Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$127

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

92.6%

Resolved

Trades

496

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$70

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-16 23:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 50% +$19

Politics

33% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$108

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+300	$83	18¢	$52	$-30	06-14 21:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$18	8¢	$17	$-1	06-15 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	24	$1.1K	350	1,414	-1,064	open	—	01-09 19:34
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$783	1,900	1,500	+400	open	—	01-31 18:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	46	$657	900	500	+400	open	—	02-13 22:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$569	600	577	+23	open	—	06-16 18:32
iran strike on israel by february 28	8	$416	347	250	+97	open	—	02-04 00:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$401	296	296	+0	open	—	04-17 16:00
will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	9	$358	400	0	+400	open	—	01-18 18:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$312	400	366	+34	open	—	05-20 18:50
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$305	400	400	+0	open	—	01-31 18:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	5	$274	800	0	+800	open	—	06-12 05:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$265	200	200	+0	open	—	01-25 18:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$246	130	130	+0	open	—	04-02 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$242	400	400	+0	open	—	05-25 22:49
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	3	$220	300	300	+0	open	—	01-04 19:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	10	$214	600	100	+500	open	—	01-25 17:06
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	2	$210	0	211	-211	open	—	01-04 15:23
will mercy opening weekend box office be between 11m and 14m	16	$210	321	220	+101	open	—	01-25 00:45
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be less than 21m	3	$203	300	200	+100	open	—	01-11 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$203	600	300	+300	open	—	06-14 21:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$203	200	140	+60	open	—	06-12 19:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$191	900	900	+0	open	—	05-29 16:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$174	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 17:45
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	02-08 22:36
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	9	$166	351	251	+100	open	—	01-24 16:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$156	0	300	-300	open	—	01-30 00:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$142	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 23:12
Nothing Ever Happens: May	14	$135	700	0	+700	open	—	05-29 08:54
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	2	$128	200	100	+100	open	—	06-17 01:58
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	7	$123	300	0	+300	open	—	02-11 02:27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$121	200	100	+100	open	—	02-01 05:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 02:05:28	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x826b62…
06-17 02:03:04	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	150	19¢	$28	0x9c7936…
06-17 01:58:47	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x7d0bd2…
06-17 01:55:55	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x08ece7…
06-16 23:34:37	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xf3b1b3…
06-16 23:12:53	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x73af44…
06-16 22:54:35	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xd6e4f3…
06-16 21:47:23	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xa137f8…
06-16 21:42:52	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd6e446…
06-16 18:32:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0x5b35a0…
06-16 12:28:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0x83fdf7…
06-16 07:33:06	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xb29baf…
06-15 09:41:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x1d3853…
06-14 21:46:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x5e3b8d…
06-14 21:43:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	120	70¢	$84	0x5c3763…
06-14 21:35:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x6f83d9…
06-14 18:34:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$31	0xe52f56…
06-14 16:58:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	198	20¢	$40	0xc5d435…
06-14 16:47:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x62d2d3…
06-14 00:38:21	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x173612…
06-13 23:13:33	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xe0a44f…
06-13 23:13:12	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x2ceaf9…
06-13 23:13:09	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x8f3377…
06-13 23:13:00	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xc2314d…
06-13 23:12:58	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x184651…
06-13 23:12:52	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xc82289…
06-13 23:12:51	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x34f033…
06-13 18:26:25	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xf2bfa4…
06-13 16:18:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	95	26¢	$25	0x768d01…
06-13 12:58:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	155	15¢	$23	0x0346f0…
06-13 12:58:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x4f53eb…
06-13 01:50:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 26 2026 20260601225410820	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x7b6286…
06-12 19:34:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	135	95¢	$128	0x4b117e…
06-12 19:34:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x506775…
06-12 10:15:57	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0x7a6ebe…
06-12 10:12:09	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x6ef724…
06-12 06:46:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x9c62e1…
06-12 05:53:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x0a3e78…
06-12 05:41:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x471371…
06-12 05:41:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x28c8a2…
06-12 05:33:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x1280c4…
06-12 05:04:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x7deb50…
06-11 23:12:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x343fdd…
06-11 21:33:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0xd7f382…
06-11 20:38:15	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x15aaeb…
06-11 17:44:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x1aaa8b…
06-11 13:21:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	70	24¢	$17	0x8467a0…
06-11 13:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xcd9d07…
06-11 13:14:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	117	24¢	$28	0x8ed032…
06-10 21:40:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x209916…
06-10 19:06:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xc464f8…
06-10 18:30:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0x8c4f49…
06-10 16:23:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x679854…
06-10 14:47:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	124	38¢	$47	0x3f730d…
06-10 14:44:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	76	38¢	$29	0x1cd94e…
05-30 23:59:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x5254dd…
05-30 23:00:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x3437b2…
05-30 10:53:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xee5b52…
05-29 20:12:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xdb6afd…
05-29 16:02:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xc1a8ae…
05-29 08:54:16	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xa15a25…
05-29 08:14:08	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x34f659…
05-29 07:58:54	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	92	7¢	$6	0x584f2f…
05-28 09:08:01	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x9e874e…
05-26 17:07:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	181	2¢	$4	0x409fbc…
05-26 17:06:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x4418b5…
05-26 17:02:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$11	0x476486…
05-26 03:41:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x243ddf…
05-26 02:35:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xff2e68…
05-25 23:34:21	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xd1fe63…
05-25 22:49:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x49269e…
05-25 22:39:45	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x673891…
05-25 22:27:58	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x76b805…
05-25 19:30:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x26dd80…
05-25 16:40:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	428	4¢	$17	0x59b039…
05-25 07:13:48	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	91	19¢	$17	0x7763a8…
05-25 00:09:58	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xa4dc21…
05-24 23:07:05	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x327a44…
05-24 15:04:09	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xadfa68…
05-24 14:28:58	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0xb7e423…
05-24 14:17:18	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x3096bc…
05-24 10:15:27	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xbfa271…
05-24 08:09:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	72	17¢	$12	0x21ba82…
05-20 18:50:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x149cb1…
05-20 16:13:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	150	62¢	$93	0x7ca46e…
05-13 00:25:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x226665…
05-12 22:54:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x4e3498…
05-12 22:46:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xff180f…
05-12 22:20:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xda6d5e…
05-12 22:02:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5664e7…
05-12 21:27:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x004041…
05-12 21:27:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x5b014f…
05-12 21:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x79b201…
05-11 14:26:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	300	13¢	$39	0x4b4740…
05-11 12:30:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x700fb7…
05-10 20:21:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xe5d538…
05-10 19:23:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	9¢	$18	0x015e53…
05-10 19:00:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xf22f58…
05-09 19:50:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xa18b15…
05-08 21:32:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	3¢	$4	0x7a067d…