Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.36K

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$191.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$304

Open exposure

$2.62K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-30 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

78% 83% +$11,246

Politics

21% 72% -$1,783

Sports

1% 75% +$2,348

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No		+2,436	$1,788	88¢	$2.1K	+$356	09-30 17:00
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes		-4,000	-$1,480	12¢	$-480	+$1,000	05-03 12:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	25	$39.7K	28,289	11,500	+16,789	Yes	+$28	02-03 23:22
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	25	$26.6K	16,000	16,000	+0	No	+$3,115	02-03 18:32
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	32	$18.7K	18,575	6,575	+12,000	No	+$854	02-23 00:48
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	84	$13.2K	12,257	3,603	+8,654	No	+$2,348	03-13 11:19
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	31	$11.1K	41,901	31,000	+10,901	Yes	+$13	02-03 01:43
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	31	$8.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$860	01-15 17:02
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	9	$8.4K	4,225	4,225	+0	No	+$51	02-03 19:24
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	6	$7.8K	4,033	4,033	+0	No	+$157	04-28 18:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	42	$6.7K	8,059	2,500	+5,559	Yes	-$4,498	01-28 03:33
us government funding lapse on january 31	2	$5.5K	6,604	0	+6,604	Yes	+$1,113	01-29 23:33
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	11	$5.0K	5,203	0	+5,203	No	+$203	07-15 18:33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	6	$4.2K	7,000	1,000	+6,000	No	+$2,823	01-28 04:05
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	4	$3.3K	2,436	4,000	-1,564	open	—	09-30 17:00
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 9 2026 943	1	$2.9K	2,933	0	+2,933	No	+$59	01-08 18:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	72	$2.2K	17,500	23,500	-6,000	No	-$132	01-30 00:47
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	18	$2.2K	4,083	149	+3,934	No	+$2,035	05-18 13:57
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	16	$2.0K	6,850	4,600	+2,250	No	-$1,792	02-27 02:36
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$5	02-03 16:28
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	16	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$23	02-03 16:06
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	5	$1.8K	5,325	5,325	+0	Yes	+$66	01-16 19:50
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$1.7K	3,666	0	+3,666	Argentina	+$1,989	07-15 17:25
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	10	$1.7K	9,000	15,000	-6,000	No	-$863	02-03 09:30
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	12	$1.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$77	04-27 12:09
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	32	$1.5K	1,413	1,413	+0	Yes	+$1,352	02-03 23:15
will graham platner drop out by july 8	13	$1.4K	2,557	0	+2,557	Yes	+$1,188	07-08 21:04
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	5	$1.2K	1,706	706	+1,000	Yes	+$109	07-08 20:36
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	1	$1.1K	3,080	0	+3,080	Steelers	+$2,002	01-02 16:15
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	2	$998	1,585	1,585	+0	Yes	+$111	01-01 19:26
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	20	$845	4,295	4,295	+0	Yes	-$811	08-05 10:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	13	$730	20,000	20,000	+0	Yes	-$570	04-08 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 17:00:24	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0xea9e41…
08-07 21:30:30	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	BUY	426	75¢	$321	0xa1d071…
08-05 10:10:57	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	2,905	0¢	$12	0xe7a500…
08-05 10:08:35	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	1,390	0¢	$6	0x94a0c7…
07-24 13:22:49	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	296	20¢	$59	0xfc1be2…
07-24 13:01:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xcae0fc…
07-24 10:34:18	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x6d94d1…
07-24 10:25:45	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xb8bf69…
07-24 09:39:09	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4a52db…
07-24 09:19:49	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x617187…
07-24 07:57:49	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	67	20¢	$13	0xf3ef61…
07-24 07:08:13	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	128	20¢	$26	0xa59e78…
07-24 05:26:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x919693…
07-24 05:10:43	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x4a038e…
07-24 01:20:12	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x91530c…
07-23 22:31:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xc5350d…
07-23 21:59:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xe255a8…
07-23 21:58:55	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	169	20¢	$34	0x9e2075…
07-23 18:23:15	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	312	20¢	$62	0xad4adb…
07-23 18:23:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x22007e…
07-23 18:23:01	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0xb47df5…
07-22 03:23:07	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	3,085	19¢	$586	0x196c84…
07-15 18:57:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x55bf87…
07-15 18:56:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x6ee5eb…
07-15 18:55:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x34d99d…
07-15 18:54:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xc06dd7…
07-15 18:54:28	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x4727e3…
07-15 18:33:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	2,424	96¢	$2,329	0xe8150a…
07-15 18:24:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	53	96¢	$50	0x86089a…
07-15 18:22:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0xe0fd0a…
07-15 18:22:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	1,154	96¢	$1,109	0x661080…
07-15 18:17:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	256	96¢	$246	0x5213e3…
07-15 18:17:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	256	96¢	$246	0xa0d6bf…
07-15 18:14:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0x2ee573…
07-15 18:14:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x52cbeb…
07-15 18:13:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0xea5443…
07-15 18:13:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x3ef52f…
07-15 18:09:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals jude bellingham gte2	No	BUY	641	96¢	$616	0x17b684…
07-15 17:25:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3,666	46¢	$1,677	0xc7a8e5…
07-08 21:04:56	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	500	44¢	$222	0x42d8aa…
07-08 21:00:46	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xdbe8c7…
07-08 21:00:46	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0x20b4ae…
07-08 20:40:46	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0x00994b…
07-08 20:40:16	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x13f028…
07-08 20:40:13	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xa57496…
07-08 20:39:08	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5f7700…
07-08 20:36:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x7ad632…
07-08 20:36:37	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	459	56¢	$257	0x7aad6b…
07-08 20:36:35	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	141	56¢	$79	0xada6ce…
07-08 20:36:34	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x25fb7b…
07-08 20:36:19	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0x8cd078…
07-08 20:25:40	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	117	56¢	$66	0xed2816…
07-08 20:22:52	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x2abd2f…
07-08 20:19:58	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x5c5bd3…
07-08 20:19:29	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x3aec90…
07-08 20:16:10	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xd07597…
07-08 20:15:56	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xb7fdd0…
07-07 16:08:13	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	59	24¢	$14	0x19ef31…
07-07 16:05:14	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x99a33a…
07-07 16:02:59	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	402	24¢	$96	0xeb2625…
07-07 16:02:02	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	706	20¢	$139	0x5b542c…
07-07 15:30:26	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x596585…
07-07 14:59:01	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0xd332ae…
07-07 14:52:08	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	80	26¢	$21	0xaaccd7…
07-07 14:50:50	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	42	21¢	$9	0x677cf7…
07-07 14:49:59	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x20f608…
07-07 14:49:59	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	635	23¢	$144	0x186d83…
07-07 14:48:46	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x611d76…
07-06 20:03:44	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf1cddc…
07-06 20:03:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x5e2a2a…
06-04 01:30:54	Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,567	0¢	$2	0x2ba06b…
06-04 01:30:03	Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd13e9c…
05-18 13:57:43	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xc3750a…
05-18 13:57:38	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x790c89…
05-12 14:34:14	Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x7b30a0…
05-04 13:58:32	Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	818	4¢	$33	0x936ec6…
05-03 12:57:14	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0e17d2…
05-03 12:42:30	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,000	37¢	$1,480	0xe258e5…
04-30 20:38:04	Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,318	1¢	$7	0xd62195…
04-30 20:37:42	Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,581	1¢	$9	0x71bb70…
04-29 18:41:26	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xe8dbb6…
04-29 18:39:32	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x0fcc0e…
04-29 18:38:52	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xffe0a3…
04-29 18:38:52	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xf68771…
04-28 18:11:06	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	4,033	99¢	$3,998	0xb1080e…
04-27 12:09:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xd86931…
04-27 11:48:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0xab4f65…
04-27 11:39:44	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	1,854	10¢	$185	0x77e65b…
04-25 12:40:52	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	60	21¢	$13	0x655bfb…
04-25 11:21:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	283	20¢	$57	0x413419…
04-25 10:31:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	1,830	20¢	$366	0xa1cab0…
04-25 05:52:14	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd17692…
04-25 04:47:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	948	16¢	$154	0xc04b85…
04-24 22:04:48	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe56f23…
04-24 21:45:48	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	604	46¢	$278	0x63fc55…
04-24 14:16:34	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	4,911	14¢	$688	0x61a59c…
04-21 17:22:50	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	Yes	BUY	1,100	8¢	$88	0xcae287…
04-08 14:38:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	20,000	0¢	$80	0x4dc89d…
04-07 23:27:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	4,881	1¢	$49	0x15839d…
04-07 23:27:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	684	1¢	$7	0x92e9df…