Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
45
lifetime
Volume
$641
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$220
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-06 03:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67%
Politics
32%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +114 $100 88¢ $101 +$1 07-06 03:16
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +31 $27 90¢ $28 +$1 06-08 02:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 93¢ $20 +$0 06-08 03:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-22 08:03
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +17 $15 96¢ $16 +$1 06-08 02:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +13 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 06-22 08:04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-08 03:12
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 06-08 03:07
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +8 $5 50¢ $4 $-1 06-08 03:03
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +4 $2 65¢ $3 +$1 06-08 03:01
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:06
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:05