Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
open
Total volume
$833
Trades
104
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$2,233
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
28¢
End date
2026-08-18
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-06 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $164 | $19 | +$145 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $174 | $26 | +$149 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $7 | $12 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $30 | $49 | $19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $214 | $8 | +$206 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
| Median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 6 | $60 | $33 | +$27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $75 | $10 | +$66 |
| unranked | 13 | $16 | $33 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | +135 | $114 | $114 | 3 | 06-28 05:09 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +96 | $60 | $91 | 11 | 06-28 09:43 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +60 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 06-25 07:43 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $44 | $44 | 4 | 06-25 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2955…0738 | No | +52 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 12:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +37 | $33 | $81 | 2 | 06-26 07:37 |
| Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | +34 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-26 17:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +24 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 07-03 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +19 | $13 | $50 | 9 | 07-06 17:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +19 | $3 | $6 | 2 | 06-30 03:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | +14 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-30 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 17:33 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 13:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 22:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $10 | 2 | 06-28 05:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 17:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x66d456… |
| 07-06 17:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x9236…e0cb | No | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x66d456… |
| 07-03 06:55:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x3dac13… |
| 07-03 06:55:31 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x3dac13… |
| 07-01 19:43:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5d9994… |
| 07-01 19:43:50 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5d9994… |
| 06-30 03:37:41 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xdaf48d… |
| 06-30 03:37:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xdaf48d… |
| 06-30 03:36:34 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xcb6246… |
| 06-30 03:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xcb6246… |
| 06-30 03:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xedc4…be57 | No | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x7dfdaa… |
| 06-30 03:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x7dfdaa… |
| 06-28 09:43:17 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xb87a6f… |
| 06-28 09:43:17 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xb87a6f… |
| 06-28 08:14:08 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x7444ad… |
| 06-28 08:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x7444ad… |
| 06-28 07:59:31 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x52364d… |
| 06-28 07:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x52364d… |
| 06-28 05:09:32 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 96 | 85¢ | $81 | 0xc4c7b2… |
| 06-28 05:09:32 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | BUY | 96 | 85¢ | $81 | 0xc4c7b2… |
| 06-28 05:09:28 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | BUY | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0xe20f5f… |
| 06-28 05:09:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xe20f5f… |
| 06-28 05:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x6dc4b6… |
| 06-28 05:09:25 | Minor-Dish 0x34ab…f1db | Yes | BUY | 14 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x6dc4b6… |
| 06-28 05:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x6dc4b6… |
| 06-26 18:56:11 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 61¢ | $9 | 0xfb5598… |
| 06-26 18:56:11 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 15 | 39¢ | $6 | 0xfb5598… |
| 06-26 17:33:35 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xc740a4… |
| 06-26 17:33:35 | (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xc740a4… |
| 06-26 17:33:35 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 64¢ | $8 | 0xc740a4… |
| 06-26 17:33:08 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xbfcd04… |
| 06-26 17:33:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xbfcd04… |
| 06-26 17:33:08 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbfcd04… |
| 06-26 17:32:47 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xb2adcd… |
| 06-26 17:32:47 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xb2adcd… |
| 06-26 17:32:44 | Tidy-Octopus-Escape 0x9c11…847b | No | BUY | 34 | 37¢ | $12 | 0x9eaed3… |
| 06-26 17:32:44 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x9eaed3… |
| 06-26 17:32:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x9eaed3… |
| 06-26 17:32:44 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x9eaed3… |
| 06-26 07:37:28 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 65¢ | $24 | 0x4e0cf9… |
| 06-26 07:37:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 65¢ | $24 | 0x4e0cf9… |
| 06-25 22:06:55 | Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x5fa959… |
| 06-25 22:06:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 76¢ | $6 | 0x5fa959… |
| 06-25 07:44:26 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x49531c… |
| 06-25 07:44:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x49531c… |
| 06-25 07:43:56 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xe0e33b… |
| 06-25 07:43:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xe0e33b… |
| 06-25 07:43:56 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xe0e33b… |
| 06-25 00:36:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x7329dc… |
| 06-25 00:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x1cdf…eba6 | No | SELL | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x7329dc… |
| 06-25 00:31:01 | (anonymous) 0x1cdf…eba6 | No | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x81f268… |
| 06-25 00:31:01 | Brown-Object 0xdc31…3fe8 | No | SELL | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x81f268… |
| 06-24 21:20:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xa103ba… |
| 06-24 21:20:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xa103ba… |
| 06-24 21:20:46 | Brown-Object 0xdc31…3fe8 | No | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xa103ba… |
| 06-24 21:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x6481…4c2d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x1ce47f… |
| 06-24 21:15:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x1ce47f… |
| 06-24 21:00:26 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xa327a4… |
| 06-24 21:00:26 | (anonymous) 0x6481…4c2d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xa327a4… |
| 06-24 21:00:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xa327a4… |
| 06-24 20:57:07 | (anonymous) 0x6481…4c2d | No | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xbd5e81… |
| 06-24 20:57:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xbd5e81… |
| 06-24 20:54:11 | (anonymous) 0x6481…4c2d | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x158101… |
| 06-24 20:54:11 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0x158101… |
| 06-24 20:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xec0658… |
| 06-24 20:15:05 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xec0658… |
| 06-24 20:14:43 | (anonymous) 0xfc23…5a3d | No | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x39e5f5… |
| 06-24 20:14:43 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | No | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x39e5f5… |
| 06-23 12:24:52 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xc555d5… |
| 06-23 12:24:52 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc555d5… |
| 06-23 12:12:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xf67495… |
| 06-23 12:12:47 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 66¢ | $7 | 0xf67495… |
| 06-23 11:01:23 | (anonymous) 0x0607…e0e3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x11ada3… |
| 06-23 11:01:23 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x11ada3… |
| 06-23 10:35:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xf5eefb… |
| 06-23 10:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | No | BUY | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xf5eefb… |
| 06-21 12:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x2955…0738 | No | BUY | 52 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x02d22e… |
| 06-21 12:44:56 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | SELL | 24 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x02d22e… |
| 06-21 12:44:56 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x02d22e… |
| 06-21 12:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | No | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x02d22e… |
| 06-21 12:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x0607…e0e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x02d22e… |
| 06-21 12:28:14 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x6443ae… |
| 06-21 12:28:14 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x6443ae… |
| 06-20 02:00:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 77¢ | $57 | 0x6a0b35… |
| 06-20 02:00:41 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 74 | 77¢ | $57 | 0x6a0b35… |
| 06-18 20:45:10 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xe0cc04… |
| 06-18 20:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x55dc…19a3 | No | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xe0cc04… |
| 06-18 20:45:10 | (anonymous) 0xa351…9805 | No | SELL | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xe0cc04… |
| 06-15 13:17:34 | (anonymous) 0x22dc…7b11 | No | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x2fc7e9… |
| 06-15 13:17:34 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2fc7e9… |
| 06-15 13:17:34 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2fc7e9… |
| 06-15 13:17:04 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 69¢ | $23 | 0xdfd9ef… |
| 06-15 13:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x22dc…7b11 | No | SELL | 34 | 31¢ | $11 | 0xdfd9ef… |
| 06-15 13:16:49 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xaafcad… |
| 06-15 13:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x22dc…7b11 | No | SELL | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xaafcad… |
| 06-15 13:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x22dc…7b11 | No | SELL | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x30f4cc… |
| 06-15 13:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0x30f4cc… |
| 06-15 13:15:04 | Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xd97b8a… |
| 06-15 13:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | BUY | 4 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xd97b8a… |
| 06-14 09:55:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x695f8b… |