Downright-Badge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

531

Trades

1,439

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 77% -$75

Other

16% 48% -$72

Politics

3% 75% +$0

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	38	$82	80	80	+0	Up	-$4	05-14 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 14:45 UTC	29	$60	46	44	+3	Up	+$2	02-14 14:58
lol mkoi gx 2026 01 26	17	$55	33	33	+0	GIANTX	+$11	01-26 20:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 14:30 UTC	24	$49	33	32	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 15:15 UTC	23	$47	35	32	+2	Up	+$2	02-14 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	4	$46	40	40	+0	No	+$12	10-22 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	12	$45	30	30	+0	Down	$0	05-14 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	40	$41	43	43	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 00:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 14:15 UTC	19	$38	30	27	+3	Down	-$2	02-14 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	34	$35	34	30	+4	Down	+$3	05-18 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	6	$30	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	3	$29	55	0	+55	Yes	-$9	10-22 23:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	5	$28	30	10	+20	Yes	+$2	10-23 12:17
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$28	10	18	-8	No	+$0	01-26 20:22
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	10	$26	18	8	+10	Yes	+$0	01-03 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	9	$24	21	21	+0	Up	-$2	05-14 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	22	$23	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 15:30 UTC	11	$23	20	17	+3	Down	-$1	02-14 15:35
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-27 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 14:40 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	03-14 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:15 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Down	+$0	03-14 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Down	+$0	03-14 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 16:05 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	03-14 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:30 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Down	+$0	03-14 09:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:50 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	03-14 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 12:35 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	03-14 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-14 09:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 14:00 UTC	18	$20	21	20	+0	Up	+$0	02-14 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:05 UTC	3	$20	25	0	+25	Down	-$20	03-15 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:56:17	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xcbab7d…
10-27 13:35:00	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x4c9fbc…
10-27 12:48:15	Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x876e2f…
10-27 11:14:14	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xb173b2…
10-27 11:14:12	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd3f8a1…
10-27 11:04:42	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x1efdad…
10-27 07:38:44	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x3e7ef8…
10-27 02:00:59	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 60?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x334d36…
10-26 23:48:44	Will PP win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x0169ba…
10-26 23:48:00	Will PP win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x99debd…
10-26 21:31:42	Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe65d5d…
10-26 20:31:44	will cambridge dictionary 2026 word of the year contain vibe	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf0fd22…
10-26 20:30:08	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0xb2b8f7…
10-26 13:52:48	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x3ce4b0…
10-26 13:52:45	Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x06d5c2…
10-26 12:35:17	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc190af…
10-26 12:35:15	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf39648…
10-25 22:52:21	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x9d3d40…
10-25 22:49:50	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x143480…
10-25 16:12:05	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x8e7f9b…
10-25 16:12:03	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x84a284…
10-25 14:37:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7ad1b9…
10-25 14:37:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x8e2e63…
10-25 13:47:42	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x1311dd…
10-25 12:58:48	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x3958aa…
10-25 12:58:47	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x225023…
10-25 11:28:12	Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd5d139…
10-25 11:28:11	Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x149e56…
10-25 10:59:08	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc11d2a…
10-25 10:38:42	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x867556…
10-25 04:18:53	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xb68561…
10-25 04:18:53	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x070000…
10-24 14:29:03	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x6ba792…
10-24 09:37:00	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcb57b7…
10-24 08:32:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x2c9bc2…
10-23 23:25:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x83b067…
10-23 23:25:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x61b666…
10-23 12:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcb0e8c…
10-23 12:12:17	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 23?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0916b2…
10-23 11:15:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x907a77…
10-23 10:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xccba7d…
10-23 05:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xeb292f…
10-23 05:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xb4e9fa…
10-23 04:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6db149…
10-23 01:51:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x39b190…
10-22 23:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x4c6b99…
10-22 22:58:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x0baf8e…
10-22 21:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x25c86f…
10-22 21:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5d4668…
10-22 19:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x73d96e…
10-22 19:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0e1dfb…
10-22 17:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	No	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xad3c73…
10-22 17:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4497d4…
10-22 16:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x9c0f94…
10-22 16:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe4e996…
10-20 21:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xa30731…
10-20 21:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0adf47…
10-20 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf50694…
10-20 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x74b827…
10-20 20:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x3aac01…
10-20 20:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86ef18…
10-20 20:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6af2c9…
10-20 20:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19620f…
10-20 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x311418…
10-20 20:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x85a834…
06-22 16:18:04	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x65a452…
06-22 15:57:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x52ac9c…
06-18 13:15:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x3c6e00…
06-17 06:17:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xf61541…
06-04 17:59:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	Yes	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0xdd8751…
05-29 17:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x415d05…
05-29 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdbd275…
05-29 17:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x974dae…
05-29 17:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6e0c72…
05-29 17:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x47ec45…
05-29 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa3b571…
05-29 17:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xf839a5…
05-29 17:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5f535a…
05-29 17:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x6b35c7…
05-29 17:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8c1a26…
05-29 16:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe32b9b…
05-29 16:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xb1c2cb…
05-29 16:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x14cc17…
05-29 16:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x02d424…
05-28 21:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x66ac00…
05-28 21:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x552134…
05-28 21:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x5e8f71…
05-28 21:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfa2208…
05-28 21:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x1a33aa…
05-28 21:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2f1bbb…
05-28 21:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xa812ac…
05-28 21:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d1787…
05-28 21:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6bc085…
05-28 21:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x140c32…
05-28 21:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5379ae…
05-28 20:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xc730c1…
05-28 20:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcb57e3…
05-28 20:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfb75b1…
05-28 20:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x6b2d9a…
05-28 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbee250…