Large-Bureau 0xc3a263…99d0bd
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Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
64
Trades
6,910
lifetime
Volume
$11.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$31
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-21 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 57% +$20
Politics
25% 57% +$4
Other
14% 75% +$4
Sports
4% 50% +$0
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +12 $6 52¢ $6 +$0 07-08 18:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $6 32¢ $5 $-1 07-14 15:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -6 $-2 82¢ $-5 $-3 06-03 16:18
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 07-17 07:44
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +7 $3 38¢ $3 $-0 07-21 04:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $3 8¢ $2 $-0 06-30 15:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -15 $-2 11¢ $-2 +$1 05-28 14:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -6 $-2 22¢ $-1 +$1 06-03 16:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -11 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 08:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $3 14¢ $1 $-2 07-15 15:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -16 $-2 6¢ $-1 +$1 06-03 16:18
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +0 $0 48¢ $0 $-0 07-21 13:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $2 22¢ $0 $-2 07-05 09:59