Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved
281
Trades
361
lifetime
Volume
$462
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$16
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-11 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
59% 50% +$11
Crypto
21% 62% -$3
Politics
18% 78% +$9
Sports
2% 33% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -298 -$6 3¢ $-8 -$2 06-12 00:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +18 $5 18¢ $3 -$2 11-11 07:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 11-09 03:57
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027? Yes +8 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 11-11 07:39
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 06-03 07:53
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes -48 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 11-04 07:51
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -77 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 11-06 04:06