Large-Bureau 0xc3a263…99d0bd Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$128
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
1,760
Trades
7,643
lifetime
Volume
$13.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-02 06:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 42% -$63
Politics
26% 57% -$9
Other
17% 47% -$41
Sports
7% 48% -$10
Tech
1% 67% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +27 $6 11¢ $3 -$3 07-08 12:02
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 08-10 13:07
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +40 $6 4¢ $2 -$4 06-19 00:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 06-30 15:24
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +6 $3 11¢ $1 -$2 07-23 06:52
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 Yes +6 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 08-08 20:11
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -6 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 07-03 19:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +7 $3 4¢ $0 -$2 07-21 04:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -9 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 10:09
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +6 $2 4¢ $0 -$1 08-01 11:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 08-24 12:52
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +0 $1 19¢ $0 -$1 07-19 12:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 08-24 12:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 07-05 09:59