Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$621
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,269
lifetime
Volume
$50.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$9.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 07-23 06:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Politics
27%
Sports
15%
Crypto
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -4,827 $-1,527 34¢ $-1665 $-138 07-08 03:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,341 $-1,091 89¢ $-1189 $-98 06-11 18:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -1,378 $-804 66¢ $-903 $-98 07-02 02:23
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -815 $-680 90¢ $-730 $-50 07-17 05:22
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -1,901 $-664 34¢ $-646 +$17 07-23 06:48
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -533 $-421 88¢ $-469 $-48 07-01 10:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -1,352 $-285 34¢ $-464 $-179 07-21 15:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -3,835 $-551 11¢ $-435 +$116 06-11 23:02
US recession by end of 2026? No -448 $-375 88¢ $-397 $-22 06-14 21:45
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -3,121 $-423 12¢ $-375 +$48 07-21 02:14
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -331 $-233 94¢ $-313 $-80 06-07 23:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -300 $-242 92¢ $-278 $-35 05-30 22:14
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -307 $-163 84¢ $-258 $-95 06-27 13:09
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -203 $-177 94¢ $-189 $-13 06-04 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,510 $-350 $-163 +$187 06-14 22:07
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -1,091 $-120 14¢ $-153 $-32 07-09 00:02
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +198 $138 66¢ $131 $-7 07-01 10:03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +111 $159 66¢ $73 $-86 07-07 10:24
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -78 $-56 82¢ $-65 $-8 07-21 16:59
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No -67 $-26 85¢ $-57 $-31 06-18 09:36
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +348 $83 15¢ $53 $-30 06-24 23:06
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +50 $39 84¢ $42 +$3 06-25 20:55
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -45 $-39 86¢ $-39 +$0 06-25 20:46
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -47 $-29 80¢ $-38 $-9 06-01 05:25
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -321 $-86 12¢ $-37 +$49 07-11 14:38
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -202 $-25 $-15 +$10 06-15 09:31
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-09 13:56
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -120 $-12 $-9 +$3 06-11 17:47
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -145 $-14 $-8 +$7 06-07 23:18
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? Yes +20 $6 20¢ $4 $-2 06-09 11:47