Realized P&L
+$462
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
383
lifetime
Volume
$4.74K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$456
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-22 09:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
35%
Politics
25% 100% +$466
Sports
23% 0% $-4
Crypto
16%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +150 $83 68¢ $101 +$19 07-04 06:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +600 $93 12¢ $75 $-18 07-12 08:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +110 $47 65¢ $71 +$25 07-12 02:39
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +60 $41 64¢ $39 $-2 07-02 05:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-25 76¢ $-26 $-1 05-29 21:03
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -65 $-28 38¢ $-25 +$4 07-14 04:55
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes -80 $-8 30¢ $-24 $-16 07-14 23:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -100 $-13 20¢ $-20 $-7 06-26 12:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -136 $-50 14¢ $-18 +$32 06-04 18:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +20 $15 78¢ $16 +$1 06-17 16:30
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-24 48¢ $-14 +$9 06-04 05:34
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -40 $-11 27¢ $-11 $-0 05-28 17:44
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -144 $-23 $-11 +$12 05-29 21:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -60 $-9 $-3 +$6 05-29 09:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -38 $-3 $-1 +$2 05-30 02:32