Realized P&L
+$462
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
368
lifetime
Volume
$4.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$403
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-02 07:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
32%
Politics
26% 100% +$466
Sports
24% 0% $-4
Crypto
17%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +149 $82 60¢ $89 +$7 07-02 05:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +500 $80 14¢ $68 $-12 05-29 08:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +80 $34 58¢ $47 +$13 06-12 00:57
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +60 $41 70¢ $42 +$1 07-02 05:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-25 86¢ $-29 $-4 05-29 21:03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -100 $-13 25¢ $-25 $-12 06-26 12:52
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -144 $-23 16¢ $-23 +$0 05-29 21:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -136 $-50 16¢ $-22 +$28 06-04 18:04
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-24 66¢ $-20 +$4 06-04 05:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 +$0 06-17 16:30
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +23 $10 40¢ $9 $-1 06-26 12:55
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -40 $-11 22¢ $-9 +$2 05-28 17:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -60 $-9 $-4 +$5 05-29 09:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -38 $-3 $-1 +$2 05-30 02:32