

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$34

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-07 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

78% 50% +$19

Politics

16% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$108

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$18	10¢	$19	+$1	06-15 09:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+200	$0	8¢	$15	+$15	07-04 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+374	$109	0¢	$0	$-108	06-27 00:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	24	$1.1K	350	1,414	-1,064	open	—	01-09 19:34
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	8	$1.0K	635	635	+0	open	—	06-19 02:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$783	1,900	1,500	+400	open	—	01-31 18:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	46	$657	900	500	+400	open	—	02-13 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$602	800	600	+200	open	—	07-04 04:52
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$569	600	577	+23	open	—	06-16 18:32
iran strike on israel by february 28	8	$416	347	250	+97	open	—	02-04 00:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$401	296	296	+0	open	—	04-17 16:00
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	9	$358	400	0	+400	open	—	01-18 18:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	10	$348	300	262	+38	open	—	06-30 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	25	$341	1,349	975	+374	open	—	06-27 00:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$312	400	366	+34	open	—	05-20 18:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$305	400	400	+0	open	—	01-31 18:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$274	800	0	+800	open	—	06-12 05:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$265	200	200	+0	open	—	01-25 18:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$246	130	130	+0	open	—	04-02 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$242	400	400	+0	open	—	05-25 22:49
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	9	$236	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 19:43
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	3	$220	300	300	+0	open	—	01-04 19:45
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	06-27 01:13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	10	$214	600	100	+500	open	—	01-25 17:06
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	2	$210	0	211	-211	open	—	01-04 15:23
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 11m and 14m	16	$210	321	220	+101	open	—	01-25 00:45
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 21m	3	$203	300	200	+100	open	—	01-11 12:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$203	200	140	+60	open	—	06-12 19:34
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	2	$191	100	100	+0	open	—	06-25 00:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$191	900	900	+0	open	—	05-29 16:02
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 first half total 2pt5	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	06-23 00:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$174	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 17:45
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	3	$171	302	0	+302	open	—	06-25 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 04:06:10	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xf4c0e4…
07-07 02:29:31	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	102	77¢	$79	0x769938…
07-06 21:02:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0xcdafed…
07-06 14:59:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xc5093b…
07-06 14:59:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0xef6985…
07-06 14:54:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x038df9…
07-06 08:15:59	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf690fb…
07-06 00:43:28	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals harry kane gte3	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9a0738…
07-06 00:36:43	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals harry kane gte3	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x50f4f1…
07-05 21:39:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xe3ed1f…
07-05 21:03:49	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x01dfbd…
07-05 19:53:34	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x6c6724…
07-05 19:32:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x1290a8…
07-05 19:29:02	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2e1af0…
07-05 18:55:22	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x9a81df…
07-05 18:53:02	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x08fa0f…
07-05 18:47:17	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0x174e88…
07-05 17:58:22	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe55cbe…
07-05 16:49:10	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xec502c…
07-05 15:57:34	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0xf876ea…
07-05 15:44:32	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0xe07c80…
07-04 04:52:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x5dab0d…
07-04 03:34:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x240044…
07-03 12:42:53	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xe0142a…
07-03 09:12:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x7eb749…
07-03 08:30:23	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x5b522b…
07-03 08:29:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xbca31b…
07-03 06:35:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x51c655…
07-03 05:27:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x39be24…
07-03 05:13:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xf77161…
07-03 04:43:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x6da145…
07-03 02:20:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xfe9922…
07-02 21:52:38	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x7f0944…
07-02 21:42:17	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners first half total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xfb14dc…
07-02 21:07:59	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread away 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x24f7e3…
07-02 21:01:14	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xffaf9b…
07-02 20:32:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xfef390…
07-02 20:11:34	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x1398ac…
07-02 19:33:35	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x9ee0fc…
07-02 19:33:35	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	99	40¢	$40	0x16fcea…
07-02 19:21:25	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x49afc4…
07-02 16:33:35	will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260701204710234	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xb3e1d1…
07-02 10:28:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x42ba20…
07-02 03:13:17	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x159a5b…
07-02 03:06:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x16c05f…
07-01 10:46:23	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0xb771cb…
07-01 08:32:55	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x65ec08…
07-01 07:27:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x9d5e4a…
07-01 07:27:41	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	39	60¢	$23	0x5b8a5b…
07-01 07:17:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0x60f478…
07-01 07:07:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xd862b6…
07-01 03:28:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x96999c…
07-01 03:26:26	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xd156d5…
06-30 22:19:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xcba800…
06-30 20:59:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0c6cc4…
06-30 20:41:08	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x7247b6…
06-30 19:43:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x815dfe…
06-30 19:28:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	118	13¢	$15	0xf96d5e…
06-30 19:24:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x01eaa2…
06-30 19:22:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xc36abe…
06-30 19:20:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0x2d3d48…
06-30 19:14:43	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xfed1c2…
06-30 19:12:52	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x36721d…
06-30 19:01:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	199	66¢	$131	0x05f278…
06-30 18:53:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	58	15¢	$9	0x7f2bab…
06-30 18:23:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	430	14¢	$60	0xf712c2…
06-30 18:00:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0xb45d5b…
06-30 17:23:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xeb2fd4…
06-30 16:43:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	230	13¢	$30	0x727628…
06-30 15:57:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	112	91¢	$102	0x02635e…
06-30 14:49:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xfe9c4b…
06-30 13:38:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x42a8d0…
06-30 13:33:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x81b9ef…
06-30 01:52:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x233c2a…
06-29 21:33:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x0ba30c…
06-29 21:31:04	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x050671…
06-29 21:30:43	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe2ea1c…
06-29 21:09:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x69c05b…
06-29 20:32:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6e8122…
06-29 20:22:13	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 extra time	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x082dc6…
06-29 14:01:47	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x2b49c5…
06-29 13:15:25	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x4c16dd…
06-28 22:17:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	No	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x07204a…
06-28 16:24:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x25a640…
06-28 15:15:22	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0xe4fde3…
06-28 07:24:08	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	67	78¢	$52	0x3d18ff…
06-28 07:00:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0xe0cdb7…
06-28 06:23:38	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0x8c4291…
06-28 06:11:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x679888…
06-28 05:16:35	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x1e7d3d…
06-28 05:11:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x0778b3…
06-28 04:50:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2abaed…
06-28 04:38:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x169b0c…
06-28 01:58:05	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6cb776…
06-28 01:57:46	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0xd28fee…
06-28 01:55:46	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x045ec2…
06-28 01:50:55	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x6f4a0d…
06-28 01:50:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x32f191…
06-28 01:50:44	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xd24012…
06-28 01:48:50	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	26	55¢	$15	0x329303…