Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88d1…408570
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$486
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,195
lifetime
Volume
$45.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$7.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 07-02 05:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
25% — —
Sports
16% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,341 $-1,091 85¢ $-1140 $-49 06-11 18:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -2,889 $-888 34¢ $-968 $-80 06-25 19:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -1,378 $-804 66¢ $-916 $-112 07-02 02:23
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -673 $-562 88¢ $-592 $-30 06-23 00:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -3,835 $-551 15¢ $-575 $-24 06-11 23:02
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -533 $-421 82¢ $-434 $-13 07-01 10:45
US recession by end of 2026? No -448 $-375 88¢ $-397 $-22 06-14 21:45
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -331 $-233 94¢ $-309 $-77 06-07 23:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -300 $-242 92¢ $-274 $-32 05-30 22:14
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -307 $-163 82¢ $-252 $-89 06-27 13:09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -340 $-170 74¢ $-250 $-80 06-30 07:23
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -203 $-177 93¢ $-188 $-12 06-04 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,510 $-350 7¢ $-176 +$175 06-14 22:07
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -482 $-276 30¢ $-145 +$132 06-25 19:23
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +198 $138 70¢ $139 +$1 07-01 10:03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +510 $288 26¢ $135 $-153 06-30 07:15
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes +864 $114 10¢ $82 $-32 06-25 20:48
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes +348 $83 19¢ $65 $-18 06-24 23:06
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -308 $-58 18¢ $-57 +$1 07-02 05:21
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No -67 $-26 81¢ $-55 $-29 06-18 09:36
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +54 $45 80¢ $43 $-2 06-12 07:38
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -45 $-39 90¢ $-41 $-2 06-25 20:46
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +50 $39 78¢ $39 +$0 06-25 20:55
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -47 $-29 81¢ $-38 $-9 06-01 05:25
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -321 $-87 12¢ $-37 +$50 06-24 14:43
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +255 $20 10¢ $24 +$4 06-29 06:24
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -202 $-25 8¢ $-17 +$8 06-15 09:31
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +17 $15 94¢ $16 +$1 06-09 02:17
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -120 $-12 8¢ $-10 +$2 06-11 17:47
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes -145 $-14 6¢ $-9 +$5 06-07 23:18