Large-Bureau 0xc3a263…99d0bd
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Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
64
Trades
6,781
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-01 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 57% +$20
Politics
25% 57% +$4
Other
14% 75% +$4
Sports
3% 50% +$0
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 $-0 06-23 10:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +16 $6 30¢ $5 $-1 06-21 00:55
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -6 $-2 76¢ $-5 $-3 06-03 16:18
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +19 $6 24¢ $4 $-2 06-23 18:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $3 12¢ $3 +$1 06-30 15:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $3 18¢ $1 $-1 06-11 20:13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -6 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 16:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -15 $-2 10¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 14:57
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -11 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 08:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -16 $-2 6¢ $-1 +$1 06-03 16:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -22 $-4 0¢ $-0 +$4 06-03 16:17