Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
42
lifetime
Volume
$516
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$117
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-08 03:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
36%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +31 $27 84¢ $26 $-1 06-08 02:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-08 03:08
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 +$0 06-08 02:59
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? No -6 $-6 98¢ $-6 $-0 06-08 03:04
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 03:08
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 03:11
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-08 03:12
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 06-08 03:07
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-08 03:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 73¢ $5 $-0 06-08 03:03
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-08 03:01
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +8 $5 50¢ $4 $-1 06-08 03:03
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? No +5 $5 64¢ $4 $-1 06-08 03:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +4 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-08 03:01
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:05
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:05
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 67¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:06
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:05
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:05
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 47¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:05