Large-Bureau 0xc3a263…99d0bd
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Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
64
Trades
5,975
lifetime
Volume
$9.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$44
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-11 11:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 57% +$20
Politics
19% 57% +$4
Other
13% 75% +$4
Sports
2% 50% +$0
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +25 $6 100¢ $25 +$19 05-31 04:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -22 $-4 18¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 16:17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -6 $-2 56¢ $-3 $-2 06-03 16:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $2 40¢ $3 +$1 06-11 17:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -16 $-2 12¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 16:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -15 $-2 12¢ $-2 +$0 05-28 14:57
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -11 $-2 16¢ $-2 $-0 06-04 08:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -6 $-2 26¢ $-2 +$0 06-03 16:17
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes -15 $-1 8¢ $-1 $-1 06-06 10:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -11 $-1 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-03 16:19