Realized P&L
-$1.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$811
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
848
lifetime
Volume
$255.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$301
Open exposure
$3.64K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 07-21 10:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
58% 50% $-2
Other
40% 0% $-1,935
Sports
2% 100% +$4
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +2,553 $1,240 63¢ $1.6K +$369 07-12 10:15
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1,278 $564 64¢ $818 +$254 07-12 15:30
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +936 $532 74¢ $697 +$165 06-08 21:09
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +551 $330 60¢ $331 +$1 07-15 10:39
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -70 $-68 97¢ $-68 $-0 06-16 12:58
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +77 $43 83¢ $64 +$21 07-12 15:30
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +77 $50 67¢ $51 +$1 07-12 10:48