Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f09…f1424e
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,534
lifetime
Volume
$15.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$92
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-27 21:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51% — —
Sports
32% — —
Tech
11% — —
Politics
6% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -72 $-50 63¢ $-45 +$5 05-31 20:21
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -27 $-19 70¢ $-19 $-0 06-25 21:58
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$1 06-15 05:16
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +33 $6 14¢ $4 $-1 06-16 15:03
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +6 $4 72¢ $4 $-0 06-15 12:43
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +20 $4 19¢ $4 $-1 06-13 10:51
Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +42 $8 9¢ $4 $-4 06-15 06:02
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $4 31¢ $3 $-0 06-16 17:25
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -4 $-3 73¢ $-3 +$0 06-25 22:06