Frightening-Choker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$618

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

1,533

Trades

1,583

lifetime

Volume

$68.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$32

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 11-01 13:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

75% 93% -$521

Sports

10% 92% -$206

Crypto

8% 89% -$53

Politics

7% 94% +$149

Tech

0% 100% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	+23	$21	99¢	$23	+$2	10-24 23:00
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$9	95¢	$9	+$0	10-28 02:59
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+0	$1	96¢	$0	-$1	09-28 07:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?	4	$600	330	330	+0	No	+$0	05-14 19:18
Real Oviedo leading at halftime?	4	$593	330	330	+0	No	-$7	05-14 19:18
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$207	105	105	+0	No	+$3	06-28 10:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?	2	$171	108	108	+0	No	-$25	06-12 15:05
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	2	$166	87	87	+0	No	-$3	06-03 10:20
spy closes above 740 on june 9 2026	1	$126	140	0	+140	No	+$14	06-09 19:00
wnba sea las 2026 06 08	1	$125	138	0	+138	Las Vegas Aces	+$14	06-09 01:26
nflx up or down on june 10 2026	1	$123	135	0	+135	Up	+$12	06-10 19:02
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	10-01 19:56
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	10-01 20:00
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-26?	2	$121	115	45	+70	No	-$16	05-26 23:25
2026 us open top10 gary woodland	1	$118	132	0	+132	Yes	-$118	06-20 23:56
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Neither team to score first?	1	$115	127	0	+127	No	+$13	06-16 00:08
bitcoin above 61200 on june 6 2026 4am et	1	$114	126	0	+126	No	+$11	06-06 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12?	2	$113	80	80	+0	No	-$43	06-12 15:06
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 goals yusuf abdurisag gte1	1	$113	126	0	+126	No	+$13	06-18 21:11
Qatar to win the second half?	1	$113	125	0	+125	No	+$11	06-18 21:00
Scotland to win the second half?	1	$113	124	0	+124	No	+$11	06-24 21:30
spy closes above 745 on june 18 2026	1	$112	122	0	+122	Yes	+$10	06-18 19:37
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?	1	$111	122	0	+122	No	+$11	06-24 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 24?	1	$111	123	0	+123	No	+$12	06-24 11:00
Will the US lose jobs in May?	1	$108	120	0	+120	No	+$11	06-04 23:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	1	$106	118	0	+118	No	+$12	05-28 23:05
bitcoin above 62800 on june 4 2026 2pm et	1	$106	118	0	+118	Yes	+$12	06-04 17:41
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	2	$106	55	55	+0	No	+$4	06-28 10:13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 7?	1	$104	109	0	+109	No	+$4	06-07 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 7?	1	$104	109	0	+109	No	+$4	06-07 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 7?	1	$104	108	0	+108	No	+$3	06-07 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 7?	1	$104	108	0	+108	No	+$4	06-07 11:25
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	1	$103	114	0	+114	No	+$11	06-02 23:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 13:10:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 1?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xfd2dcf…
11-01 12:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 1?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xe31a4f…
11-01 12:32:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xb699ba…
11-01 12:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x976e13…
11-01 12:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x428508…
11-01 11:00:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $10M and $12M?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb89a21…
11-01 11:00:22	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xb3f50b…
11-01 11:00:22	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x92bea2…
11-01 11:00:22	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x3293fd…
10-31 17:09:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd2c79e…
10-31 14:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2a139b…
10-31 13:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xbf5db1…
10-31 13:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x1dd97a…
10-31 13:30:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x020901…
10-31 12:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x90d750…
10-31 12:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x5dff22…
10-31 12:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xfda801…
10-31 12:01:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xb90590…
10-31 12:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5f904b…
10-30 16:09:27	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x85841a…
10-30 14:39:36	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x637f69…
10-30 13:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xb44e80…
10-30 12:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 30?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xf965b4…
10-30 12:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xaba841…
10-30 12:00:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x2a1f6d…
10-30 10:40:18	Silver Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xebca6d…
10-30 10:20:00	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	91¢	$22	0xe8953a…
10-30 09:58:04	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x7d5846…
10-30 08:48:19	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb8111c…
10-30 08:42:46	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x7bb48d…
10-30 08:20:15	Silver Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xfd69a3…
10-30 08:20:15	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd65dc7…
10-30 08:14:34	Silver Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc41b1d…
10-30 08:02:37	Gold Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xb7c76e…
10-30 07:40:03	Silver Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x138005…
10-29 19:39:15	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9dfe65…
10-29 17:51:41	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0xed8669…
10-29 15:35:22	Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x13e989…
10-29 12:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$24	0x347311…
10-29 12:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xec80fb…
10-29 12:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xa3aff2…
10-29 12:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0x81bfdc…
10-29 11:06:02	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0xbbe71c…
10-29 05:03:17	Gold Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4b8480…
10-28 22:06:32	Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xe9fbe3…
10-28 19:44:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xd5f713…
10-28 17:36:13	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xcfea2f…
10-28 17:36:11	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x5e5ae7…
10-28 16:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0a2ede…
10-28 12:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 28?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x929062…
10-28 12:30:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xd9d571…
10-28 12:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 28?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xb71d15…
10-28 12:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x11ab74…
10-28 12:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x51f75a…
10-28 03:12:46	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdff350…
10-28 02:59:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xcbc72d…
10-28 02:59:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x439d1d…
10-28 02:59:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x29d74a…
10-27 23:34:29	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xf46ef3…
10-27 23:34:29	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x397586…
10-27 19:11:53	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x4a4c2a…
10-27 16:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x94f53d…
10-27 16:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x7c196b…
10-27 12:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x224e89…
10-27 12:00:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe144f7…
10-27 02:59:23	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x809b70…
10-26 16:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x4cebf7…
10-26 15:01:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xe67e59…
10-26 14:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x7c2c27…
10-26 13:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0xd43d80…
10-26 13:30:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9577c3…
10-26 12:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 26?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0x04f08c…
10-25 22:59:09	Will Iliana Iotova win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x3a9231…
10-25 14:34:35	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 25?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0xfedbc2…
10-25 12:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x9e0390…
10-25 12:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 25?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x814cce…
10-25 12:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x833b92…
10-25 00:48:27	Santos FC to score first vs. EC Bahia?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc19e88…
10-24 23:34:21	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0xdda801…
10-24 23:00:56	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x6c6ebe…
10-24 18:15:18	San Diego vs. Dayton	Dayton	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x2975bf…
10-24 04:35:41	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xbfaced…
10-24 03:51:45	Air Force vs. Wyoming	Wyoming	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x12b354…
10-24 03:33:17	Army vs. Tulsa	Tulsa	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x3961d1…
10-24 03:21:29	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0xf342ef…
10-24 01:19:08	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0x8e8f0d…
10-23 15:00:47	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2c991a…
10-23 03:10:47	East Carolina vs. Memphis	Memphis	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0xf6b7a7…
10-23 03:06:41	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x114e5d…
10-23 02:01:51	Golden Knights vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x343131…
10-23 01:03:32	Panthers vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0xc34dd5…
10-23 00:55:53	Ducks vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x6ef8b2…
10-22 01:54:23	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x762007…
10-22 01:45:50	Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	15	92¢	$13	0x5ac60a…
10-21 19:01:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x111c42…
10-21 19:00:12	Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xd79862…
10-21 03:12:21	Wild vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xf897db…
10-21 02:57:24	South Alabama vs. Marshall	Marshall	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x1694c2…
10-21 02:25:26	Jets vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x5c58ae…
10-21 01:45:44	Missouri State vs. Delaware	Delaware	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x7f16c8…