Realized P&L
-$160
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
12,193
Trades
15,598
lifetime
Volume
$23.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$0
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-12
last 08-20 07:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
79% 58% -$21
Sports
15% 53% -$28
Crypto
3% 59% -$93
Politics
2% 54% -$25
Tech
1% 77% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 983 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:03
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:10
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:05
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:02
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:05
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 78¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:06
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:02
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 78¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:03
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +0 $0 82¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:05
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +0 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:02
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 87¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:08
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +0 $0 72¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +0 $0 75¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:04
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:02
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:05
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:02
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:02
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +0 $0 84¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:03
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:05
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:03
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 08-20 07:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:04
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 08-20 07:07