Realized P&L
-$15.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.3K
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
221
Trades
1,413
lifetime
Volume
$310.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$219
Open exposure
$30.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-09 07:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
55% 50% -$7,972
Other
43% 52% -$6,610
Sports
2% 33% -$1,223
Crypto
0% 100% +$376
Tech
0% 50% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +12,998 $6,758 88¢ $11.4K +$4,615 11-09 07:22
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? No +7,295 $2,183 98¢ $7.1K +$4,933 11-09 07:22
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +7,542 $2,242 89¢ $6.7K +$4,470 11-06 17:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,392 -$1,121 92¢ $-1286 -$165 11-05 18:10
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,357 $300 88¢ $1.2K +$894 11-09 07:01
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +555 $313 78¢ $430 +$117 11-09 06:39
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +405 $300 76¢ $310 +$10 05-03 13:52
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? No +677 $294 38¢ $261 -$33 11-08 20:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -247 -$230 97¢ $-240 -$10 11-09 06:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -240 -$226 98¢ $-236 -$10 11-09 06:21
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? No +537 $135 40¢ $217 +$82 11-09 06:57
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +371 $202 44¢ $161 -$41 11-09 06:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -152 -$143 99¢ $-150 -$7 11-05 18:11
Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? Yes +308 $121 46¢ $142 +$21 11-08 20:00
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +120 -$430 84¢ $100 +$530 11-09 07:21
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30? No +177 $100 56¢ $100 +$0 11-08 19:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -81 -$73 94¢ $-76 -$2 11-05 18:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -74 -$69 98¢ $-72 -$4 11-09 06:22
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -75 -$67 94¢ $-71 -$4 11-06 05:42
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? Yes +175 $49 24¢ $42 -$7 09-23 03:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -26 -$24 96¢ $-25 -$1 11-05 18:10
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +44 $20 43¢ $19 -$1 08-20 18:06
Will Axel Kicillof win the Peronist nomination to contest the 2027 Argentine presidential election? Yes +25 $15 60¢ $15 +$0 11-09 06:26
Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? Yes +23 $16 63¢ $14 -$2 10-03 11:34
Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? No +62 $10 22¢ $14 +$4 10-11 18:32
Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +20 $10 63¢ $13 +$3 10-03 10:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -15 -$12 83¢ $-12 $0 11-08 19:32
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +714 $100 2¢ $11 -$89 09-11 20:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 11-09 06:22
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No -25 -$15 38¢ $-10 +$5 09-07 19:47