Realized P&L
+$838
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
91.2%
Resolved
197
Trades
1,322
lifetime
Volume
$54.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$6.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
77% 82% +$725
Politics
13% 80% +$210
Sports
9% 86% -$92
Tech
0% 75% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 33% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 385 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,236 $1,233 100¢ $1.2K -$1 10-26 11:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +981 $942 94¢ $927 -$15 10-26 10:26
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +881 $877 100¢ $878 +$1 10-25 21:08
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +452 $447 99¢ $446 -$2 10-21 22:20
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +391 $390 100¢ $390 $0 10-26 03:56
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +304 $280 88¢ $266 -$14 10-23 15:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +346 $249 70¢ $244 -$5 10-25 12:58
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +236 $233 100¢ $235 +$3 10-22 15:23
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +181 $180 100¢ $181 +$0 10-26 09:23
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +164 $164 100¢ $164 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +268 $178 56¢ $151 -$26 10-25 01:27
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +152 $141 95¢ $145 +$4 10-22 06:47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +183 $152 73¢ $134 -$19 10-25 17:48
elon musk of tweets october 20 october 27 2026 360 379 No +117 $110 99¢ $115 +$5 10-23 19:55
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +101 $100 99¢ $100 +$0 10-26 01:18
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 99¢ $99 -$1 10-22 14:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +86 $86 100¢ $86 +$0 10-26 14:50
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +63 $60 99¢ $62 +$2 10-23 15:47
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +107 $71 55¢ $59 -$12 10-20 18:13
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +54 $53 100¢ $54 +$1 10-21 08:38
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +56 $54 93¢ $52 -$2 10-24 00:33
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $51 97¢ $51 $0 10-22 02:03
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +58 $49 84¢ $49 $0 10-25 03:45
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 10-26 11:20
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +42 $41 98¢ $41 $0 10-25 18:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +663 $42 6¢ $40 -$2 10-26 14:50
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 $0 10-15 16:09
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 $0 10-20 14:30
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +36 $31 88¢ $32 +$1 10-25 03:46