Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
44
lifetime
Volume
$541
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$142
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-22 08:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61%
Politics
38%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +31 $27 90¢ $27 +$0 06-08 02:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-08 03:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-22 08:03
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +17 $15 89¢ $15 +$0 06-08 02:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +13 $10 72¢ $10 $-0 06-22 08:04
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-08 03:04
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-08 03:08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-08 03:07
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 03:01
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 03:11
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-08 03:12
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 79¢ $5 $-0 06-08 03:07
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +8 $5 50¢ $4 $-1 06-08 03:03
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +4 $2 56¢ $2 +$0 06-08 03:01
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:06
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:05
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:05