Realized P&L
+$465
Unrealized P&L
+$92
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved
114
Trades
723
lifetime
Volume
$11.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$920
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 09-25 11:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
48% 54% -$199
Politics
26% 56% +$511
Crypto
13% 48% +$248
Sports
11% 43% -$77
Tech
3% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +390 $160 82¢ $318 +$158 08-13 21:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +255 $187 66¢ $168 -$19 09-02 16:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +150 $50 96¢ $144 +$94 09-25 11:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +730 $166 18¢ $132 -$34 09-01 06:59
Trump out as President before 2027? No -60 -$54 96¢ $-57 -$3 05-20 13:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1,057 $118 4¢ $43 -$75 09-25 11:36
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +700 $21 4¢ $25 +$4 09-02 16:36
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,000 $20 1¢ $13 -$7 06-11 22:23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -62 -$12 16¢ $-10 +$2 04-29 18:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$7 21¢ $-4 +$3 04-29 18:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -60 -$9 4¢ $-2 +$7 05-29 09:12
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +29 $20 5¢ $1 -$19 08-14 19:54
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -217 -$5 1¢ $-1 +$3 07-28 21:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -28 $21 4¢ $-1 -$22 06-17 16:29