Realized P&L
+$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$745
Hit rate
66.3%
Resolved
685
Trades
4,642
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
82% 38% +$1,374
Politics
10% 42% +$678
Sports
5% 18% +$98
Tech
3% 25% -$481
Crypto
0% 67% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +959 $319 50¢ $475 +$156 10-26 02:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +524 $97 66¢ $348 +$251 10-18 07:06
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -485 -$97 43¢ $-209 -$111 07-05 09:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +186 -$504 97¢ $180 +$683 10-27 20:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +670 $181 26¢ $174 -$7 09-10 00:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +210 $74 82¢ $173 +$99 10-28 19:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +210 $78 60¢ $126 +$48 09-15 22:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +766 $204 14¢ $107 -$96 09-08 15:38
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 No +102 $79 96¢ $98 +$20 07-07 02:29
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +110 $48 86¢ $95 +$47 10-08 11:39
No one announced as next James Bond? No +60 $48 78¢ $47 -$1 10-09 09:34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $41 70¢ $42 +$2 09-22 15:51
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +1,071 $194 4¢ $41 -$153 08-21 02:28
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +100 $20 37¢ $37 +$18 09-27 10:20
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +60 $38 62¢ $37 $0 10-08 22:12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +210 $97 18¢ $37 -$60 08-10 04:44
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,050 $83 3¢ $34 -$49 09-16 17:10
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +150 $20 20¢ $31 +$11 09-22 19:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +500 $20 6¢ $30 +$9 09-18 22:47
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +60 $25 44¢ $27 +$2 09-22 03:05
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +220 $58 10¢ $23 -$35 09-27 21:09
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +63 -$2 34¢ $21 +$24 10-01 05:56
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +200 $34 9¢ $18 -$16 09-22 12:20
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +60 $30 28¢ $17 -$13 09-08 17:22
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +400 $14 4¢ $15 +$1 08-23 16:07
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +150 $15 8¢ $13 -$2 10-17 18:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +650 $43 2¢ $13 -$31 10-17 14:24
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +100 $31 12¢ $12 -$19 07-30 17:33
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +460 $41 2¢ $12 -$29 08-04 23:04
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +800 $10 1¢ $8 -$1 08-17 15:23