Realized P&L
-$1.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
0.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
804
lifetime
Volume
$246.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$306
Open exposure
$5.19K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 06-19 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
59% 50% $-2
Other
40% 0% $-1,935
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -3,220 $-3,105 100¢ $-3217 $-112 06-17 18:17
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +936 $532 70¢ $655 +$123 06-08 21:09
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +953 $411 55¢ $519 +$108 06-07 08:06
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No -200 $-194 100¢ $-199 $-5 06-16 13:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +333 $140 56¢ $186 +$46 05-29 10:37
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -160 $-155 100¢ $-160 $-5 06-19 07:14
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? No +460 $154 18¢ $85 $-69 06-02 11:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -70 $-70 100¢ $-70 $-0 06-19 07:11
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -70 $-68 96¢ $-67 +$0 06-16 12:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +16 $6 100¢ $16 +$10 06-18 09:09
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +15 $8 41¢ $6 $-2 06-02 21:19
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 05-31 21:55